The Thrash is back!
Despite the fact that the Atlanta Thrashers have led the Southeast
pretty much from the get-go, they hadn’t played like a first place team for
most of November. However, after three
straight wins to close out the month and another to start December, they’ve
re-established control of the division…. The Carolina Hurricanes are, as
expected, pushing their way ahead of the pack, with wins in three of their last
four…. The Lightning have been about as up and down as
it’s been for the past month, and are cold right now, having lost three in a
row…. Washington’s starting to
pick up their play, particularly after dominating the East’s best team on
Saturday. Is Alexander Ovechkin headed
for a suspension, though?
|
Team
|
Wins
|
Losses
|
OTL
|
Points
|
GF
|
GA
|
Last 10
|
|
Atlanta
|
17
|
7
|
4
|
38
|
96
|
79
|
5-4-1
|
|
Carolina
|
15
|
10
|
3
|
33
|
93
|
88
|
6-4-0
|
|
Tampa Bay
|
13
|
12
|
2
|
28
|
85
|
87
|
4-5-1
|
|
Washington
|
11
|
9
|
6
|
28
|
79
|
89
|
4-4-2
|
|
Florida
|
8
|
15
|
5
|
21
|
69
|
96
|
2-7-1
|
Atlanta
Thrashers
Hot: Marian Hossa (4 G, 4 A, +4, 3 PPP in
Last Three), Slava Kozlov (5 A, +2, 3 PPP in Last Three), Scott Mellanby (1 G, 3 A, 3 PPP in Last Two), Bobby Holik (2 G, 4
A, +4 in Last Three), Greg de Vries (2 A, +6 in Last
Three), Brad Larsen (2 G, 1 A During Three Game Point Streak), J.P. Vigier (1 G, 2 A During Three Game Point Streak), Kari
Lehtonen (4-0-0, 1.23 GAA, .963 Sv. % in Last Four)
Cold: Jon Sim
(Four Game Scoreless Streak, 0 G, 3 A in Last Thirteen), Niko
Kapanen (0 G, 1 A in Last Six),
Injuries: Andy Sutton (Indefinite –
Cracked Ankle Bone), Jim Slater (D2D – Foot), Garnet Exelby
(Indefinite – Mononucleosis)
Since losing four in a row from November 10 through November
18, the Thrashers have picked up the pieces, going 5-0-1 in their last six and
outscoring their opponents 20-10. While
the offense has continued to be dominant, led by Marian Hossa, Slava Kozlov,
and Ilya Kovalchuk, the key has been the solid defensive play and the
phenomenal netminding they’ve seen out of Kari
Lehtonen.
Lehtonen had his struggles in early November, losing three
straight starts (and getting pulled in another where he didn’t factor in the
decision) and eventually falling into what looked like a platoon with backup
Johan Hedberg for a couple of weeks.
However, it looks like it was just the calm before the storm for Lehtonen,
who is showing off why he’s widely considered the best goaltending prospect in
hockey. He’s allowed just five goals in
his past four starts, including a pair of shutouts over the Panthers and Maple
Leafs. While the defense has been strong
in front of Lehtonen for much of the year, he’s had to stop over thirty shots
three times in this stretch, but is proving he’s up to the task.
With back to back four point games to close out November,
Marian Hossa briefly took over the NHL scoring lead. Hossa has been unconscious all season,
scoring twenty goals and adding nineteen assists in the season’s first two
months. He was particularly outstanding
in November, when he finished with ten goals and twelve assists in just
fourteen games, earning the NHL’s number two star for the month. As terrific as Dany Heatley has been up in Ottawa,
it’s hard to say that the Thrashers didn’t win last season’s big offseason
swap.
Slava Kozlov continues to tear it up, thanks largely in part
to lining up with Hossa most of the time.
Kozlov recorded four assists on November 30 (not surprisingly, one of
the nights when Hossa went off and the same night that Scott Mellanby had a three-point night) in a 5-0 win over the
Toronto Maple Leafs, boosting his assist total to 22 in just 28 games this
season. He remains a big part of the
Power Play in Atlanta, and even
leads all Thrashers’ forwards with a +8 rating.
The one thing that the Thrashers need to improve upon is the
consistency of the play by anyone other than their big three. When everyone else is performing (as they are
right now), the Thrashers are winning.
However, when the players around Hossa, Kovalchuk, and Kozlov struggle,
they’re nothing more than a .500 hockey club.
