since 2002

Starting Pitcher Matchup Ratings

Find out which pitchers have the best (or worst) matchups each day of the fantasy baseball season.

Tue, 9/3
SP Confidence Score (9/3/24)
Sc
Pitcher vs Game
HRF
Hm/Rd
D/N
qAB
HH%
AB H 2B/3B HR OBP OPS
81.6 Z. Eflin (R) lineup @ 7 CHABAL 1.2 .737 .730 tbd 34% 20% 84 16 4 1 .233 .507
S. Burke (R) --- @ 7 CHABAL 1.2 .583 .594 tbd no matchup history vs opponent
82.8 S. Alcantara (R) lineup @ 10 WASMIA 1.4 .662 .680 tbd 28% 11% 125 24 4 2 .244 .516
78.2 M. Gore (L) lineup @ 10 WASMIA 1.4 .753 .801 tbd 28% 11% 41 7 2 1 .244 .561
85.5 S. McClanahan (L) lineup @ 4 MINTBA 1.5 .638 .656 tbd 28% 13% 38 6 1 0 .200 .384
72.0 P. Lopez (R) lineup @ 4 MINTBA 1.5 .699 .710 tbd 36% 13% 74 22 5 5 .316 .884
75.2 K. Gausman (R) lineup @ 8 PHITOR 1.3 .716 .741 tbd 44% 15% 148 41 9 9 .337 .864
84.6 Z. Wheeler (R) lineup @ 8 PHITOR 1.3 .648 .647 tbd 30% 12% 83 18 3 2 .267 .592
93.1 K. Senga (R) lineup @ 3 BOSNYN 1.1 .623 .621 tbd 40% 10% 9 3 0 1 .400 1.067
88.2 G. Crochet (L) lineup @ 3 BOSNYN 1.1 .636 .650 tbd 33% 0% 17 3 0 1 .222 .575
87.4 C. Sale (L) lineup @ 10 COLATL 1.4 .628 .624 tbd 26% 9% 42 7 2 0 .186 .424
69.0 K. Freeland (L) lineup @ 10 COLATL 1.4 .796 .791 tbd 44% 22% 181 52 10 6 .332 .796
91.2 S. Imanaga (L) lineup @ 8 PITCHN 1.2 .644 .693 tbd 24% 7% 40 6 0 0 .190 .340
91.2 P. Skenes (R) lineup @ 8 PITCHN 1.2 .552 .581 tbd 38% 16% 49 10 1 1 .291 .577
86.4 C. Ragans (L) lineup @ 7 CLEKCA 1.2 .636 .679 tbd 37% 12% 44 8 1 2 .294 .635
86.4 T. Bibee (R) lineup @ 7 CLEKCA 1.2 .671 .661 tbd 35% 14% 97 20 2 5 .306 .687
81.6 F. Peralta (R) lineup @ 8 SLNMIL 1.2 .653 .661 tbd 41% 20% 166 42 6 8 .337 .771
81.6 S. Gray (R) lineup @ 8 SLNMIL 1.2 .656 .670 tbd 39% 21% 87 20 7 3 .287 .735
80 N. Eovaldi (R) lineup @ 12 NYATEX n/a .723 .758 tbd 46% 21% 178 52 13 8 .328 .828
95 M. Fried (L) lineup @ 12 NYATEX n/a .647 .632 tbd 31% 19% 41 7 4 1 .190 .531
66.0 Y. Kikuchi (L) lineup @ 8 LANANA 1.6 .770 .777 tbd 40% 20% 94 30 8 5 .363 .948
79.2 B. Snell (L) lineup @ 8 LANANA 1.6 .638 .628 tbd 45% 21% 97 23 6 2 .315 .676
. () --- @ 8 SEAATH 1.4 tbd no matchup history vs opponent
82.8 L. Webb (R) lineup @ 8 ARISFN 1.4 .663 .671 tbd 37% 12% 162 37 9 1 .265 .567
82.8 Z. Gallen (R) lineup @ 8 ARISFN 1.4 .651 .647 tbd 33% 10% 106 18 6 3 .262 .583
Note: OPS color trend requires a min. of 5 career PA.

What makes or breaks a SP's matchup?

Baseball's a wonderfully complex game of stats and confidence. If a starting pitcher does way better at home, it could be for a variety of reasons: heavy pitcher's park (eg, the dimensions and weather at Oracle Park), home bed advantage, mound tailored to his needs, fan/family support, etc. Fact is, it's nearly impossible to pinpoint the "why" (even if you asked the pitcher). However, for fantasy baseball purposes, identifying and playing those trends goes a LONG way towards a successful season.

In addition to the more subjective reasons mentioned above, tangible factors like pitcher vs batter stats, temperature, wind (direction), humidity and the umpire behind home plate all play a big role. Our SP matchup tool above consolidates all the key stats and trends... tosses it into our matchup model and generates a Confidence Score (0-100). Just like at school, 90 to 100 is an excellent matchup and so on.

Finally, if you're looking for a more batter-specific perspective, we have a separate daily matchup page that breaks down all the key stats for each batter in a starting lineup.

Icons and abbreviations explained...

Do home plate umpires really make a difference?

Yes! Umpires are human and they develop tendencies over time. Maybe the way they position themselves behind the catcher or just how they perceive borderline pitches, some tend to call slightly more balls or strikes. Over time, that results in better or worse counts for batters... and changes the probabilities of outcomes (eg., OPS levels are way higher on a 3-1 count vs 2-2).

Monitoring who's calling pitches for your SP can help round out decisions. For example, if you're on the fence on whether to start a SP and a super pitcher-friendly ump is behind the dish, lean towards the start. Umpires are usually announced a few hours before first pitch - as that happens, they're added to the "Ump" column in the table above and incorporated into our Confidence Score. Check out all the umpire factors to familiarize yourself with their tendencies.

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