MLB DFS Projections

Batters

Check out the best DFS plays for each day of the MLB season. All stats are projected except for OPS (actual matchup data).

Batter DFS Points (4/21/25)
Batter	Pitcher	Game	HRF			PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	R	SB	OPS
E. De La Cruz, SS (B)	M. Meyer (R)	@ 14 CINMIA	1.2	17.0	13.3	4.4	0.7	0.5	0.1	0.1	0.5	0.4	0.7	0.8	2.667	more
A. Judge, OF (R)	G. Williams (R)	@ 15 NYACLE	1.2	16.0	12.1	4.4	0.5	0.2	0	0.5	0.7	0.6	0.7	0	2.500	more
M. Ozuna, DH (R)	E. Fedde (R)	@ 10 SLNATL	1.2	15.4	11.8	4.2	0.7	0.4	0	0.4	0.6	0.9	0.5	0	1.956	more
J. Soto, OF (L)	A. Nola (R)	@ 14 PHINYN	1.3	13.8	10.1	4.4	0.4	0.2	0	0.3	0.6	1.2	0.7	0	1.051	more
G. Springer, OF (R)	H. Brown (R)	@ 7 TORHOU	n/a	13.4	10.4	4.5	0.7	0.1	0	0.4	0.5	0.3	0.7	0.2	1.166	more
F. Tatis, OF (R)	K. Montero (R)	@ 17 SDNDET	1.0	12.9	9.8	4.4	0.5	0.4	0	0.2	0.6	0.3	0.7	0.2	1.000	more
P. Alonso, 1B (R)	A. Nola (R)	@ 14 PHINYN	1.3	12.7	9.7	4.3	0.6	0.2	0	0.3	0.7	0.3	0.6	0	1.050	more
T. Turner, SS (R)	T. Megill (R)	@ 14 PHINYN	1.3	12.7	9.8	4.5	0.9	0.2	0	0.1	0.5	0.4	0.7	0.3	.708	more
M. Olson, 1B (L)	E. Fedde (R)	@ 10 SLNATL	1.2	12.2	9.1	4.2	0.3	0.2	0	0.4	0.7	0.4	0.6	0	1.000	more
J. Altuve, 2B (R)	K. Gausman (R)	@ 7 TORHOU	n/a	12.2	9.7	4.4	0.7	0.3	0	0.3	0.4	0.1	0.6	0.2	1.000	more
J. Ramirez, 3B (B)	C. Schmidt (R)	@ 15 NYACLE	1.2	12.0	9.2	4.3	0.7	0.3	0	0.1	0.6	0.3	0.6	0.2	.875	more
R. Devers, 3B (L)	J. Cannon (R)	@ 3 CHABOS	1.0	11.4	8.6	4.3	0.5	0.3	0	0.2	0.6	0.4	0.6	0	.000	more
A. Bregman, 3B (R)	J. Cannon (R)	@ 3 CHABOS	1.0	11.1	8.4	4.4	0.7	0.2	0	0.1	0.6	0.5	0.6	0	1.000	more
P. Goldschmidt, 1B (R)	G. Williams (R)	@ 15 NYACLE	1.2	11.1	8.3	4.3	0.6	0.2	0	0.2	0.6	0.5	0.6	0.1	.000	more
R. Hoskins, 1B (R)	R. Ray (L)	@ 9 MILSFN	1.2	11.1	8.1	4.3	0.4	0.2	0	0.2	0.6	0.7	0.6	0	.542	more
S. Torkelson, 1B (R)	R. Vasquez (R)	@ 17 SDNDET	1.0	11.0	8.4	4.1	0.5	0.2	0	0.3	0.5	0.5	0.5	0	5.000	more
M. Harris, OF (L)	E. Fedde (R)	@ 10 SLNATL	1.2	10.8	8.4	4	0.8	0.3	0	0.1	0.5	0.2	0.6	0.1	1.750	more
W. Contreras, C (R)	R. Ray (L)	@ 9 MILSFN	1.2	10.8	8.2	4.2	0.6	0.3	0	0.2	0.5	0.5	0.6	0	.000	more
A. Burleson, OF (L)	S. Schwellenbach (R)	@ 10 SLNATL	1.2	10.7	8.5	3.6	0.8	0.3	0	0.3	0.4	0.2	0.4	0	2.400	more
A. Gimenez, 2B (L)	H. Brown (R)	@ 7 TORHOU	n/a	10.7	8.5	3.9	0.7	0.2	0	0.2	0.4	0.2	0.4	0.2	2.334	more
S. Kwan, OF (L)	C. Schmidt (R)	@ 15 NYACLE	1.2	10.6	8.4	4.5	1.2	0.1	0	0	0.4	0.4	0.6	0.1	1.000	more
