Ceddanne Rafaela or Colt Keith
Career Stats ✓
| AB | BA | OBP | OPS |
| 627 | .246 | .275 | .664 |
| Yr | AB | R | HR | RBI | SB | BA | OBP | OPS |
| 2022 | --- | |||||||
| 2023 | 83 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 3 | .241 | .281 | .667 |
| 2024 | 544 | 67 | 15 | 75 | 19 | .246 | .274 | .664 |
Key Splits
| AB | BA | OBP | OPS | |
| home | 312 | .250 | .287 | .684 |
| road | 315 | .241 | .263 | .644 |
| day | 211 | .237 | .264 | .605 |
| night | 416 | .250 | .281 | .694 |
| vs RHP | 459 | .259 | .283 | .684 |
| vs LHP | 168 | .208 | .253 | .610 |
| none on | 345 | .252 | .287 | .678 |
| risp | 83 | .205 | .239 | .588 |
| loaded | 16 | .500 | .529 | 1.217 |
| April | 90 | .167 | .204 | .515 |
| May | 92 | .239 | .263 | .698 |
| June | 92 | .304 | .333 | .713 |
| July | 94 | .287 | .323 | .812 |
| Aug | 101 | .267 | .295 | .671 |
| Sept | 144 | .215 | .245 | .592 |
Career Stats
| AB | BA | OBP | OPS |
| 516 | .260 | .309 | .689 |
| Yr | AB | R | HR | RBI | SB | BA | OBP | OPS |
| 2022 | --- | |||||||
| 2023 | --- | |||||||
| 2024 | 516 | 53 | 13 | 61 | 7 | .260 | .309 | .689 |
Key Splits
| AB | BA | OBP | OPS | |
| home | 236 | .246 | .305 | .674 |
| road | 280 | .271 | .313 | .702 |
| day | 232 | .259 | .318 | .671 |
| night | 284 | .261 | .302 | .703 |
| vs RHP | 434 | .251 | .301 | .683 |
| vs LHP | 82 | .305 | .352 | .718 |
| none on | 307 | .244 | .286 | .605 |
| risp | 58 | .310 | .373 | .907 |
| loaded | 4 | .000 | .429 | .429 |
| April | 80 | .163 | .221 | .396 |
| May | 73 | .342 | .388 | .881 |
| June | 82 | .220 | .238 | .567 |
| July | 87 | .322 | .404 | 1.048 |
| Aug | 106 | .264 | .297 | .627 |
| Sept | 77 | .273 | .313 | .664 |
So, Who's Better?
Going into the 2025 season, we have Rafaela slotted as the #21-ranked outfielder (with an ADP of 193). Compare that with Keith, who's #22 at 2B (ADP of 237). Based on just those full-season projections, expect Rafaela to be the better fantasy performer. Nothing's that easy, though - let's dig into the most important stats for both daily and roto leagues...
DFS Contests
Daily lineups are all about timing, short-term trends and matchups, even among highly-ranked players. With these two guys, keep an eye on the following splits...
- Playing at home - his career OPS when playing in front of the home crowd is .684 (.644 on the road)
- It's a night game split alert - his lifetime OPS when playing under the lights is .694 (.605 in day games)
- Facing a righty - Rafaela has a career OPS of .684 against righties (.610 vs southpaws)
- It's a night game - his lifetime OPS when playing under the lights is .703 (.671 in day games)
On any given day (see today's matchups), check to see how many of these OPS "bonuses" apply. If most or all are in play, highly consider going in that player's direction.
Roto Leagues
On the flip side, rotisserie is a marathon and MUCH more predictable. Most major trends tend to repeat, especially with established players.
For starters, Rafaela is a 24-year old righty with the potential to produce a slash of .250/55/15/65 (BA/R/HR/RBI)... and chip in 20 swipes a year. His OPS will probably be ~.660, well below average so will need to pick up the slack elsewhere. He's relatively young and his ceiling's not fully established so his projected stat levels could still shift upwards as well.
Now, with Keith - he's a 23-year old lefty with .260/50/15/60 splits... and chip in 10 swipes a year. He should hit for an OPS of ~.690, so don't count on him as an above-average source of extra base hits. He's young and optimizing his skill set so those upper range stat lines are still in flux.
Overall, these two have a bunch in common so, over the course of a full season, you'll get a similar amount of fantasy points from each. Draft for value, not strictly points.