Taking a break from all the Brett Hull celebration here in St.
Louis, let’s take a look at the Atlantic. The typically streaky Devils won their fourth
in a row Friday to take a two-point lead in the division, and have been riding
the hot goaltending of star Martin Brodeur… The division’s been playing a little more like we expected it to in
the past week, with the Rangers leaping past the Islanders into second…. Though
the Isles remain in third place, they’ve lost two straight against the
Northeast, and will now have to face the suddenly red hot Panthers, who have
won two straight (including a 3-1 win over Buffalo
Thursday)…. The Pens still look like they just need another year or two before
they’re in serious contention, while the Flyers remain locked in the cellar,
and will have an incredibly difficult time overcoming their early-season
struggles.
|
Team
|
Wins
|
Losses
|
OTL
|
Points
|
GF
|
GA
|
Last 10
|
|
New Jersey
|
16
|
9
|
2
|
34
|
66
|
67
|
6-3-1
|
|
NY
Rangers
|
14
|
10
|
4
|
32
|
91
|
89
|
4-3-3
|
|
NY
Islanders
|
14
|
11
|
3
|
31
|
83
|
79
|
5-5-0
|
|
Pittsburgh
|
11
|
11
|
5
|
27
|
79
|
86
|
3-4-3
|
|
Philadelphia
|
8
|
16
|
4
|
20
|
68
|
104
|
4-4-2
|
New Jersey
Devils
Hot: Patrik Elias (3 G, 5 A, 5 PPP in Last
Five), Brian Gionta (3 G, 1 A, 4 PPP in Last Five), Scott Gomez (6 A, 4 PPP in
Last Five), Brian Rafalski (6 A, +2, 4 PPP in Last Five), Colin White (1 A, +5
in Last Four), Martin Brodeur (4-0-1, 1.52 GAA, .936 Sv. % in Last Five)
Cold: Travis Zajac
(Scoreless in Last Three), Paul Martin (0 G, 1 A in Last Ten),
Injuries: Richard Matvichuk
(1-2 Weeks – Back)
The Devils received both some good and bad news earlier this
week when they learned that defenseman Richard Matvichuk
may be about to return from the injured list.
The return of Matvichuk, who the club received
a temporary exemption on the salary cap for, would require the Devils to purge
$1.3 million in payroll to be activated.
The big rumor is that they would probably look to move defenseman Brad Lukowich to get Matvichuk in the
fold.
On the ice, the Devils are rolling again, primarily behind
the strong play of goaltender Martin Brodeur.
Brodeur is looking like the first ballot Hall of Famer that the fans in
Jersey are used to, and has allowed just eight goals in his past five games,
each of which the Devils received at least one point in. Marty’s seeing the puck well right now, and
the defense is keeping the shots against down as well. Brodeur has faced 28 shots or less in each of
his past six starts.
The return to normalcy on the first line is becoming
evident, as Scotty Gomez is doing what he always does… finding his
linemates. Gomez had another assist in
Friday’s 2-0 win over the Flyers, and now has six in his past five games. When Gomez is rolling, so are Brian Gionta
and Patrik Elias. Gionta, who struggled
badly in Gomez’ absence for much of November, has started putting the pieces
together again, with goals in three of the past five games. Elias has been especially dominant in the
past two weeks, with three goals and five assists in his past five, including a
phenomenal game-winner with just seconds to go in overtime Wednesday night
against the Habs. Elias took a faceoff that wasn’t won cleanly, tapped it back to
Rafalski, and then jetted over to the slot, where Brian Rafalski found him to
bury a one-timer with just eight seconds before the game went to a shootout.
The Devils’ improved play at even strength with the top line
has meant an improvement across the board to a team that’s loaded with players
producing poorly in the +/- department. While the Devils have been outscored 67-66 on
the year, they’ve been overly dependent on the Power Play, and they’re a -77 as
a team so far this season. Things are
starting to pick up a bit, particularly with the defensive minded players, such
as Colin White and John Madden. White is
a +5 in the last few games, and as that’s only one of two areas where he can
help you fantasy-wise (his PIM this season are way down), his handful of owners
need him to be a plus player.
