since 2002

Alex Bregman or Royce Lewis

3B Age: 31 Bats: R Throws: R

This Season

2025 Projection
BARHRRBISBOPS
.2608122792.798

Rank (preseason)

111 ADP
10 3B

Career Stats

Alex Bregman
ABBAOBPOPS
4157 .272 .366 .849
Last 3 Years
YrABRHRRBISBBAOBPOPS
2022 548 91 23 93 1 .259 .366 .820
2023 622 102 25 98 3 .262 .363 .804
2024 581 78 26 75 3 .260 .315 .768

Key Splits

 ABBAOBPOPS
home2006.270.369.846
road2151.274.362.850
day1315.268.360.814
night2842.274.368.864
vs RHP2913.271.365.843
vs LHP1244.277.368.862
none on 2320 .258 .355 .812
risp 494 .306 .411 .968
loaded 83 .386 .452 1.235
April 597 .260 .368 .763
May 720 .258 .344 .818
June 628 .268 .364 .840
July 586 .258 .356 .836
Aug 801 .331 .411 .992
Sept 745 .264 .361 .850
3B Age: 25Bats: R Throws: R

This Season

2025 Projection
BARHRRBISBOPS
.26867289013.824

Rank (preseason)

109 ADP
11 3B

Career Stats

Royce Lewis
ABBAOBPOPS
549 .268 .327 .824
Last 3 Years
YrABRHRRBISBBAOBPOPS
2022 40 5 2 5 0 .300 .317 .867
2023 217 36 15 52 6 .309 .372 .920
2024 292 39 16 47 0 .233 .295 .747

Key Splits

 ABBAOBPOPS
home287.258.321.823
road262.279.334.826
day184.272.323.807
night365.266.329.833
vs RHP403.263.315.834
vs LHP146.281.359.797
none on 314 .261 .328 .767
risp 54 .241 .323 .823
loaded 20 .450 .417 1.667
April---
May 49 .306 .320 .912
June 169 .302 .350 .894
July 23 .217 .308 .786
Aug 145 .248 .311 .801
Sept 161 .236 .317 .721

So, Who's Better?

Going into the 2025 season, we have Bregman slotted as the #10-ranked third baseman (with an ADP of 111). Compare that with Lewis, who's #11 at the position (ADP of 109). Based on just those full-season projections, expect Lewis to be the slightly better fantasy performer. Nothing's that easy, though - let's dig into the most important stats for both daily and roto leagues...

DFS Contests

Daily lineups are all about timing, short-term trends and matchups, even among highly-ranked players. With these two guys, keep an eye on the following splits...

Bregman tends to perform better when:
  • It's a night game - his lifetime OPS when playing under the lights is .864 (.814 in day games)
Lewis tends to perform better when:
(No major split advantage)
He's pretty consistent overall

On any given day (see today's matchups), check to see how many of these OPS "bonuses" apply. If most or all are in play, highly consider going in that player's direction.

Roto Leagues

On the flip side, rotisserie is a marathon and MUCH more predictable. Most major trends tend to repeat, especially with established players.

For starters, Bregman is a 31-year old righty with the potential to produce a slash of .260/85/25/80 (BA/R/HR/RBI)... with basically no steals a year. So, that's the big downside here. He hits for an above-average OPS (~.800), so plenty of ways to stuff 5x5 cats. In baseball years, he's pretty established so don't expect major jumps in his stat ceiling (staying consistent is the name of the game for vets).

Now, with Lewis - he's a 25-year old righty with .270/70/30/95 splits... and toss in 15 stolen bases a season. He should hit for an OPS of ~.820, so an above-average source of extra-base hits. He's still fairly young and refining his skill set so those upper range stat lines are still in flux.

Overall, these two have a bunch in common so, over the course of a full season, you'll get a similar amount of fantasy points from each. Draft for value, not strictly points.

Related

Mark Vientos
or
Alex Bregman

What's your take?