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The Hook

Columnist: James Meyerriecks

Second Base Profiles
March 04, 2007
1

1. Chase Utley – After busting loose with a .291 average, 28 homers, and 105 RBI in his first full season in 2005, Utley solidified himself as the top second baseman in baseball by bumping his average eighteen points and notching his first thirty homer season. He even tossed in a 35-game hit streak so that the national media could let Joe Casual Fan know what most fantasy owners already did…

 

FIC Spin: At 28, Utley is already in his prime and performing like it. He’ll likely lead the position in home runs and RBI for the second consecutive season, while he sprinkles in a terrific batting average and even a few stolen bases. He shouldn’t get out of the first round.

 

2007 Projection:

G

AB

Avg.

H

2B

HR

Runs

RBI

SB

OBP

Slg.

OPS

157

629

0.308

203

40

32

122

107

16

0.386

0.550

0.936

 

2. Brian Roberts – It was a shock that Roberts was ready to play on Opening Day after dislocating his elbow in the final month of 2006, but he came back firing. Roberts hit .330 in 94 April at bats, though he didn’t flash any of the pop that boosted him towards the top of the rankings in 2005. As the season progressed, however, the power came back, and he finished with 10 homers on the year despite having just one at the break.

 

FIC Spin: The late power surge came at a bit of a cost, as his average dipped to .277 in the second half. Still, Roberts remains a lock to hit .280 with a ton of stolen bases and 100 runs atop the Orioles’ lineup. The improved power that he showed late last season was just icing on the cake. Just hope he avoids the freak injury.

 

2007 Projection:

G

AB

Avg.

H

2B

HR

Runs

RBI

SB

OBP

Slg.

OPS

156

621

0.300

186

41

19

107

67

37

0.374

0.473

0.847

 

3. Josh Barfield – Barfield had an astonishing rookie campaign, winning the starting job in the Spring and never looking back. He showed off the power that made him the Padres’ top prospect for the better part of the decade, hitting thirteen bombs despite playing in a park where home runs go to die, and terrorized opposing batteries on the basepaths, successfully converting 21 of his 26 attempts.

 

FIC Spin: An offseason deal to Cleveland puts him in a stronger lineup and a considerably more favorable home park. Toss in that he’s at an age where hitters naturally tend to develop, and he’s a name on the rise.

 

2007 Projection:

G

AB

Avg.

H

2B

HR

Runs

RBI

SB

OBP

Slg.

OPS

144

582

0.291

170

34

19

82

75

24

0.333

0.457

0.791

 

4. Ryan Freel – The Reds have been trying for years to find a place for Freel to fit in on more of a daily basis, and it looked like they finally found one in 2006. With Wily Mo Pena in Boston and Austin Kearns traded to Washington at the deadline (along with Junior’s annual trip to the DL), Freel found a permanent home in the outfield for the Reds. He responded by doing exactly what he’s done for the past three years, hitting for a solid if unspectacular average, stealing a ton of bases, and scoring more than a handful of runs.

 

FIC Spin: He’ll enter the season as the Reds’ leadoff man and an everyday position player for the first time in his career. Expect him to thrive with the extra at bats and challenge the century mark in runs scored.

 

2007 Projection:

G

AB

Avg.

H

2B

HR

Runs

RBI

SB

OBP

Slg.

OPS

156

596

0.274

164

36

9

99

37

50

0.351

0.397

0.748

 

5. Brandon Phillips – Kicked to the curb by the Indians in the preseason, Phillips headed slightly southwest to Cincinnati and forced his way into a starting job by batting .349 with 3 homers and 22 RBI in April. The former top prospect displayed terrific power for the position (17 homers, 65 RBI) and threw in 25 steals to go with a .276 average on the year.

 

FIC Spin: Phillips did what the Tribe thought he might do when they picked him up in one of the bigger ripoff deadline deals in recent memory (speaking from an Expos/Nats fan’s perspective… Thanks Omar!) for Bartolo Colon, but they gave up on him before he took off. He has the minor league pedigree to repeat last year’s success for about the next decade.

 

2007 Projection:

G

AB

Avg.

H

2B

HR

Runs

RBI

SB

OBP

Slg.

OPS

147

575

0.280

161

31

19

76

81

24

0.323

0.437

0.760

 

6. Julio Lugo – Lugo had a terrific first half for the Devil Rays, batting .308 with 12 homers and 18 steals in the season’s first four months. However, a deadline deal that sent him to Los Angeles destroyed the remainder of his season, as his playing time suddenly became more sporadic and his home park became a lot less hitter-friendly.

 

FIC Spin: After signing with the Red Sox in the offseason, Lugo will return to a division that’s seen him have his best years and he’ll join one of the best lineups in baseball. Take advantage of his multi-position eligibility and enjoy the rebound he should have after a poor second half of 2006.

 

2007 Projection:

G

AB

Avg.

H

2B

HR

Runs

RBI

SB

OBP

Slg.

OPS

143

556

0.298

166

33

11

93

57

25

0.357

0.434

0.791

 

7. Rickie Weeks – Weeks dramatically improved his Balls In Play Average last season, increasing his batting average from .239 in 2005 to .279 last year. However, his fatal flaw didn’t really disappear, as he still had a robust strikeout rate (92 in 359 AB). He continued to show his improving power in his sophomore season while he was a handful for opposing batteries anytime he was on base. Unfortunately, for the second straight year, his season was cut short with a wrist injury.

 

FIC Spin: The strikeout rate is bound to come down a bit with more reps, but that’s what we have to start worrying about. Weeks has to stay healthy this season to avoid being labeled injury prone for the rest of his career. When he’s in the lineup, he’s as dangerous a middle-infielder as there is in the league, and at 24, still has plenty of room to grow.

 

2007 Projection:

G

AB

Avg.

H

2B

HR

Runs

RBI

SB

OBP

Slg.

OPS

137

517

0.273

141

21

14

101

59

26

0.332

0.414

0.746

 

8. Jeff Kent – Though he’s certainly not the dominant player that he was when he was younger, Kent proved in 2006 that he was still one of the best run-producing second basemen in the league, hitting fourteen homers and driving in 68 runs despite getting just over 400 at bats. However, he hit the disabled list twice with a wrist injury and an oblique injury, and started just 115 games for the Dodgers.

 

FIC Spin: He’s still just about as good a source of power as you’re going to find at the position, though he doesn’t have the base-stealing ability you want out of a second baseman. He’ll turn 39 just before the season begins, which means these injury bugs that he battled last year may plague him a little more often.

 

2007 Projection:

G

AB

Avg.

H

2B

HR

Runs

RBI

SB

OBP