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Check out today's top HR Picks!

Home Run Predictions

Find out which batters are most likely to hit a HR each day of the MLB season.

Thu, 3/26
Most likely to homer (3/26/26)
Batter Pitcher Game
HRF
HR Pred
Trend
Odds
 AB H HR BA OBP OPS
C. Raleigh, C (B) T. Bibee (R) @ 3 CLESEA n/a 36%
0.5
 +265 7 1 0 .143 .333 .619 more
J. Caminero, 3B (R) M. Liberatore (L) @ 15 TBASLN 1.9 34%
0.5
 +2000 2 0 0 .000 .000 .000 more
S. Ohtani, DH (L) Z. Gallen (R) @ 10 ARILAN 1.5 32%
0.5
 +174 12 3 0 .250 .400 .733 more
K. Schwarber, DH (L) N. Eovaldi (R) @ 14 TEXPHI 1.5 31%
0.5
 +180 3 0 0 .000 .000 .000 more
M. Trout, OF (R) H. Brown (R) @ 11 ANAHOU 1.6 30%
0.5
 +750 6 1 0 .167 .375 .708 more
Y. Alvarez, DH (L) J. Soriano (R) @ 11 ANAHOU 1.6 28%
0.5
 +950 3 1 0 .333 .500 .833 more
P. Alonso, 1B (R) J. Ryan (R) @ 13 MINBAL 1.5 27%
0.5
 +950 1 1 0 1.000 1.000 2.000 more
F. Freeman, 1B (L) Z. Gallen (R) @ 10 ARILAN 1.5 27%
0.5
 +400 24 6 2 .250 .269 .852 more
J. Burger, 3B (R) C. Sanchez (L) @ 14 TEXPHI 1.5 25%
0.5
 +1500 8 3 0 .375 .375 1.000 more
R. Hoskins, 1B (R) L. Gilbert (R) @ 3 CLESEA n/a 25%
0.5
 -- 4 1 1 .250 .250 1.250 more
N. Gorman, 2B (L) D. Rasmussen (R) @ 15 TBASLN 1.9 25%
0.5
 +1500 1 0 0 .000 .000 .000 more
G. Henderson, SS (L) J. Ryan (R) @ 13 MINBAL 1.5 23%
0.5
 +1100 3 1 0 .333 .333 .666 more
T. Story, SS (R) A. Abbott (L) @ 16 BOSCIN 1.3 23%
0.5
 +2000 never faced
B. Harper, 1B (L) N. Eovaldi (R) @ 14 TEXPHI 1.5 23%
0.5
 +1300 24 8 1 .333 .429 .929 more
A. McCutchen, DH (R) C. Sanchez (L) @ 14 TEXPHI 1.5 23%
0.5
 -- 8 2 1 .250 .455 1.080 more
J. Lowe, OF (L) H. Brown (R) @ 11 ANAHOU 1.6 22%
0.5
 +2000 6 2 1 .333 .333 1.166 more
C. Walker, 1B (R) J. Soriano (R) @ 11 ANAHOU 1.6 22%
0.5
 +750 9 3 1 .333 .333 1.000 more
J. Soto, OF (L) P. Skenes (R) @ 14 PITNYN 1.4 22%
0.5
 +2000 3 0 0 .000 .250 .250 more
J. Jung, 3B (R) C. Sanchez (L) @ 14 TEXPHI 1.5 22%
0.5
 +1100 3 1 0 .333 .333 .666 more
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A. Garcia, OF (R) N. Eovaldi (R) @ 14 TEXPHI 1.5 22%
0.5
 -- 5 0 0 .000 .167 .167 more
J. Ramirez, 3B (B) L. Gilbert (R) @ 3 CLESEA n/a 22%
0.5
 +575 15 5 1 .333 .375 .908 more
K. Manzardo, DH (L) L. Gilbert (R) @ 3 CLESEA n/a 22%
0.5
 +700 3 1 1 .333 .333 1.666 more
Y. Diaz, 1B (R) M. Liberatore (L) @ 15 TBASLN 1.9 22%
0.5
 +2000 5 0 0 .000 .000 .000 more
J. Adell, OF (R) H. Brown (R) @ 11 ANAHOU 1.6 21%
0.5
 +2000 10 2 1 .200 .273 .773 more
K. Higashioka, C (R) C. Sanchez (L) @ 14 TEXPHI 1.5 21%
0.5
 -- 5 0 0 .000 .000 .000 more