X. Bogaerts, 2B (R)	K. Montero (R)	@ 17 SDNDET	1.0	10.6	8.0	4.3	0.6	0.2	0	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.6	0.1	.500	more
J. Realmuto, C (R)	T. Megill (R)	@ 14 PHINYN	1.3	10.6	8.2	4.1	0.6	0.2	0	0.2	0.5	0.1	0.5	0.1	.857	more
M. Machado, 3B (R)	K. Montero (R)	@ 17 SDNDET	1.0	10.5	8.0	4.3	0.8	0.2	0	0.2	0.6	0.3	0.6	0	.666	more
V. Guerrero, 1B (R)	H. Brown (R)	@ 7 TORHOU	n/a	10.5	7.9	4.3	0.6	0.2	0	0.2	0.6	0.3	0.6	0	.000	more
S. Steer, OF (R)	M. Meyer (R)	@ 14 CINMIA	1.2	10.4	7.8	4.2	0.5	0.2	0	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.5	0.1	.333	more
I. Paredes, 3B (R)	K. Gausman (R)	@ 7 TORHOU	n/a	10.3	7.6	3.9	0.2	0.3	0	0.3	0.5	0.4	0.4	0	.933	more
X. Edwards, SS (B)	N. Lodolo (L)	@ 14 CINMIA	1.2	10.3	8.0	4	0.6	0.2	0	0	0.3	0.6	0.5	0.4	.900	more
J. Duran, OF (L)	J. Cannon (R)	@ 3 CHABOS	1.0	10.2	7.7	4.1	0.5	0.3	0.1	0.1	0.4	0.2	0.5	0.2	.000	more
L. Nootbaar, OF (L)	S. Schwellenbach (R)	@ 10 SLNATL	1.2	10.1	7.7	3.7	0.4	0.1	0	0.3	0.4	0.5	0.5	0.1	1.666	more
A. Riley, 3B (R)	E. Fedde (R)	@ 10 SLNATL	1.2	10.0	7.8	4.2	0.9	0.3	0	0.1	0.6	0.1	0.6	0	.800	more
N. Arenado, 3B (R)	S. Schwellenbach (R)	@ 10 SLNATL	1.2	10.0	7.5	4.2	0.6	0.2	0	0.2	0.7	0.3	0.5	0	.000	more
A. Santander, OF (B)	H. Brown (R)	@ 7 TORHOU	n/a	10.0	7.6	4.2	0.6	0.3	0	0.2	0.6	0.2	0.5	0	.777	more
B. Harper, 1B (L)	T. Megill (R)	@ 14 PHINYN	1.3	10.0	7.3	4.3	0.6	0.1	0	0.1	0.6	0.4	0.6	0.1	.453	more
F. Lindor, SS (B)	A. Nola (R)	@ 14 PHINYN	1.3	9.9	7.4	4.5	0.6	0.2	0	0	0.6	0.2	0.6	0.1	.551	more
K. Schwarber, DH (L)	T. Megill (R)	@ 14 PHINYN	1.3	9.9	6.9	4.1	0.1	0.3	0	0.1	0.6	0.9	0.6	0	.555	more
O. Albies, 2B (B)	E. Fedde (R)	@ 10 SLNATL	1.2	9.8	7.3	4.4	0.5	0.4	0	0	0.6	0.3	0.6	0.1	.694	more
B. Bichette, SS (R)	H. Brown (R)	@ 7 TORHOU	n/a	9.8	7.3	4.4	0.6	0.2	0	0.1	0.6	0.4	0.6	0.1	.167	more
B. Donovan, OF (L)	S. Schwellenbach (R)	@ 10 SLNATL	1.2	9.7	7.7	4.1	1.2	0.1	0	0.1	0.4	0.3	0.5	0	1.200	more
N. Jones, OF (L)	C. Schmidt (R)	@ 15 NYACLE	1.2	9.7	7.3	3.9	0.5	0.2	0	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.5	0.1	.000	more
T. Friedl, OF (L)	M. Meyer (R)	@ 14 CINMIA	1.2	9.7	7.3	3.9	0.5	0.2	0	0.1	0.5	0.3	0.5	0.2	1.333	more
B. Nimmo, OF (L)	A. Nola (R)	@ 14 PHINYN	1.3	9.7	7.2	4.1	0.6	0	0	0.1	0.4	0.7	0.6	0	.795	more
C. Santana, 1B (B)	C. Schmidt (R)	@ 15 NYACLE	1.2	9.6	7.1	4.2	0.5	0.2	0	0.1	0.5	0.6	0.5	0	.666	more
N. Castellanos, OF (R)	T. Megill (R)	@ 14 PHINYN	1.3	9.6	7.4	4.1	0.7	0.3	0	0.1	0.5	0.2	0.5	0	.777	more