While it’s great to see Bobby Holik, Scott Mellanby,
and Brad Larsen finding their names on the scoresheet more often, the
likelihood is that they’ll follow it up with lengthy scoreless droughts. We’re talking about three vets who haven’t
exactly lit it up for the past couple of seasons.
Next Five: at Toronto, at Tampa Bay, vs. Pittsburgh, vs. Anaheim, vs. Washington
The Leafs are no slouches, though the Thrashers just walked
all over them 5-0 at home last Thursday.
Toronto remains a top ten
scoring team, though they’ve now been outscored by their opponents. Tampa
(9th) and Anaheim (3rd)
also find themselves in the top ten in the league in goals per game, and
Lehtonen may have to prove that he’s ready to take that next step from elite
prospect to elite goaltender in the next couple of weeks. The offense should have little trouble
finding the net, as they’ll square off against four of the league’s bottom ten
in terms of goals against per game.
Carolina
Hurricanes
Hot: Rod Brind’Amour (4 G, 8 A, +3, 5 PPP,
2 GWG in Last Ten), Erik Cole (4 G, 1 A in Last Four), Justin Williams (3 G, 2
A, 3 GWG in Last Four), Eric Staal (3 G, +6, 8 PIM in Last Four), Mike
Commodore (2 A, +5 in Last Four)
Cold: None
Injuries: Corey Stillman (D2D – Shoulder Surgery), Frantisek
Kaberle (2-3 Months – Shoulder Surgery)
The offense remains on a roll for the Hurricanes, who have
scored fifteen goals in their past four games.
They have extremely good balance up front, and have five players with 25
or more points so far this season. The
balance should only get better up front, as they activated Corey Stillman from
the IR on Monday. Stillman, who has
missed the first two months recovering from offseason shoulder surgery, tied
for the team lead with 55 assists last season.
Rod Brind’Amour continues to look
rejuvenated after the Cup run last season, and is still rolling along at a
point a game clip. The 36-year-old
captain hasn’t scored at a point a game since 1995-96, but is certainly taking
advantage of his chances this season.
Though he hasn’t scored a goal in his past seven games, he’s still
finding ways to get the puck to his mates, with six assists in that span.
Erik Cole and Eric Staal have each had a two-goal night for
the Hurricanes in their past two games, and are showing that there’s still some
young talent to go along with the old men (Brind’Amour,
Whitney) in Carolina. Justin Williams has also stepped to the
forefront, notching three goals (all game-winners) in his past four
contests.
Mike Commodore has built on last season’s strong Carolina
debut along the blue line, and currently leads the team’s defensemen with 13
points, matching his total from a season ago, and a +6 rating. To go along with his fine production from a
scoring standpoint, Commodore continues to maintain a strong physical presence,
and currently ranks eighth in the league with 56 PIM.
Cam Ward continues to have his ups and downs, but is coming
off of consecutive strong efforts. Ward
stopped 42 of 46 shots against the Habs and Bruins in his last two starts, and
has won six of his last eight games.
Though his GAA (2.93) is a little high for a fantasy goaltender and his
Save Percentage (.895) remains a little weak, his thirteen wins rank third in
the league.
Next Five: at Calgary, at Edmonton, at Vancouver, at Colorado, vs. Toronto
After romping through the Northeast, they’ll make a
four-game trip to the Northwest, taking on three strong defensive squads to
start the trip. The offense might be
tested a bit against Calgary, Edmonton,
and Vancouver, but they’ll have the
advantage of facing two of the league’s ten worst offensive teams (Calgary
[21st] and Vancouver [30th])
in those games as well. As they start to
turn for home, they’ll face a couple of strong offenses in Colorado
and Toronto. Start Ward with confidence, and the way the
skaters are going lately, they have to be in your lineup even with a tough
matchup.
Tampa Bay Lightning
Hot: Martin St. Louis (5 G, 6 A in Last Seven), Vincent Lecavalier
(3 G, 1 A in Last Three), Dan Boyle (3 G, 5 A, 4 PPP in Last Six), Eric Perrin
(4 G, 3 A in Last Seven)
Cold: Brad Richards (0 G, 1 A, -4 in Last Three), Nikita Alexeev (Five Game Scoreless Streak), Filip
Kuba (Scoreless, -5 in Last Three), Ruslan Fedotenko
(0 G, 1 A, -6 in Last Fourteen), Dmitry Afanosenkov
(Scoreless in Last Eleven), Marc Denis (0-3-2, 4.22 GAA, .846 Sv. % in
November)
Injuries: Rob DiMaio (Indefinite –
Concussion)
The Lightning have been up and down
lately, matching three game win streaks with three game losing streaks. Currently, they’ve lost three in a row,
including an embarrassing 5-2 loss to the Sens Saturday where they fell down
4-0 in the first. While St.