G. Torres, 2B (R) N. Pivetta (R) @ 8 DETSDN 1.2 21%
0.5
 +950 19 4 2 .211 .286 .865 more
N. Castellanos, OF (R) T. Skubal (L) @ 8 DETSDN 1.2 21%
0.5
 +575 6 1 1 .167 .167 .834 more
M. Muncy, 3B (L) Z. Gallen (R) @ 10 ARILAN 1.5 20%
0.5
 +350 26 5 1 .192 .344 .690 more
B. Lowe, 2B (L) F. Peralta (R) @ 14 PITNYN 1.4 20%
0.5
 +475 5 1 0 .200 .200 .400 more
O. Cruz, SS (L) F. Peralta (R) @ 14 PITNYN 1.4 20%
0.5
 +950 13 1 1 .077 .250 .558 more
T. O'Neill, OF (R) J. Ryan (R) @ 13 MINBAL 1.5 19%
0.5
 -- 2 1 1 .500 .500 2.500 more
E. Suarez, 3B (R) G. Crochet (L) @ 16 BOSCIN 1.3 19%
0.5
 +1300 1 0 0 .000 .000 .000 more
C. Correa, SS (R) J. Soriano (R) @ 11 ANAHOU 1.6 19%
0.5
 +1300 6 3 0 .500 .500 1.167 more
M. Betts, SS (R) Z. Gallen (R) @ 10 ARILAN 1.5 19%
0.5
 +475 26 8 1 .308 .367 .867 more
K. Carpenter, OF (L) N. Pivetta (R) @ 8 DETSDN 1.2 19%
0.5
 +1100 3 0 0 .000 .000 .000 more
P. Pages, C (R) D. Rasmussen (R) @ 15 TBASLN 1.9 19%
0.5
 +2000 never faced
W. Contreras, C (R) A. Abbott (L) @ 16 BOSCIN 1.3 18%
0.5
 +950 11 3 1 .273 .500 1.045 more
Y. Diaz, C (R) J. Soriano (R) @ 11 ANAHOU 1.6 18%
0.5
 +2000 5 0 0 .000 .000 .000 more
Z. Neto, SS (R) H. Brown (R) @ 11 ANAHOU 1.6 18%
0.5
 +1300 11 1 0 .091 .231 .322 more
J. Soler, DH (R) H. Brown (R) @ 11 ANAHOU 1.6 18%
0.5
 +1600 1 0 0 .000 .000 .000 more
I. Paredes, 3B (R) J. Soriano (R) @ 11 ANAHOU 1.6 18%
0.5
 +1300 7 1 0 .143 .222 .365 more
K. Marte, 2B (B) Y. Yamamoto (R) @ 10 ARILAN 1.5 18%
0.5
 +400 15 5 1 .333 .444 1.044 more
C. Carroll, OF (L) Y. Yamamoto (R) @ 10 ARILAN 1.5 18%
0.5
 +390 17 1 0 .059 .059 .118 more
C. Santana, 1B (B) Y. Yamamoto (R) @ 10 ARILAN 1.5 18%
0.5
 +750 never faced
N. Arenado, 3B (R) Y. Yamamoto (R) @ 10 ARILAN 1.5 18%
0.5
 +625 2 0 0 .000 .000 .000 more
C. Yelich, OF (L) S. Smith (R) @ 13 CHAMIL n/a 18%
0.5
 +1300 3 0 0 .000 .000 .000 more
F. Lindor, SS (B) P. Skenes (R) @ 14 PITNYN 1.4 18%
0.5
 +2000 6 2 0 .333 .333 .666 more
C. Seager, SS (L) C. Sanchez (L) @ 14 TEXPHI 1.5 18%
0.5
 +1100 3 2 0 .667 .667 1.334 more
W. Langford, OF (R) C. Sanchez (L) @ 14 TEXPHI 1.5 18%
0.5
 +1500 3 0 0 .000 .000 .000 more
M. Machado, 3B (R) T. Skubal (L) @ 8 DETSDN 1.2 18%
0.5
 +1300 2 0 0 .000 .333 .333 more
J. Rodriguez, OF (R) T. Bibee (R) @ 3 CLESEA n/a 18% -- 9 3 0 .333 .333 .666 more
J. Bell, 1B (B) T. Rogers (L) @ 13 MINBAL 1.5 17%
0.5
 +1500 13 6 0 .462 .462 1.077 more
T. Ward, OF (R) J. Ryan (R) @ 13 MINBAL 1.5 17%
0.5
 +1300 6 0 0 .000 .125 .125 more
B. Buxton, OF (R) T. Rogers (L) @ 13 MINBAL 1.5 17%
0.5
 +950 never faced
L. O'Hoppe, C (R) H. Brown (R) @ 11 ANAHOU 1.6 17%
0.5
 -- never faced