M. Chapman, 3B (R)	Q. Priester (R)	@ 9 MILSFN	1.2	9.6	7.1	4.2	0.4	0.2	0	0.2	0.5	0.4	0.6	0	.000	more
M. Yastrzemski, OF (L)	Q. Priester (R)	@ 9 MILSFN	1.2	9.6	7.2	3.8	0.5	0.2	0	0.2	0.5	0.3	0.5	0	1.000	more
K. Carpenter, OF (L)	R. Vasquez (R)	@ 17 SDNDET	1.0	9.5	7.1	3.7	0.5	0.2	0	0.2	0.6	0.2	0.4	0	.000	more
J. Candelario, 3B (B)	M. Meyer (R)	@ 14 CINMIA	1.2	9.4	7.0	4.1	0.5	0.2	0	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.5	0	.333	more
S. Murphy, C (R)	E. Fedde (R)	@ 10 SLNATL	1.2	9.3	7.2	3.9	0.8	0.2	0	0.1	0.5	0.4	0.5	0	2.000	more
B. Marsh, OF (L)	T. Megill (R)	@ 13 PHINYN	1.3	9.2	7.1	3.6	0.5	0.1	0	0.2	0.4	0.4	0.4	0.1	.958	more
T. Fitzgerald, SS (R)	Q. Priester (R)	@ 9 MILSFN	1.2	9.2	7.0	3.9	0.5	0.2	0	0.1	0.4	0.2	0.6	0.2	.000	more
L. Arraez, 1B (L)	K. Montero (R)	@ 17 SDNDET	1.0	9.1	7.3	4.2	1.1	0.2	0	0	0.4	0.3	0.5	0	.666	more
J. Fraley, OF (L)	M. Meyer (R)	@ 14 CINMIA	1.2	9.1	7.0	3.5	0.6	0.1	0	0.1	0.4	0.5	0.4	0.1	2.000	more
M. Kepler, OF (L)	T. Megill (R)	@ 14 PHINYN	1.3	9.0	6.7	4	0.4	0.2	0	0.2	0.5	0.4	0.5	0	.000	more
N. Gorman, 2B (L)	S. Schwellenbach (R)	@ 10 SLNATL	1.2	8.9	6.7	3.8	0.5	0.1	0	0.2	0.5	0.3	0.5	0	.500	more
A. Verdugo, OF (L)	E. Fedde (R)	@ 10 SLNATL	1.2	8.9	6.9	4	0.6	0.4	0	0.1	0.4	0.3	0.5	0	1.000	more
A. Wells, C (L)	G. Williams (R)	@ 15 NYACLE	1.2	8.9	6.8	3.8	0.6	0.2	0	0.2	0.5	0.3	0.4	0	1.000	more
A. Bohm, 3B (R)	T. Megill (R)	@ 14 PHINYN	1.3	8.9	6.8	4.1	0.8	0.2	0	0	0.6	0.2	0.5	0	.777	more
W. Adames, SS (R)	Q. Priester (R)	@ 9 MILSFN	1.2	8.9	6.7	4.1	0.6	0.2	0	0.1	0.5	0.3	0.5	0	.286	more
A. Volpe, SS (R)	G. Williams (R)	@ 15 NYACLE	1.2	8.8	6.6	4.1	0.5	0.1	0	0.1	0.4	0.5	0.5	0.2	.500	more
T. Taylor, OF (R)	A. Nola (R)	@ 14 PHINYN	1.3	8.7	6.7	3.2	0.5	0.4	0	0	0.4	0.2	0.4	0.1	1.100	more
W. Contreras, C (R)	S. Schwellenbach (R)	@ 10 SLNATL	1.2	8.6	6.5	4	0.6	0.1	0	0.1	0.5	0.3	0.5	0	.334	more
C. Walker, 1B (R)	K. Gausman (R)	@ 7 TORHOU	n/a	8.5	6.2	4	0.4	0.1	0	0.1	0.6	0.4	0.5	0.1	.350	more
C. Rafaela, OF (R)	J. Cannon (R)	@ 4 CHABOS	1.0	8.4	6.6	3.7	0.8	0.1	0	0.1	0.4	0.1	0.4	0.1	1.000	more
M. Vientos, 3B (R)	A. Nola (R)	@ 14 PHINYN	1.3	8.3	6.3	3.8	0.6	0.1	0	0.2	0.5	0.2	0.4	0	.666	more
B. Rice, 1B (L)	G. Williams (R)	@ 15 NYACLE	1.2	8.2	5.9	3.8	0.2	0.2	0	0.2	0.5	0.5	0.4	0	.500	more
C. Yelich, OF (L)	R. Ray (L)	@ 9 MILSFN	1.2	8.2	5.9	4.4	0.5	0	0	0	0.5	0.4	0.7	0.1	.258	more