Louis and Lecavalier continue to be pictures of
consistency, they simply aren’t having enough of the guys behind them step it
up.
One of the few who has stepped up his game recently is
journeyman Eric Perrin. The 31-year-old
checking line winger has never done anything but produce at the minor league
level, but had just four games of NHL experience entering the season. His size is what has kept him out for the
most part. At just 5’9, 176 he’s a
little small for the NHL, and doesn’t really have the speed or shiftiness
that’s necessary to avoid the big hits for long. However, he’s a proven commodity at the lower
levels, and this scoring touch hasn’t come out of nowhere. Perrin scored six goals in November, and has
a goal in each of his past two games.
Dan Boyle’s dominance as an offensive defenseman has
returned in the past month. After
posting just one goal and one assist in his first ten November contests, Boyle
went on a four-game tear that saw him rack up eight points, four of which came
on the Power Play. With Paul Ranger and Filip Kuba still producing, Boyle
has a little more competition to QB the Power Play than he has in the past few
years, but he’s still looking like he should be a solid third or fourth fantasy
defenseman the rest of the way.
The goaltending situation is a total mess in Tampa
lately. Though Johan Holmqvist stepped
up and took control of the starting gig, it’s kind of like a presidential
election…. He’s the lesser of two evils.
Holmqvist went 8-2-0
in November with solid, if unspectacular numbers (2.56 GAA, .907 Sv. %), but
he’s been pulled in each of his past two starts. Both were 5-2 losses, and he allowed 6 goals
in just 45 minutes of action in the two combined.
Next Five: vs. Buffalo, vs. Anaheim, vs. Atlanta, at Toronto, at Montreal
Get ready for some bloodbaths, and don’t even consider
starting a goaltender for the ‘Ning in the next couple of weeks. Buffalo (1st), Anaheim (3rd),
Atlanta (5th), and Toronto (9th) all rank in the top ten
offensively so far this season, while Montreal (11th) isn’t half bad
either. Start any of the big three (St.
Louis, Lecavalier, and Richards) up front and Dan
Boyle along the blue line, but they aren’t exactly playing soft defensive teams
either. If the Lightning think they can be a playoff team this season, they’re going
to have to prove it right now, because they’re facing two legitimate Cup
contenders and three other probable playoff teams.
Washington
Capitals
Hot: Alexander Ovechkin (4 G, 1 A in Last Five… 20 PIM in Last
Game), Alexander Semin (2 G, 3 A, 10 PIM, 3 PPP in
Last Six), Matt Pettinger (6 G, 4 A in November… 3 G, 3 A During Current Four
Game Point Streak), Brian Pothier (2 A, +5 in Last
Three), Jakub Klepis (3 A,
+2, 2 PPP in Last Two)
Cold: None
Injuries: Dainius Zubrus (D2D – Flu), Richard Zednik (D2D –
Leg), Jamie Heward (1 Week – Facial Laceration)
The Caps have come together quite a bit, winning three in a
row, including a fantastic 7-4 win over the East-leading Sabres Saturday
night. The game was marred by an ugly
incident, however, when Caps’ star Alexander Ovechkin hit Sabres captain Daniel
Briere up high a couple of seconds after Briere had dumped the puck in. Ovechkin, who had already scored in the game,
received a major for boarding and a game misconduct, but it appears he’ll avoid
suspension from the league office.
Ovechkin has always loved to hit, but it’s rare to see dirty hits like
this one from him.
Despite his goonish antics
Saturday, Ovechkin, along with Alexander Semin, has
been rolling. Each have
produced at least a point in four of the last five, helping to kickstart the Caps’ win streak. Ovechkin, of course, is one of the top ten
overall players in fantasy hockey, and has continued to produce like it in his
second season. His seventeen goals have
him ranked third in the league, while he’s tied for 21st overall
with 28 total points on the season. His
+/- has picked up a bit lately as the Caps are playing better as a team, and he
ranks fourth among the top thirty scorers with 30 PIM.
Semin, this season’s breakout Cap,
finally scored his first goal in over a month last week. The wait for him to find the net again wasn’t
nearly as long this time, as he scored yet again the next night. Despite his goal-scoring struggles, Semin was still a useful asset in fantasy circles in
November, with six assists in ten games to go along with a +1 rating. Each of his goals in late November were game-winners.
