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On-Deck

Columnist: James Meyerriecks

Ballpark Analysis: Home Runs Yielded
April 08, 2007
On Deck is back and better than ever in 2007! We'll be bringing you new features targeted at specific positions, areas of statistical dominance, and even take a look at the upcoming schedule each week so you can figure out which teams have a favorable schedule coming up and which teams might struggle. Much like The Hook will be doing this season, we'll be breaking things down in specific areas so you can easily find what you're looking for!

You could venture to argue that if you went to ten different sites, you would get ten slightly different results about how they view a ballpark. Why is this? Beyond the obvious differences in how people modify certain areas of performance, they occasionally use slightly different data sets. What we believe at FIC is that the most accurate way to determine how each ballpark plays is to look at how the team that plays there the most (in other words, the team that calls it home) performs there in comparison to how they play on the road. With some very slight differences (primarily interleague play), each team will play almost exactly the same competition in their 81 home games that they do in their 81 road games.

 

We’ll begin our look around the league at how each park plays with what many novice fantasy owners tend to consider the only factor that they care about when determining what are hitter’s parks and what are pitcher’s parks: The Home Run. While the home run actually plays only a small part in how a ballpark plays overall, it’s clearly among the most important factors that need to be analyzed to determine a ballpark’s performance. To give a little insight as to how drastically the home runs affect a ballpark’s overall performance, one of our top rated hitter’s park for the 2006 season (Kaufmann Stadium) yielded just 167 home runs last season. In fact, the Royals and their opponents combined for three more home runs when Kansas City took their show on the road.

 

To compile our data for this study, we gathered the data for each team in MLB both at home and on the road for each of the past three seasons. Rather than simply taking the total home runs that each park yielded, we compared it with how the same two teams performed in the other parks (i.e., when the team that called that park home was on the road). We then subtracted each team’s road performance from their home performance to come up with the overall differential in home runs allowed during, for example, White Sox home games and White Sox road games. Speaking of the White Sox, U.S. Cellular earned a clean sweep in the past three seasons as the top home run hitter’s park. I guess the Hawk can put it on the board.

 

Apart from that, we’re just going to let the numbers speak for themselves….

 

2006 Home Run Differential

 

Rank

Team

HR Home

HRA Home

Total Home

HR Road

HRA Road

Total Road

Difference

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

1

Chicago White Sox

136

111

247

100

89

189

58

2

Cincinnati

124

117

241

93

96

189

52

3

Toronto

121

94

215

78

91

169

46

4

Philadelphia

112

121

233

104

90

194

39

5

Chicago Cubs

81

125

206

85

85

170

36

6

Baltimore

100

106

206

64

110

174

32

7

Houston

98

94

192

76

88

164

28

8

Tampa Bay

100

99

199

90

81

171

28

9

Los Angeles

88

78

166

65

74

139

27

10

Colorado

75

93

168

82

62

144

24

11

Arizona

86

102

188

104

66

170

18

12

New York Yankees

111

85

196

99

85

184

12

13

Texas

93

85

178

90

77

167

11

14

Milwaukee

96

83

179

84

94

178

1

15

Kansas City

65

102

167

59

111

170

-3

16

San Diego

75

92

167

86

84

170

-3

17

Atlanta

100

95

195

122

88

210

-15

18

Seattle

81

86

167

91

97

188

-21

19

Florida

84

79

163

98

87

185

-22

20

New York Mets

96

82

178

104

98

202

-24

21

St. Louis

85

91

176

99

102

201

-25