A. Pages, OF (R) Z. Gallen (R) @ 10 ARILAN 1.5 17%
0.5
 +525 7 2 0 .286 .286 .572 more
W. Smith, C (R) Z. Gallen (R) @ 10 ARILAN 1.5 17%
0.5
 +400 22 7 0 .318 .423 .878 more
K. Tucker, OF (L) Z. Gallen (R) @ 10 ARILAN 1.5 17%
0.5
 +390 18 6 0 .333 .368 .924 more
T. Hernandez, OF (R) Z. Gallen (R) @ 10 ARILAN 1.5 17%
0.5
 +400 7 1 0 .143 .143 .286 more
J. Chourio, OF (R) S. Smith (R) @ 13 CHAMIL n/a 17%
0.5
 +400 3 0 0 .000 .000 .000 more
M. Semien, 2B (R) P. Skenes (R) @ 14 PITNYN 1.4 17%
0.5
 +2000 never faced
J. Realmuto, C (R) N. Eovaldi (R) @ 14 TEXPHI 1.5 17%
0.5
 -- 9 4 1 .444 .500 1.278 more
R. Arozarena, OF (R) T. Bibee (R) @ 3 CLESEA n/a 17%
0.5
 +625 7 2 1 .286 .444 1.301 more
C. Cowser, OF (L) J. Ryan (R) @ 13 MINBAL 1.5 16%
0.5
 +950 never faced
R. Jeffers, C (R) T. Rogers (L) @ 13 MINBAL 1.5 16%
0.5
 +1900 never faced
J. Westburg, 3B (R) J. Ryan (R) @ 13 MINBAL 1.5 16%
0.5
 -- 2 1 0 .500 .500 1.000 more
R. Anthony, OF (L) A. Abbott (L) @ 16 BOSCIN 1.3 16%
0.5
 +2000 never faced
G. Moreno, C (R) Y. Yamamoto (R) @ 10 ARILAN 1.5 16%
0.5
 +625 10 2 1 .200 .273 .773 more
M. Ozuna, DH (R) F. Peralta (R) @ 14 PITNYN 1.4 16%
0.5
 +1500 20 4 0 .200 .292 .592 more
L. Robert, OF (R) P. Skenes (R) @ 14 PITNYN 1.4 16%
0.5
 -- never faced
J. Polanco, 2B (B) P. Skenes (R) @ 14 PITNYN 1.4 16%
0.5
 +1300 4 1 0 .250 .400 .650 more
B. Reynolds, OF (B) F. Peralta (R) @ 14 PITNYN 1.4 16%
0.5
 +1500 39 15 1 .385 .467 1.031 more
J. Baez, SS (R) N. Pivetta (R) @ 8 DETSDN 1.2 16% +1100 11 3 1 .273 .333 .878 more
J. Naylor, 1B (L) T. Bibee (R) @ 3 CLESEA n/a 16%
0.5
 +425 3 0 0 .000 .000 .000 more
D. Canzone, OF (L) T. Bibee (R) @ 3 CLESEA n/a 16%
0.5
 +750 7 2 0 .286 .286 .715 more
J. Walker, OF (R) D. Rasmussen (R) @ 15 TBASLN 1.9 16%
0.5
 +950 never faced
S. Steer, OF (R) G. Crochet (L) @ 16 BOSCIN 1.3 15%
0.5
 +2000 5 1 0 .200 .333 .733 more
J. Bleday, OF (L) G. Crochet (L) @ 16 BOSCIN 1.3 15%
0.5
 -- 2 1 0 .500 .500 1.500 more
M. McLain, 2B (R) G. Crochet (L) @ 16 BOSCIN 1.3 15%
0.5
 +1500 3 2 0 .667 .667 1.667 more
J. Bart, C (R) F. Peralta (R) @ 14 PITNYN 1.4 15%
0.5
 +750 2 1 1 .500 .667 2.667 more
D. Jansen, C (R) C. Sanchez (L) @ 14 TEXPHI 1.5 15%
0.5
 +1500 5 2 0 .400 .500 1.100 more
F. Tatis, OF (R) T. Skubal (L) @ 8 DETSDN 1.2 15%
0.5
 -- never faced
A. Burleson, OF (L) D. Rasmussen (R) @ 15 TBASLN 1.9 15%
0.5
 +950 never faced
A. Rutschman, C (B) J. Ryan (R) @ 13 MINBAL 1.5 14%
0.5
 +2000 5 1 0 .200 .333 .533 more
O. Peraza, (R) H. Brown (R) @ 11 ANAHOU 1.6 14%
0.5
 +2000 4 3 1 .750 .750 2.500 more
Y. Moncada, 3B (B) H. Brown (R) @ 11 ANAHOU 1.6 14%