The young guns aren’t showing a whole lot of hope for the
future in the past couple of weeks, though they were bound to slow down at some
point. While second-year center Zach Parise continues to look like one of the Devils’ best
players, rookie Travis Zajac has cooled off a bit,
and hasn’t scored in the past three.
Defenseman Paul Martin, who was expected to start taking a little more
Power Play time away from Brian Rafalski, hasn’t been hitting the scoresheet
much himself, and has netted just one assist in his past eleven games.
Next Five: at Boston, vs. Buffalo, at Boston, vs. Detroit, at NY Rangers
While the Devils have won four straight, this looks to be a
tough stretch for them. The Bruins, who
they’ll play twice, have won seven of ten, and are starting to improve on both
ends of the ice. The Sabres have hit the
skids a bit in recent weeks, but are still the best team in the East, and the
most exciting offense in hockey. Their
home game against Detroit figures
to be a 1-0 yawnfest (for some…. I love that stuff!) before they have to gear up for a game with their bitter
rivals, the Rangers. Brodeur is unbenchable, even against Buffalo. You may consider sitting Zajac
(or even Parise) a couple of times during this
stretch, particularly against the Wings.
Gionta, Gomez, Elias, and Rafalski must be played every night.
New York
Rangers
Hot: Jaromir Jagr (8 G, 6 A, +9, 5 PPP in Last Eleven), Michael
Nylander (3 G, 7 A in Last Eight), Martin Straka (6 G, 8 A, +7, 7 PPP in Last
Eight), Brendan Shanahan (4 G, 1 A, 3 PPP, 1 SHP in Last Three), Michael
Roszival (1 G, 3 A, +4 in Last Six), Marek Malik (5 A, +6 in Last Seven)
Cold: Matt Cullen (0 G, 2 A, -6 in Last Five), Petr Prucha (0 G, 2
A, -4 in Last Ten),
Injuries: Jed Ortmeyer (Indefinitely –
Pulmonary Embolism)
The Rangers made a pretty big roster move this past week
themselves, calling up rookie Jarkko Immonen from Hartford. Immonen, not highly
regarded when he first came to North America, impressed
last season, with thirty goals and forty assists in 74 AHL games. He also did well in a trial with the big
club, scoring twice in just six starts. Immonen doesn’t deserve immediate fantasy attention, but
you should keep your eye on him to see if the Finn starts getting some time as
a top six forward.
As the Czechs go, so go the Rangers. They’ve been hot as of late, with Jagr
producing fourteen points in his last eleven games and Martin Straka catching
some major fire with fourteen points
during his current eight game point streak.
Even if Michael Nylander wasn’t
a pretty darned good scorer in his own right, he would have little trouble
finding his name on the scoresheet often because of his linemates. Canadian Brendan Shanahan also continues to
wow us despite his age, and has five points in his last three games thanks to a
hat trick against the Islanders on Sunday.
Beyond those four, though, the Rangers simply don’t have a
whole lot of scoring. Matt Cullen, Petr
Prucha, and Michael Roszival (two more Czechs) are tied for fifth on the team
with just thirteen points through the team’s first 28 games. Cullen is a consistent 40-50 point a year
guy, which he should challenge again this season. Roszival is a solid offensive defenseman, but
is losing a lot of time on the Power Play with Straka playing the point. Prucha, a thirty-goal getter as a rookie last
season, is the wildcard, but he’s been an icicle of late.
All of the preseason overhyping of
Marek Malik meant that it was nearly impossible to get him on draft day unless
you drastically overpaid. However, after
he had just three points, a +7 rating and PIM numbers that were far from
overwhelming, he may have been dropped in many of your leagues. Malik isn’t a defenseman who’s going to win
you your league, but he’s an adequate pickup as a third or fourth defenseman
who should produce slightly above-average assist numbers, keep a strong +/- on
a probable playoff team, and rack up 120 PIM or so. If he’s out there, he’s worth your time.
