since 2002

Starting Pitcher Matchup Ratings

Find out which pitchers have the best (or worst) matchups each day of the fantasy baseball season.

Sat, 3/29
SP Confidence Score (3/29/25)
Sc
Pitcher vs Game
HRF
Hm/Rd
D/N
L5
qAB
HH%
AB H 2B/3B HR OPS
90.0 J. Soriano (R) lineup @ 14 ANACHA 1.0 .669 .675
tbd 22% 4% 24 2 0 0 .268
90.3 S. Schwellenbach (R) lineup @ 11 ATLSDN 1.4 .641 .639 tbd 40% 25% 58 11 3 2 .562
85 B. Falter (L) lineup @ 20 PITMIA n/a .765 .753
tbd 39% 16% 42 8 2 0 .493
85 Z. Littell (R) lineup @ 6 COLTBA n/a .743 .741
tbd 30% 13% 52 10 2 1 .496
83.3 G. Williams (R) lineup @ 16 CLEKCA 1.6 .685 .597
tbd 31% 14% 116 20 6 2 .531
83.3 M. Fried (L) lineup @ 16 MILNYA 1.6 .641 .684
tbd 39% 15% 71 15 5 0 .599
82.9 S. Imanaga (L) lineup @ 10 CHNARI 1.2 .663 .716
tbd 28% 10% 36 6 2 1 .537
82.9 N. Lodolo (L) lineup @ 12 SFNCIN 1.2 .725 .683
tbd 32% 10% 66 12 4 2 .562
82.9 J. Verlander (R) lineup @ 12 SFNCIN 1.2 .653 .629
tbd 39% 11% 69 18 5 3 .793
81.8 R. Olson (R) lineup @ 8 DETLAN 1.3 .645 .680 tbd 39% 10% 28 6 2 2 .790
80.0 J. Ryan (R) lineup @ 12 MINSLN 1.0 .680 .668
tbd 41% 9% 32 12 1 3 1.100
80 D. Kremer (R) lineup @ 14 BALTOR n/a .726 .753
tbd 46% 19% 108 31 5 7 .886
79.7 T. Mahle (R) lineup @ 13 BOSTEX 1.5 .723 .715
tbd 43% 9% 50 11 2 2 .684
78.6 S. Lugo (R) lineup @ 16 CLEKCA 1.6 .684 .693
tbd 34% 13% 65 13 4 2 .638
77.0 R. Sasaki (R) lineup @ 8 DETLAN 1.3 .746 .830 tbd 58% 8% 8 3 0 0 .958
76.0 R. Vasquez (R) lineup @ 11 ATLSDN 1.4 .750 .758
tbd 43% 18% 54 13 4 1 .687
75.0 J. Cannon (R) lineup @ 14 ANACHA 1.0 .799 .793
tbd 28% 4% 22 3 0 0 .376
75 V. Bellozo (R) lineup @ 20 PITMIA n/a .791 .881
tbd 41% 11% 25 7 1 1 .773
75 B. Miller (R) lineup @ 2 ATHSEA n/a .687 .669
tbd 51% 28% 52 16 1 3 .851
75.0 E. Fedde (R) lineup @ 12 MINSLN 1.0 .784 .783
tbd 32% 13% 57 10 3 2 .575
75 M. Scherzer (R) lineup @ 14 BALTOR n/a .654 .659
tbd 46% 16% 33 10 1 3 .984
74.0 J. Luzardo (L) lineup @ 9 PHIWAS 1.6 .707 .706
tbd 43% 11% 73 22 7 4 .961
73.1 B. Pfaadt (R) lineup @ 10 CHNARI 1.2 .780 .832
tbd 36% 13% 63 12 3 2 .572
70.3 W. Buehler (R) lineup @ 13 BOSTEX 1.5 .668 .654
tbd 50% 14% 45 16 0 2 .897
69.4 S. Arrighetti (R) lineup @ 10 NYNHOU 1.6 .757 .824
tbd 33% 4% 25 3 1 1 .465
69.4 G. Canning (R) lineup @ 10 NYNHOU 1.6 .760 .755 tbd 41% 15% 83 23 4 6 .904
65 A. Senzatela (R) lineup @ 6 COLTBA n/a .827 .829
tbd 71% 29% 19 9 2 0 1.103
64.8 N. Cortes (L) lineup @ 16 MILNYA 1.6 .716 .726
tbd 56% 12% 18 7 1 5 1.820
64.8 J. Irvin (R) lineup @ 9 PHIWAS 1.6 .775 .735
tbd 47% 17% 130 39 6 7 .887
O. Bido (R) lineup @ 2 ATHSEA n/a .760 .800
tbd 47% 19% 35 9 2 1 .772
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Note: OPS color trend requires a min. of 5 career PA.

What makes or breaks a SP's matchup?

Baseball's a wonderfully complex game of stats and confidence. If a starting pitcher does way better at home, it could be for a variety of reasons: heavy pitcher's park (eg, the dimensions and weather at Oracle Park), home bed advantage, mound tailored to his needs, fan/family support, etc. Fact is, it's nearly impossible to pinpoint the "why" (even if you asked the pitcher). However, for fantasy baseball purposes, identifying and playing those trends goes a LONG way towards a successful season.

In addition to the more subjective reasons mentioned above, tangible factors like pitcher vs batter stats, temperature, wind (direction), humidity and the umpire behind home plate all play a big role. Our SP matchup tool above consolidates all the key stats and trends... tosses it into our matchup model and generates a Confidence Score (0-100). Just like at school, 90 to 100 is an excellent matchup and so on.

Finally, if you're looking for a more batter-specific perspective, we have a separate daily matchup page that breaks down all the key stats for each batter in a starting lineup.

Icons and abbreviations explained...

Do home plate umpires really make a difference?

Yes! Umpires are human and they develop tendencies over time. Maybe the way they position themselves behind the catcher or just how they perceive borderline pitches, some tend to call slightly more balls or strikes. Over time, that results in better or worse counts for batters... and changes the probabilities of outcomes (eg., OPS levels are way higher on a 3-1 count vs 2-2).

Monitoring who's calling pitches for your SP can help round out decisions. For example, if you're on the fence on whether to start a SP and a super pitcher-friendly ump is behind the dish, lean towards the start. Umpires are usually announced a few hours before first pitch - as that happens, they're added to the "Ump" column in the table above and incorporated into our Confidence Score. Check out all the umpire factors to familiarize yourself with their tendencies.

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