0.5
 +1300 5 0 0 .000 .167 .167 more
T. Tawa, 2B (R) Y. Yamamoto (R) @ 10 ARILAN 1.5 14%
0.5
 +625 1 0 0 .000 .500 .500 more
F. Alvarez, C (R) P. Skenes (R) @ 14 PITNYN 1.4 14%
0.5
 +950 4 0 0 .000 .333 .333 more
T. Turner, SS (R) N. Eovaldi (R) @ 14 TEXPHI 1.5 14%
0.5
 +1300 8 1 0 .125 .125 .500 more
R. Greene, OF (L) N. Pivetta (R) @ 8 DETSDN 1.2 14%
0.5
 +1300 8 1 0 .125 .222 .347 more
B. Naylor, C (L) L. Gilbert (R) @ 3 CLESEA n/a 14%
0.5
 +625 3 1 0 .333 .333 .666 more
M. Busch, 1B (L) C. Cavalli (R) @ 16 WASCHN 1.0 13%
0.5
 +1500 never faced
T. Stephenson, C (R) G. Crochet (L) @ 16 BOSCIN 1.3 13%
0.5
 +1100 2 1 0 .500 .667 1.667 more
W. Contreras, C (R) S. Smith (R) @ 13 CHAMIL n/a 13%
0.5
 +1100 2 2 0 1.000 1.000 2.000 more
A. Benintendi, OF (L) J. Misiorowski (R) @ 13 CHAMIL n/a 13%
0.5
 +1100 never faced
R. O'Hearn, 1B (L) F. Peralta (R) @ 14 PITNYN 1.4 13%
0.5
 -- 6 1 0 .167 .286 .453 more
B. Bichette, SS (R) P. Skenes (R) @ 14 PITNYN 1.4 13%
0.5
 +1500 3 1 0 .333 .333 .666 more
R. Laureano, OF (R) T. Skubal (L) @ 8 DETSDN 1.2 13%
0.5
 +1100 17 2 1 .118 .211 .505 more
L. Raley, OF (L) T. Bibee (R) @ 3 CLESEA n/a 13%
0.5
 +575 5 0 0 .000 .000 .000 more
B. Donovan, OF (L) T. Bibee (R) @ 3 CLESEA n/a 13%
0.5
 +700 1 1 1 1.000 1.000 5.000 more
C. Williams, SS (R) M. Liberatore (L) @ 15 TBASLN 1.9 13%
0.5
 +1300 1 0 0 .000 .500 .500 more
B. Lee, SS (B) T. Rogers (L) @ 13 MINBAL 1.5 12%
0.5
 +1500 never faced
R. Lewis, 3B (R) T. Rogers (L) @ 13 MINBAL 1.5 12%
0.5
 -- never faced
D. Beavers, RF (L) J. Ryan (R) @ 13 MINBAL 1.5 12%
0.5
 -- never faced
J. Wood, OF (L) M. Boyd (L) @ 16 WASCHN 1.0 12%
0.5
 +1500 6 1 0 .167 .167 .334 more
A. Bregman, 3B (R) C. Cavalli (R) @ 16 WASCHN 1.0 12%
0.5
 +1500 never faced
C. Moore, 2B (R) H. Brown (R) @ 11 ANAHOU 1.6 12%
0.5
 -- 2 0 0 .000 .000 .000 more
A. Hays, OF (R) J. Misiorowski (R) @ 13 CHAMIL n/a 12%
0.5
 +2000 1 1 0 1.000 1.000 2.000 more
K. Teel, C (L)O B. Woodruff (R) @ 13 CHAMIL n/a 12%
0.5
 -- never faced
A. Vaughn, 1B (R) S. Smith (R) @ 13 CHAMIL n/a 12%
0.5
 +1100 never faced
R. Vilade, OF (R) M. Liberatore (L) @ 15 TBASLN 1.9 12% +950 never faced
C. Mayo, 3B (R) J. Ryan (R) @ 13 MINBAL 1.5 11%
0.5
 +1500 never faced
M. Wallner, OF (L) T. Rogers (L) @ 13 MINBAL 1.5 11%
0.5
 +1500 never faced
S. Basallo, C (L) J. Ryan (R) @ 13 MINBAL 1.5 11%
0.5
 +1100 never faced
D. Lile, RF (L) M. Boyd (L) @ 16 WASCHN 1.0 11%
0.5
 +2000 3 2 1 .667 .667 2.334 more
I. Happ, OF (B) C. Cavalli (R) @ 16 WASCHN 1.0 11%
0.5
 +1300 never faced
J. Wiemer, OF (R) M. Boyd (L) @ 16 WASCHN 1.0 11%
0.5