Henrik Lundqvist has been up and down a bit lately. After allowing just two goals in a three-game
stretch against the Lightning, Panthers, and Pens (three pretty darned good
offensive clubs), Lundqvist has struggled a bit in the past week. He put forth a solid effort in a 4-3 overtime
loss to the Sabres, but then allowed five in a loss to Atlanta. His follow-up? Not so good.
Lundqvist was pulled after allowing four goals in just one period of
action in Sunday’s 7-4 loss to the Islanders.
He did, at least, rebound with a strong game in a 3-2 shootout win over
the Pens Thursday.
Next Five: at Ottawa, vs. Florida, at Philadelphia, at Dallas, at Toronto
In the Sens and Panthers, the Rangers will face a pair of
teams that suddenly find themselves on a bit of a roll. The Flyers remain in the cellar, and though
they’ve played better lately, I’m not sure I’d qualify their play as being good.
The Stars may keep the scoring down a touch, but you can’t bench any of
the Rangers’ top four forwards without needing a lobotomy. Consider benching Lundqvist against the Sens,
but feel confident playing out the rest of the stretch with all your Rangers in
the lineup.
New York
Islanders
Hot: Viktor Kozlov (6 G, 3 A, +5, 2 GWG in Last Six), Jason Blake (6
G, 7 A, +5 in Last Eleven), Mike Sillinger (3 G, 3 A in Last Four), Chris Simon
(2 G, 2 A in Last Five), Richard Park (2 G, 3 A, +4 in Last Seven), Sean Hill
(1 G, 5 A, +9, 20 PIM in Last Ten), Alexei Zhitnik (4 A, +7, 10 PIM in Last
Ten), Brendan Witt (3 A, +6 in Last Eight), Radek Martinek
(4 A in Last Four), Andy Hilbert (1 G, 4 A, +4 in Last Four)
Cold: Tom Poti (0 G, 4 A in Seventeen Games Since November 1), Mike
York (Scoreless in Last Eleven)
Injuries: Alexei Yashin (2-4 Weeks – Sprained Knee), Trent
Hunter (2-4 Weeks – Sprained Knee), Rick DiPietro (D2D – Lower Body)
Life without Alexei Yashin hasn’t been as difficult as we
thought it would be for the Islanders, largely due to the fact that Viktor
Kozlov is coming off a career week.
Kozlov, who has had more than fifty points in just three of ten NHL
seasons, stepped into the vacancy left by Yashin on the top line and
immediately started to suddenly look like a superstar. Since Yashin has been out of the lineup,
Kozlov has a point in five of six games, including a two-game stretch that saw
him score six goals and add an assist.
Kozlov scored the first four-goal game of the season as he carried the
Isles past the Rangers last Sunday just a night after scoring twice in a 5-3
win over the Penguins.
Should we expect this hot play out of Kozlov to
continue? Absolutely not! Is he going to be a solid second-line center
when Yashin returns.
You bet! Kozlov has tremendous
size and fantastic skills as a two-way center, but it’s never added up to much
production at the NHL level. Though he’s
on the wrong side of thirty at this point, the talent is there for Kozlov to
post a sixty point season with the improving talent around him.
Part of the reason for Kozlov’s sudden
jump in production has been his opportunity to play with Jason Blake, who has
gone a long way in proving that Yashin isn’t completely responsible for his
early-season success. Blake is skating
well right now, and continues to showcase his terrific shot with some fine
playmaking ability. He’s going to be
just fine without Yashin, and should get even better when Yashin returns
(likely in early January).
The defensemen on Long Island
continue to flourish, as the Isles have been one of the better five on five
teams in the league. To show the
contrast, the division-leading Devils (who have two more wins in one less game)
are a -77 as a team, while the Islanders are a +82. The stay-at-home types (Zhitnik, Witt, and
Hill) are all terrific plays right now as third or fourth defensemen who will
help you out with their PIM and +/- even if they’re not helping you
elsewhere. However, the mediocre play on
the Power Play has rendered offensive defenseman Tom Poti pretty much moot.