B. Naylor, C (L)	C. Schmidt (R)	@ 15 NYACLE	1.2	8.1	6.0	3.4	0.3	0.1	0	0.1	0.4	0.6	0.4	0.1	.000	more
J. Meyers, OF (R)	K. Gausman (R)	@ 7 TORHOU	n/a	8.1	6.2	3.6	0.4	0.1	0	0.2	0.4	0.2	0.4	0.1	1.250	more
J. Winker, OF (L)	A. Nola (R)	@ 14 PHINYN	1.3	8.1	6.1	3.7	0.5	0.1	0	0.1	0.4	0.4	0.4	0	.523	more
B. Rodgers, 2B (R)	K. Gausman (R)	@ 7 TORHOU	n/a	8.0	6.0	4.1	0.5	0.4	0	0	0.5	0.2	0.5	0	.600	more
B. Stott, 2B (L)	T. Megill (R)	@ 14 PHINYN	1.3	8.0	6.0	4	0.5	0.1	0	0.1	0.4	0.3	0.5	0.2	.100	more
Y. Alvarez, DH (L)	K. Gausman (R)	@ 7 TORHOU	n/a	7.9	5.4	4.2	0.2	0.1	0	0.1	0.7	0.5	0.6	0	.091	more
J. Rojas, OF (R)	T. Megill (R)	@ 14 PHINYN	1.3	7.6	5.9	3.4	0.6	0.1	0	0	0.3	0.1	0.4	0.2	.000	more
J. Lee, OF (L)	Q. Priester (R)	@ 9 MILSFN	1.2	7.6	6.2	4.4	1	0.1	0	0	0.2	0.3	0.4	0	.666	more
L. Wade, 1B (L)	Q. Priester (R)	@ 9 MILSFN	1.2	7.6	5.7	3.5	0.4	0.1	0	0.1	0.4	0.5	0.4	0	.333	more
J. Pena, SS (R)	K. Gausman (R)	@ 7 TORHOU	n/a	7.5	5.7	4.2	0.5	0.1	0	0.1	0.4	0.2	0.5	0.1	.000	more
O. Cabrera, 3B (B)	G. Williams (R)	@ 15 NYACLE	1.2	7.4	5.8	3.6	0.7	0.1	0	0.1	0.4	0.3	0.4	0.1	1.000	more
O. Lopez, 2B (R)	N. Lodolo (L)	@ 14 CINMIA	1.2	7.1	5.6	3.8	0.6	0.2	0	0	0.3	0.1	0.4	0.2	.000	more
A. Kirk, C (R)	H. Brown (R)	@ 7 TORHOU	n/a	7.0	5.3	3.7	0.6	0.1	0	0.1	0.4	0.3	0.3	0	.000	more
E. Clement, 3B (R)	H. Brown (R)	@ 7 TORHOU	n/a	6.8	5.4	3.3	0.7	0.1	0	0.1	0.3	0.1	0.4	0.1	1.000	more
P. Bailey, C (B)	Q. Priester (R)	@ 9 MILSFN	1.2	6.8	5.2	3.7	0.5	0.1	0	0.1	0.4	0.3	0.3	0	.000	more
G. Sheets, OF (L)	K. Montero (R)	@ 17 SDNDET	1.0	6.7	5.2	3.3	0.6	0.1	0	0.1	0.4	0.2	0.3	0	1.000	more
J. Sanchez, OF (L)	N. Lodolo (L)	@ 14 CINMIA	1.2	6.6	4.9	3.6	0.5	0	0	0.1	0.4	0.3	0.4	0	.650	more
E. Diaz, C (R)	J. Flaherty (R)	@ 18 SDNDET	1.5	6.5	5.0	3.6	0.5	0.1	0	0.1	0.4	0.2	0.3	0	.000	more
J. Iglesias, 2B (R)	J. Flaherty (R)	@ 18 SDNDET	1.5	6.2	4.8	3.8	0.5	0.2	0	0	0.3	0.1	0.4	0	.000	more
B. Rocchio, SS (B)	C. Schmidt (R)	@ 15 NYACLE	1.2	6.0	4.6	3.4	0.4	0.1	0	0	0.3	0.3	0.4	0.1	.000	more
K. Stowers, OF (L)	N. Lodolo (L)	@ 14 CINMIA	1.2	5.7	4.1	3.2	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.3	0.2	0.3	0	.000	more
L. Torrens, C (R)	A. Nola (R)	@ 14 PHINYN	1.3	5.5	4.3	3.1	0.6	0.1	0	0	0.3	0.2	0.3	0	1.334	more
R. Refsnyder, OF (R)	J. Cannon (R)	@ 3 CHABOS	1.0	5.4	4.1	3.1	0.4	0.1	0	0	0.3	0.2	0.4	0	.000	more
N. Allen, SS (R)	E. Fedde (R)	@ 10 SLNATL	1.2	5.0	4.0	3.4	0.6	0.1	0	0	0.2	0.2	0.3	0	1.000	more
---	W. Buehler (R)	@ 3 CHABOS	no matchup history vs opponent