 +950 2 0 0 .000 .000 .000 more
M. Conforto, OF (L) C. Cavalli (R) @ 16 WASCHN 1.0 11%
0.5
 -- never faced
P. Crow-Armstrong, OF (L) C. Cavalli (R) @ 16 WASCHN 1.0 11%
0.5
 +1100 never faced
J. Duran, OF (L) A. Abbott (L) @ 16 BOSCIN 1.3 11%
0.5
 +1300 3 1 1 .333 .333 1.666 more
P. Smith, OF (L)D Y. Yamamoto (R) @ 10 ARILAN 1.5 11%
0.5
 +625 5 0 0 .000 .167 .167 more
L. Sosa, 3B (R) B. Woodruff (R) @ 13 CHAMIL n/a 11%
0.5
 -- never faced
M. Vargas, 3B (R) J. Misiorowski (R) @ 13 CHAMIL n/a 11%
0.5
 -- never faced
S. Horwitz, 2B (L) F. Peralta (R) @ 14 PITNYN 1.4 11%
0.5
 -- 7 2 0 .286 .286 .572 more
B. Marsh, OF (L) N. Eovaldi (R) @ 14 TEXPHI 1.5 11%
0.5
 -- 4 1 0 .250 .250 .500 more
X. Bogaerts, 2B (R) T. Skubal (L) @ 8 DETSDN 1.2 11%
0.5
 +1500 4 0 0 .000 .200 .200 more
M. Winn, SS (R) D. Rasmussen (R) @ 15 TBASLN 1.9 11%
0.5
 -- never faced
C. Mullins, OF (L) M. Liberatore (L) @ 15 TBASLN 1.9 11%
0.5
 +2000 1 0 0 .000 .000 .000 more
I. Herrera, C (R) D. Rasmussen (R) @ 15 TBASLN 1.9 11%
0.5
 +850 never faced
C. Durbin, 3B (R) A. Abbott (L) @ 16 BOSCIN 1.3 10%
0.5
 -- 5 0 0 .000 .000 .000 more
C. Narvaez, (R) A. Abbott (L) @ 16 BOSCIN 1.3 10%
0.5
 +1500 never faced
C. Rafaela, OF (R) A. Abbott (L) @ 16 BOSCIN 1.3 10%
0.5
 +1500 2 0 0 .000 .000 .000 more
J. Altuve, 2B (R) J. Soriano (R) @ 11 ANAHOU 1.6 10%
0.5
 +950 3 0 0 .000 .500 .500 more
N. Schanuel, 1B (L) H. Brown (R) @ 11 ANAHOU 1.6 10%
0.5
 +1500 8 1 0 .125 .222 .347 more
J. Bauers, 1B (L) S. Smith (R) @ 13 CHAMIL n/a 10%
0.5
 +850 1 0 0 .000 .500 .500 more
B. Baldwin, 2B (B)D B. Woodruff (R) @ 13 CHAMIL n/a 10%
0.5
 -- never faced
D. Hamilton, SS (L) S. Smith (R) @ 13 CHAMIL n/a 10% +850 never faced
G. Mitchell, OF (L) S. Smith (R) @ 13 CHAMIL n/a 10%
0.5
 +950 never faced
B. Baty, 3B (L) P. Skenes (R) @ 14 PITNYN 1.4 10%
0.5
 +2000 2 0 0 .000 .000 .000 more
T. Taylor, OF (R) P. Skenes (R) @ 14 PITNYN 1.4 10%
0.5
 -- never faced
O. Kemp, 1B (R) J. deGrom (R) @ 14 TEXPHI 1.5 10%
0.5
 -- never faced
W. Perez, OF (B) M. King (R) @ 8 DETSDN 1.2 10%
0.5
 -- never faced
M. Andujar, OF (R) T. Skubal (L) @ 8 DETSDN 1.2 10%
0.5
 +950 2 0 0 .000 .000 .000 more
P. Meadows, OF (L) N. Pivetta (R) @ 8 DETSDN 1.2 10%
0.5
 +1100 2 0 0 .000 .333 .333 more
S. Torkelson, 1B (R) N. Pivetta (R) @ 8 DETSDN 1.2 10%
0.5
 +750 8 2 0 .250 .250 .500 more
C. Kayfus, 1B (L) L. Gilbert (R) @ 3 CLESEA n/a 10%
0.5
 +810 1 0 0 .000 .500 .500 more
D. Schneemann, OF (L) L. Gilbert (R) @ 3 CLESEA n/a 10%
0.5
 +850 3 0 0 .000 .000 .000 more
Note: OPS color trend requires a min. of 5 career PA.
Odds last updated: 3/26/26 8:03 pm EST

