since 2002

Bryce Harper vs Pete Alonso

1B Age: 33 Bats: L Throws: R

Next Season

2026 Projection
BARHRRBISBOPS
.28084278210.881

Rank (preseason)

18 ADP
3 1B

Career Stats

Bryce Harper
ABBAOBPOPS
6435 .280 .387 .906
Last 3 Years
YrABRHRRBISBBAOBPOPS
2023 457 84 21 72 11 .293 .401 .900
2024 550 84 30 87 7 .285 .373 .898
2025 501 70 27 75 11 .261 .357 .844

Key Splits

 ABBAOBPOPS
home3197.291.403.951
road3238.269.370.860
day2134.275.388.901
night4301.282.386.908
vs RHP4366.285.397.939
vs LHP2069.269.363.833
none on 3694 .267 .363 .866
risp 687 .274 .456 .951
loaded 126 .325 .366 .993
April 951 .283 .408 .965
May 1050 .275 .377 .907
June 902 .287 .387 .875
July 1032 .263 .371 .846
Aug 1243 .300 .390 .943
Sept 1158 .269 .387 .892
1B Age: 31Bats: R Throws: R

Next Season

2026 Projection
BARHRRBISBOPS
.24482361012.828

Rank (preseason)

38 ADP
5 1B

Career Stats

Pete Alonso
ABBAOBPOPS
3763 .253 .341 .857
Last 3 Years
YrABRHRRBISBBAOBPOPS
2023 568 92 46 118 4 .217 .318 .822
2024 608 91 34 88 3 .240 .329 .788
2025 624 87 38 126 1 .272 .347 .871

Key Splits

 ABBAOBPOPS
home1813.250.343.846
road1950.255.338.866
day1331.248.340.840
night2432.255.341.866
vs RHP2738.260.342.865
vs LHP1025.232.336.835
none on 1974 .249 .329 .827
risp 456 .272 .421 1.002
loaded 77 .221 .333 .762
April 547 .269 .359 .904
May 586 .246 .325 .832
June 546 .271 .365 .907
July 582 .216 .308 .756
Aug 744 .258 .347 .854
Sept 690 .248 .328 .873

So, Who's Better?

Going into the 2026 season, we have Harper slotted as the #3-ranked first baseman (with an ADP of 18). Compare that with Alonso, who's #5 at the position (ADP of 38). Based on just those full-season projections, expect Harper to be the slightly better fantasy performer. Nothing's that easy, though - let's dig into the most important stats for both daily and roto leagues...

DFS Contests

Daily lineups are all about timing, short-term trends and matchups, even among highly-ranked players. With these two guys, keep an eye on the following splits...

Harper tends to perform better when:
  • Playing at home split alert - his career OPS when playing in front of the home crowd is .951 (.860 on the road). That's a huge difference. Definitely factor this into your decision.
  • Facing a righty split alert - Harper has a career OPS of .939 against righties (.833 vs southpaws)
Alonso tends to perform better when:
(No major split advantage)
He's pretty consistent overall

On any given day, (see today's matchups) check to see how many of these OPS "bonuses" apply. If most or all are in play, highly consider going in that player's direction.

Roto Leagues

On the flip side, rotisserie is a marathon and MUCH more predictable. Most major trends tend to repeat, especially with established players.

For starters, Harper is a 33-year old lefty with the potential to produce a slash of .280/85/30/85 (BA/R/HR/RBI)... and chip in 15 swipes a year. With regard to OPS, a projected level of ~.880 means he'll inflict plenty of damage across all extra base cats.He's getting up there in age and, traditionally, most players start to slide/fall down a cliff... without much warning. So, always have a backup ready to go if things start to go south by midseason.

Now, with Alonso - he's a 31-year old righty with .240/85/40/105 splits... with virtually no SBs a season. You'll need to make up that speed gap elsewhere. OPS levels are likely to end up around ~.830, so a bunch of consistent extra-base damage. At his age, he's a legit veteran so, stat-wise, we pretty much know what to expect (or hope to get).

Overall, when it comes down to the most common roto categories, Harper gives you the edge in batting average. Not a whole lot of other differences between the two.

Related

Freddie Freeman
or
Bryce Harper

What's your take?