Note: OPS color trend requires a min. of 5 career PA.

How we calculate our DFS projections

We use a bunch of data points to feed our DFS prediction algo. They include batter vs pitcher stats, weather conditions via our HRForce index, home plate umpire tendencies and a variety of other splits, short and long-term. Assuming a batter and pitcher have faced each other a fairly significant amount of times (typically >10 plate appearances), we tend to give matchup data a bit more weight. Our stolen base predictions also include how likely a batter/runner successfully steals on a particular pitcher (some baserunners exploit, time or read a pitcher's windup WAY better than others ... and are a near lock to steal when on base). Overall, no prediction model is perfect and we're constantly tinkering with it and back-testing to (hopefully) produce stats that give you a consistent edge.

This page is mostly tailored to batter DFS research but can be used to get a rough idea on how many fantasy points a starting pitcher may cough up. We plan on launching a dedicated pitcher DFS projection page soon. Until then, check out our daily matchup page for more historical batter vs pitcher stats.

Icons explained...

weather hasn't been collected yet
weather forecast at first pitch (hover for details)
stadium's roof is closed due to poor weather (or is fixed)
0 wind direction and strength in mph (pointing up = center field)
HRF HRForce (abbr HRF) is our weather index for how many more or less HRs could be hit due to weather (ambient temperature, rain, wind/direction, elevation, etc)
more link to our full batter v pitcher page that features actual matchup ranks, at-bat logs and more

Is this DFS data useful for a fantasy baseball points leagues as well?

DFS (daily fantasy sports) are all about what's happening today. Creating and optimizing a lineup for today's slate of games. The projections on this page help you figure out where the value lies compared to a player's salary... and squeezing out the max number of points for the day. Nothing carries over into tomorrow. Of course, fantasy baseball points leagues run the entire MLB season. You accumulate points for six long months. The hit probabilities on this page absolutely apply, just not the total projected points for the day (on Fanduel, DraftKings, etc). Dedicated fantasy baseball managers check on matchup stats and trends most days -- second to the draft, crunching matchup numbers is the single best way to get an edge on your league. Besides, it's fun! (usually :)

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