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The Hook

Columnist: James Meyerriecks

Shortstop Profiles
March 04, 2007
1

1. Jose Reyes – Reyes took a couple of months to get going from an average-hitting standpoint, but he hit .373 in June and just kept on hitting the rest of the way to finish with a .300 average for the first time since his rookie season. More importantly, he started showing off that power many were expecting him to develop (19 homers) and continued to score runs (122) and steal bases (64) at an alarming clip.

 

FIC Spin: Our top-rated player at the end of last season, Reyes is an easy top five pick who could go as high as second in some drafts. He’s a threat to lead the majors in stolen bases with a .300 average and twenty homers.

 

2007 Projection:

G

AB

Avg.

H

2B

HR

Runs

RBI

SB

OBP

Slg.

OPS

153

669

0.298

199

30

16

132

71

76

0.345

0.461

0.805

 

2. Miguel TejadaThough Tejada’s home run total slipped for the second straight season, he made up for it a bit by batting a career-best .330. He still turned in his seventh straight 20+ homer season, while driving in 100 or more runs for the sixth time in seven seasons. Toss in 99 runs and his usual durability (1,080 consecutive games) and you had a monster fantasy season out of Tejada anyway.

 

FIC Spin: The decline in power is a bit alarming (he had just seven in the second half) from a player who doesn’t make much of an impact on the basepaths, Tejada remains a top option at a position where power is at a premium.

 

2007 Projection:

G

AB

Avg.

H

2B

HR

Runs

RBI

SB

OBP

Slg.

OPS

162

618

0.304

188

42

32

103

112

10

0.352

0.530

0.882

 

3. Jimmy Rollins – Rollins overcame a slow start with the bat to hit .277 thanks to a .344 effort in April. More importantly, however, he amped up his power in a big way around the All-Star Break, hitting 16 of his 25 home runs in the second half. His previous career best over a full season was 14. Rollins also did what he’s known for most, stealing 30+ bases for the third season in a row and fifth time in six seasons while scoring a career-best 127 runs.

 

FIC Spin: Smack in the middle of his prime, Rollins should have little trouble approaching last season’s breakout performance. He’s a demon on the basepaths who contributes in all facets of the game and shouldn’t make it out of the second round.

 

2007 Projection:

G

AB

Avg.

H

2B

HR

Runs

RBI

SB

OBP

Slg.

OPS

159

682

0.293

200

42

20

121

70

39

0.344

0.470

0.814

 

4. Derek Jeter – Jeter had perhaps his best all-around season since 1999, finishing second in the AL batting race with a .344 average while driving in 97 runs and scoring 118. Though his fourteen homers were far from overwhelming, Jeter made up for it with a career-best 34 steals in just 39 attempts.

 

FIC Spin: A mortal lock to hit fifteen homers and steal 25 bases, Jeter contributes strong numbers across the board. He won’t dominate a single category on his own, but it’s nearly impossible to find a category where his numbers aren’t above average.

 

2007 Projection:

G

AB

Avg.

H

2B

HR

Runs

RBI

SB

OBP

Slg.

OPS

159

653

0.318

208

36

17

116

81

26

0.379

0.463

0.842

 

5. Hanley Ramirez –Though detractors said his bat wasn’t ready for the big leagues heading into 2006, Ramirez proved the doubters wrong, batting .292 with 17 homers atop the young Marlins’ lineup. He also showed off the speed that helped make him one of the better shortstop prospects in baseball, swiping 51 bags in 66 attempts. He was rewarded with the NL Rookie of the Year award.

 

FIC Spin: Last year’s late-round/waiver wire steal is unlikely to be around past the third round in 2007. He has game-breaking speed, developing power, and even seems to have developed a pretty good batting eye. While he’ll need to cut down on his strikeouts in his second season, he’s a virtual lock for fifty steals and a hundred runs.

 

2007 Projection:

G

AB

Avg.

H

2B

HR

Runs

RBI

SB

OBP

Slg.

OPS

142

584

0.285

166

40

14

107

56

54

0.343

0.444

0.787

 

6. Rafael Furcal – While many figured the move to the Dodgers might hurt Furcal, as he was moving to a significantly better pitcher’s park, he posted a career year of sorts. Furcal hit .300 for the first time in his career, matched his career-best with 15 homers, and drove in a career-best 63 runs. He did it all while still being a monster on the basepaths, stealing 37 bases.

 

FIC Spin: He’s never going to develop into a huge power-hitting option, but Furcal does enough as an average-hitter and steals enough bases to be an upper tier option no matter the format. Toss in the fact that he’s scored 100+ runs in each of the past four seasons, and he’s just a cut below the elite.

 

3007 Projection:

G

AB

Avg.

H

2B

HR

Runs

RBI

SB

OBP

Slg.

OPS

156

640

0.296

190

32

15

112

62

40

0.357

0.444

0.801

 

7. Michael Young – Young hit over .300 for the fourth straight season, though his home run total dropped significantly from 24 to 14. In spite of the loss of his home run power, Young hit a career-best 52 doubles and thrived with runners in scoring position to set a new career best with 103 RBI. Though he did fail to hit the century mark in runs scored for the first time since 2002, Young performed as a top ten shortstop for the fourth year in a row.

 

FIC Spin: He doesn’t steal enough for the position, and he doesn’t have the power of the upper tier options. Young was miscast as the top shortstop by many fantasy owners heading into last season, and should slip an extra round or two in many drafts in 2007 because of it. If he’s sitting there in the fifth round, though, it’s time to take the chance.

 

2007 Projection:

G

AB

Avg.

H

2B

HR

Runs

RBI

SB

OBP

Slg.

OPS

161

677

0.322

218

46

18

101

96

10

0.367

0.482

0.849

 

8. Carlos Guillen – After injuries cost Guillen the chance to build on his breakout 2004 campaign in 2005, he slipped in quite a few drafts in 2006. However, he showed throughout the entire regular season that everyone misjudged him. Guillen hit .320 for the second consecutive season and fell just 1 homer shy of a 20/20 season. He also proved useful as both a run-scoring option and a run-producer, driving in 85 runs while scoring 100 for the first time in his career.

 

FIC Spin: Knee problems hampered Guillen a bit down the stretch, leading to him spending some time at first base in the playoffs. While he’s an above-average defender at shortstop, a position change may be coming in the near future. Take advantage of the fact that Guillen is a shortstop for the next year or two, as he’s an elite batting average option who helps out plenty in the counting categories as well.

 

2007 Projection:

G

AB

Avg.

H

2B

HR

Runs

RBI

SB

OBP