Rick DiPietro, who was slated for a day off
anyway, didn’t dress in Tuesday’s loss to the Senators. There wasn’t much disclosed about his injury,
though it was described as a lower body injury (he missed time with a groin
injury earlier this season… those can tend to linger). He was back between the pipes in Thursday’s
4-2 loss to the Habs, but may see a little more rest in the next few weeks as
he tries to put this injury behind him.
Next Five: vs. Florida, at Pittsburgh, vs. Atlanta, at NY Rangers, at Carolina
Though they’ll begin the stretch with the low-scoring
Panthers, the Isles are going to need DiPietro healthy in the next couple of
weeks. The Pens, Thrashers, Rangers, and
‘Canes are all capable of giving goalies whiplash. The skaters have to stay in the lineup,
though, as they won’t face a single dominant defense coming up.
Pittsburgh
Penguins
Hot: Sidney Crosby (6 G, 9 A, +6, 5 PPP in Last Nine), Colby
Armstrong (3 G, 1 A, 2 PPP in Last Five), Erik Christensen (3 G, 1 A, 3 PPP in
Last Six)
Cold: Ryan Whitney (0 G, 2 A, -3 in Last Seven), Nils Ekman (1 G, 1
A, -3 in Last Ten), Jordan Staal (1 G, 1 A in Last Ten), Dominic Moore
(Scoreless in Last Eight), Marc-Andre Fleury (0-2-1, 4.28 GAA, .831 Sv. % in
December)
Injuries: Eric Cairns (Indefinite –
Knee), Mark Eaton (Indefinite – Wrist Surgery)
The John LeClair era seems to have
come to an end in the past couple of weeks, as he was sent down on November
25. LeClair,
who had a terrific career in Philadelphia
and Montreal, seems to have just
been a big money pit in Pittsburgh. Rumors had the Stars interested in the
37-year-old power forward, but those seem to have died down a bit in the past
week. LeClair
had 24 goals, 34 assists, and a -26 rating in 94 games with the Penguins in the
post-lockout era.
On the positive side, they’ve gotten a couple of the kids
going up front, starting with Sid the Kid.
Crosby hasn’t really been down at any point this
season, but his fifteen points in the past nine games is the most dominant
stretch that he’s had in 2006-07.
Perhaps it has something to do with the fact that Colby Armstrong is
seeing time more regularly on his line, and
the fact that Armstrong has finally decided to show up this season. Armstrong, a big sleeper at RW in the
preseason, had just seven points through the first twenty games, and failed to
find the net until his twenty-third game of the year. However, he’s scored his first three goals of
the season in the past two weeks playing alongside Crosby,
and is suddenly a lot more active agitating up front as well. There’s a good chance he was dropped in your
league, and he’s worth the gamble if you’re looking for help on the right side.
Second-year center Erik Christensen got the call right
before LeClair was sent down, and he’s made the most
of his opportunities so far. He has a
powerful shot for a pivot, and is seeing plenty of time on special teams
considering his age and inexperience.
Christensen scored in three straight games from December 1 through
December 5, and is worth a look in deep or keeper leagues.
As Marc-Andre Fleury’s game has
faded a bit, so has the team’s performance.
Fleury, who was one of the hotter goalies in the league in October and
early November, has been lit up in two of his past three, and has lost five of
six. That’s fine if you have a capable
backup, which the Pens thought they
had when they retained Jocelyn Thibault.
However, Thibault has yet to win in five starts, and is the owner of a
mediocre 3.38 GAA and .898 Save Percentage.
Next Five: at Atlanta, at Washington, vs. Philadelphia, vs. NY Islanders, at Montreal
Everyone’s excited about the prospects of Alexander Ovechkin
and Sidney Crosby matching up next Monday, which is what all
the buzz in the league will be about over the weekend. As for the schedule, Atlanta
should be troublesome for a team that’s having trouble keeping the puck out of
the net lately. The Caps have also
picked up the pace, despite Friday’s 6-1 thrashing at the hands of the league’s
best team. They’ve beaten both Ottawa
and Buffalo in the last ten, and
are starting to showcase a heck of a young offense around Ovechkin. The Isles
and Habs generally don’t beat you with a dominant offense, though the skaters
may have a little more trouble finding the net than usual. The Flyers continue to look more like a real
live NHL team, particularly defensively.
