since 2002

Rafael Devers or Manny Machado

3B Age: 28 Bats: L Throws: R

This Season

2025 Projection
BARHRRBISBOPS
.2808930924.866

Rank (preseason)

29 ADP
4 3B

Career Stats

Rafael Devers
ABBAOBPOPS
3802 .279 .345 .856
Last 3 Years
YrABRHRRBISBBAOBPOPS
2022 555 84 27 88 3 .295 .358 .879
2023 580 89 33 100 5 .271 .351 .851
2024 525 87 28 83 3 .272 .354 .870

Key Splits

 ABBAOBPOPS
home1832.291.356.876
road1970.268.335.837
day1202.317.378.942
night2600.262.330.816
vs RHP2591.286.356.909
vs LHP1211.265.321.740
none on 2089 .276 .332 .843
risp 499 .281 .409 .924
loaded 92 .283 .311 .833
April 534 .270 .341 .819
May 630 .295 .343 .908
June 588 .282 .355 .889
July 531 .322 .383 1.008
Aug 743 .240 .312 .759
Sept 704 .271 .344 .780
3B Age: 32Bats: R Throws: R

This Season

2025 Projection
BARHRRBISBOPS
.2778330998.826

Rank (preseason)

32 ADP
6 3B

Career Stats

Manny Machado
ABBAOBPOPS
6809 .279 .338 .826
Last 3 Years
YrABRHRRBISBBAOBPOPS
2022 578 98 32 102 9 .298 .366 .897
2023 543 75 30 91 3 .258 .319 .781
2024 593 77 29 105 11 .275 .325 .797

Key Splits

 ABBAOBPOPS
home3278.286.349.869
road3531.273.328.787
day2230.275.336.808
night4579.281.339.835
vs RHP5050.278.332.818
vs LHP1759.282.353.848
none on 3873 .268 .326 .805
risp 754 .306 .410 .955
loaded 122 .352 .348 1.053
April 940 .285 .354 .838
May 1093 .267 .330 .785
June 1099 .302 .346 .866
July 1050 .274 .350 .854
Aug 1359 .288 .333 .848
Sept 1159 .258 .318 .762

So, Who's Better?

Going into the 2025 season, we have Devers slotted as the #4-ranked third baseman (with an ADP of 29). Compare that with Machado, who's #6 at the position (ADP of 32). Based on just those full-season projections, expect Devers to be the slightly better fantasy performer. Nothing's that easy, though - let's dig into the most important stats for both daily and roto leagues...

DFS Contests

Daily lineups are all about timing, short-term trends and matchups, even among highly-ranked players. With these two guys, keep an eye on the following splits...

Devers tends to perform better when:
  • It's a day game split alert - his lifetime OPS when playing under the sun is .942 (.816 in night games)
  • Facing a righty - Devers has a career OPS of .909 against righties (.740 vs southpaws)
Machado tends to perform better when:
  • Playing at home split alert - his career OPS when playing in front of the home crowd is .869 (.787 on the road)

On any given day (see today's matchups), check to see how many of these OPS "bonuses" apply. If most or all are in play, highly consider going in that player's direction.

Roto Leagues

On the flip side, rotisserie is a marathon and MUCH more predictable. Most major trends tend to repeat, especially with established players.

For starters, Devers is a 28-year old lefty with the potential to produce a slash of .280/90/35/95 (BA/R/HR/RBI)... with basically no steals a year. So, that's the big downside here. With regard to OPS, a projected level of ~.870 means he'll inflict plenty of damage across all extra base cats. In baseball years, he's pretty established so don't expect major jumps in his stat ceiling (staying consistent is the name of the game for vets).

Now, with Machado - he's a 32-year old righty with .280/85/35/100 splits... and chip in 10 swipes a year. OPS levels are likely to end up around ~.830, so a bunch of consistent extra-base damage. At his age, he's a legit veteran so, stat-wise, we pretty much know what to expect (or hope to get).

Overall, these two have a bunch in common so, over the course of a full season, you'll get a similar amount of fantasy points from each. Draft for value, not strictly points.

Related

Austin Riley
or
Rafael Devers

What's your take?