since 2002

Starting Pitcher Matchup Ratings

Find out which pitchers have the best (or worst) matchups each day of the fantasy baseball season.

Wed, 4/16
SP Confidence Score (4/16/25)
Sc
Pitcher vs Game
HRF
Hm/Rd
D/N
L5
qAB
HH%
AB H 2B/3B HR OPS
87.1 G. Williams (R) lineup @ 15 CLEBAL 0.8 .685 .753
tbd 42% 19% 29 7 1 3 .929
87.1 D. Festa (R) lineup @ 10 NYNMIN 0.8 .744 .934 tbd 36% 18% 25 6 1 0 .601
85 Z. Littell (R) lineup @ 14 BOSTBA n/a .743 .745
tbd 27% 11% 76 12 6 3 .575
85 S. Newcomb (L) lineup @ 14 BOSTBA n/a .730 .718 tbd 39% 14% 23 6 0 0 .594
85 S. Strider (R) lineup @ 14 ATLTOR n/a .652 .644
tbd 41% 16% 30 7 4 1 .748
82.0 D. Kremer (R) lineup @ 15 CLEBAL 0.8 .726 .711
tbd 52% 17% 39 10 1 1 .729
82.0 J. Hagenman (R) lineup @ 10 NYNMIN 0.8 .700 .721 tbd 47% 27% 15 5 2 0 .800
82.9 C. Schmidt (R) lineup @ 14 KCANYA 1.2 .712 .730 tbd 42% 22% 70 17 5 2 .726
82.0 R. Ray (L) lineup @ 14 SFNPHI 0.8 .727 .729
tbd 47% 13% 86 23 4 3 .801
82.9 S. Matz (L) lineup @ 5 HOUSLN 1.2 .749 .694 tbd 39% 20% 53 13 1 3 .693
81.8 B. Falter (L) lineup @ 12 WASPIT 1.3 .765 .775
tbd 44% 15% 59 11 2 0 .482
81.8 M. Boyd (L) lineup @ 8 CHNSDN 1.3 .753 .698
tbd 38% 18% 71 18 3 2 .688
81.8 N. Pivetta (R) lineup @ 8 CHNSDN 1.3 .734 .671
tbd 43% 21% 84 25 6 4 .865
80 C. Bassitt (R) lineup @ 14 ATLTOR n/a .696 .700
tbd 42% 18% 81 23 6 3 .839
78.0 R. Blanco (R) lineup @ 5 HOUSLN 1.2 .680 .641 tbd 44% 16% 28 8 1 2 .911
77.6 J. Soriano (R) lineup @ 12 ANATEX 1.7 .669 .667
tbd 45% 19% 73 18 2 1 .652
76.9 A. Nola (R) lineup @ 14 SFNPHI 0.8 .678 .682
tbd 37% 13% 81 23 5 3 .820
75 J. Quintana (L) lineup @ 6 DETMIL n/a .710 .731
tbd 51% 22% 36 11 3 2 .931
73.1 N. Martinez (R) lineup @ 8 SEACIN 1.2 .750 .770
tbd 45% 20% 42 13 4 2 .956
73.1 B. Miller (R) lineup @ 8 SEACIN 1.2 .687 .721
tbd 34% 17% 41 10 2 2 .779
73.1 B. Pfaadt (R) lineup @ 13 ARIMIA 1.2 .780 .832
tbd 32% 16% 33 7 0 1 .619
73.1 K. Bubic (L) lineup @ 14 KCANYA 1.2 .752 .760 tbd 52% 22% 51 17 6 1 .946
73.0 P. Corbin (L) lineup @ 12 ANATEX 1.7 .771 .773
tbd 41% 20% 76 13 3 0 .500
72.6 J. Cannon (R) lineup @ 9 ATHCHA 0.7 .799 .801
tbd 48% 17% 37 9 2 0 .657
72.2 M. Parker (L) lineup @ 12 WASPIT 1.3 .759 .806
tbd 44% 24% 31 6 2 0 .523
70 K. Montero (R) lineup @ 6 DETMIL n/a .782 .789
tbd 42% 17% 22 8 1 3 1.255
68.3 G. Marquez (R) lineup @ 11 COLLAN 1.2 .767 .771
tbd 43% 17% 172 43 6 12 .801
68.3 B. Miller (R) lineup @ 11 COLLAN 1.2 .769 .785 tbd 41% 21% 37 12 2 4 1.089
68.3 M. Meyer (R) lineup @ 13 ARIMIA 1.2 .849 .865 tbd 33% 4% 22 5 0 2 .792
O. Bido (R) lineup @ 9 ATHCHA 0.7 .760 .800
tbd 42% 19% 35 10 1 1 .706
Note: OPS color trend requires a min. of 5 career PA.

What makes or breaks a SP's matchup?

Baseball's a wonderfully complex game of stats and confidence. If a starting pitcher does way better at home, it could be for a variety of reasons: heavy pitcher's park (eg, the dimensions and weather at Oracle Park), home bed advantage, mound tailored to his needs, fan/family support, etc. Fact is, it's nearly impossible to pinpoint the "why" (even if you asked the pitcher). However, for fantasy baseball purposes, identifying and playing those trends goes a LONG way towards a successful season.

In addition to the more subjective reasons mentioned above, tangible factors like pitcher vs batter stats, temperature, wind (direction), humidity and the umpire behind home plate all play a big role. Our SP matchup tool above consolidates all the key stats and trends... tosses it into our matchup model and generates a Confidence Score (0-100). Just like at school, 90 to 100 is an excellent matchup and so on.

Finally, if you're looking for a more batter-specific perspective, we have a separate daily matchup page that breaks down all the key stats for each batter in a starting lineup.

Icons and abbreviations explained...

Do home plate umpires really make a difference?

Yes! Umpires are human and they develop tendencies over time. Maybe the way they position themselves behind the catcher or just how they perceive borderline pitches, some tend to call slightly more balls or strikes. Over time, that results in better or worse counts for batters... and changes the probabilities of outcomes (eg., OPS levels are way higher on a 3-1 count vs 2-2).

Monitoring who's calling pitches for your SP can help round out decisions. For example, if you're on the fence on whether to start a SP and a super pitcher-friendly ump is behind the dish, lean towards the start. Umpires are usually announced a few hours before first pitch - as that happens, they're added to the "Ump" column in the table above and incorporated into our Confidence Score. Check out all the umpire factors to familiarize yourself with their tendencies.

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