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How to read our HR Predictions

Probabilities and Odds

HR Predictions with Sportsbook Odds

For starters, the two key columns (highlighted in yellow) are our home run predictions for each batter along with the current sportsbook odds for hitting 1 HR or more (taking the "over" side on a 0.5 HR line). The HR prediction is the probability (from 1 - 100%) that the batter will go yard in the game... against the starting pitcher OR any number of relievers. Under ideal conditions, HR probabilities top out at around 45% (we're talkin' Aaron Judge against a SP he owns in a bandbox with the wind blowing out). A 45% probability also equates to odds of around +115.

Speaking of odds, nearly all HR props are underdog bets (positive odds). So, in the image here with +430 odds, a $100 bet will net you a cool $430 if your guy goes yard. Of course, the longer the odds, the tougher the HR conditions. Check out our MLB Odds page for a more general overview about how lines and odds work.

Weather impact on HRs

Weather and Home Runs

As you probably know (statistically or intuitively), weather plays a big role with the way a ball flies. Optimal weather conditions (high temps, wind blowing out, high elevation, etc) can increase the flight of a ball an extra 20+ feet. That can be huge and all the difference between a warning track fly and a ball a few rows into the bleachers.

To quantify that effect, we created a weather index that tracks all the key factors for each game and combines 'em into an index factor. Called HRForce, a reading of 1.5 is pretty high and means 50% more homers are expected versus the average. In the table above, the HRForce for each game is incorporated into the HR predictions (it's boosted by a relative percentage).

Icons and abbreviations explained...

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