Consider benching Fleury in each of the Pens’ next two, but let him go
in the last three.
Philadelphia
Flyers
Hot: Simon Gagne (5 G, 4 A, 3 PPP, 2 SHP in Last Ten), Mike Knuble
(5 G, 1 A, 2 PPP, 1 GWG in Last Seven), Randy Robitaille
(4 G, 7 A, 5 PPP in Fourteen Since November 1), Joni
Pitkanen (5 A in Last Six), Antero Niittymaki (3-2-1, 2.31 GAA, .930 Sv. % in Last Six)
Cold: Mike Richards (Scoreless in Last Five), Peter Nedved (Scoreless, -5 in Last Six), Kyle Calder (Scoreless,
-5 in Last Nine)
Injuries: Peter Forsberg (D2D – Flu), Robert Esche (2-4 Weeks –
Abductor Muscle), Denis Gauthier (8-10 Weeks – Shoulder Surgery), Jeff Carter
(2 Weeks – Fractured Tibia)
While the goaltending has been better in Philadelphia
lately (it may have something to do with Esche’s trip
to the IR), the scoring is still pretty pitiful. A major reason for this has to be the
inability of Peter Forsberg to stay on the ice.
Forsberg, who hasn’t played in more than sixty games since 2002-03, has
missed the last two games with the flu, and has missed five games already this
season. Considering that the Flyers are
built to pretty much be a one-line team (until Jeff Carter returns to hopefully aid Mike Richards and Geoff
Sanderson on the second line), missing your number one center and biggest
superstar is going to mean you have a serious lack of scoring punch.
Simon Gagne has been doing his part to help the Flyers get
by without Forsberg, and has nine points in his past ten games even without one
of the game’s top centers at his side.
He and Mike Knuble are trying to carry this team to more than a handful
of wins, but when they can’t get going (as they couldn’t in Friday’s 2-0 loss
to the rival Devils), there’s very little to back them up.
On the positive side, Randy Robitaille
(a checking line center on a contender) is still having a career year, with
sixteen points in just twenty-two games.
Without much scoring power up front, he’s being called upon to play on
the second line quite a bit, and is even seeing some time playing with Gagne
and Knuble. He’s nothing more than a
quick-fix in fantasy terms, and should be watched if you considered picking him
up while he’s hot. When he cools off, we
should be looking at a pretty hard fall in his point-per-game production.
Joni Pitkanen is really the only defenseman the Flyers carry
worthy of fantasy consideration.
Unfortunately, his -17 rating and
the fact that he hasn’t scored a goal in 26 games this season have plundered
much of his value. He’s still spending
his fair share of time in the box (28 PIM) and has sixteen assists on the year,
though, making him a valuable second or third defenseman. Pitkanen is still the real deal, and he’ll
start finding the net soon. His +/- is a
reflection of the team’s overall play, and he’s actually shown a little
improvement in his past ten games (-3… we’re not talking miracles here!).
Niittymaki has been one of very few bright spots for the
Flyers, and is looking like a capable number one lately. He hasn’t allowed more than three goals in
his last seven starts, and is actually threatening the .500 mark in his past
ten starts.
Next Five: vs. Washington, vs. NY Rangers, at Pittsburgh, at Washington, vs. Carolina
Ordinarily, seeing the Caps twice in the next five would be
something that you’d be looking forward to.
However, they’ve won four of five to push themselves over the .500
mark. On the positive side, when they
square off tonight, the Caps may be down a bit, after losing 6-1 to the Ducks on
Friday. Apart from the Pens (who have
some terrific young talent of their own), every team the Flyers will face in
this stretch is in the top ten offensively.
In other words, despite Niittymaki’s hot streak, you may want to
consider other options if you have them.
The offense will go as far as Gagne and Knuble will carry them while
Forsberg’s out, but they do have the return of Jeff Carter in the next two
weeks to look forward to.