Matt Pettinger was a pleasant surprise in November, notching
ten points in fourteen games. Pettinger,
who is best suited to play on the third or fourth line as someone who can bring
some energy and hard work to the club, has been spending a lot of time as a top
six forward, and he’s earned it. After
scoring five shorthanded goals last season, we’d gotten the idea that Pettinger
was improving as a finisher, but nobody would have been ready for his
production in the past week. Pettinger
has six points in his last four games, including three goals in his past two
games. The 26-year-old winger should be
capable of pushing the fifty point mark.
With Dainius Zubrus out with an unspecified illness for the
past week, Jakub Klepis has
stepped up to play on the top line, and benefited with three assists in two
games. The 22-year-old Klepis, the club’s first round pick in 2002, has always
been a fantastic passer, and could stick on the first line if he can develop
some chemistry with fantastic finisher Alexander Ovechkin. Klepis has already
almost doubled his point total from last year (don’t get too excited… it was
four) in five less games than he played all last season. If you’re looking for something to get amped up about with Klepis, six
of his seven points this season have come in the past six games.
Next Five: vs. Ottawa, vs. Anaheim, at Philadelphia, vs. Pittsburgh, at Atlanta
If you own Olaf Kolzig, you own him for spot starts. That’s exactly what this upcoming stretch
should be all about. He’ll make for a good
start against the Flyers and a decent start against the Pens. Apart from that, let him ride the bench. The Sens and Ducks rank 2nd and 3rd
respectively in goals per game, while the Thrashers are 5th. Only Ottawa
and Anaheim present major
challenges defensively, so feel free to get your skaters in the lineup for the
next couple of weeks.
Florida
Panthers
Hot: None
Cold: Entire Offense (1 goal in Last Four Games), Olli Jokinen (1
G, -3 in Last Four), Jay Bouwmeester (Scoreless, -5 in Last Eight)
Injuries: Joe Nieuwendyk (D2D – Back
Spasms), Juraj Kolnik (1-2
Weeks – Shoulder), Todd Bertuzzi (2-4 Weeks – Back Spasms)
The Panthers have never been one of the league’s higher
scoring teams, but they hit a new low in the past couple of weeks. Their 3-1 loss to the Atlanta Thrashers
Saturday was actually a step in the right direction…. They scored a goal! Florida
was shut out in their previous three games, two of which were 1-0 losses. The other, a 6-0 blowout loss at the hands of
the Ottawa Senators, was to be expected.
How are Alex Auld and Ed Belfour supposed
to respond after holding their opponents almost completely in check and still
losing? Belfour suffered the 1-0 loss to
Atlanta to start the goalless
streak, while Alex Auld actually pitched a shutout himself against the Habs,
but lost in a shootout.
When the Panthers finally did score in their 3-1 loss to the Thrashers, it wasn’t an
unexpected name that hit the scoresheet.
It was star center Olli Jokinen who found the net, which only amplifies
this team’s problem. While third-year
center Nathan Horton has stepped up his game a bit this season, with 17 points
in 28 games, the Panthers have almost nobody who can produce behind Jokinen. Only Jokinen, Horton, veteran winger Gary
Roberts, and veteran stay-at-home defenseman Ruslan Salei
(who oddly became a point man on the PP unit in November) are averaging more
than half a point a game for the Panthers, which doesn’t
bode well for this team’s future.
Number one defenseman Jay Bouwmeester has embodied the
recent struggles of the Panthers. After
posting a solid ten points and carrying a strong +6 rating through his first
twenty games, Bouwmeester hasn’t found his name on the scoresheet in his last
eight, and has gone -5 in that time. The
6’4, 218 Bouwmeester, who has a terrific slap shot, still hasn’t been afraid to
let loose, and is averaging 2.21 shots per game in the past month. However, he’s simply not finding the net or his mates up front right now.
Next Five: at Pittsburgh, vs. Buffalo, at NY Islanders, at NY Rangers, vs. Anaheim
The only positive here is that the Pens have allowed five
goals in each of their last two games, while the Sabres gave up seven Saturday
night in Washington, so maybe the offense will have a shot to get going a bit
this week. All five of their opponents
are in the top half of the league offensively, including the league’s best (Buffalo)
and third best (Anaheim) teams in
that regard. Toss in the paltry support
they’re seeing, and Auld and Belfour should both be on your fantasy bench (or
waiver wire).
Unbelievable performance from the 'Ning, and I never saw this coming. A win... maybe. 8=0 over one of the hotter teams in the league? No way!