since 2002

Starting Pitcher Matchup Ratings

Find out which pitchers have the best (or worst) matchups each day of the fantasy baseball season.

Thu, 4/17
SP Confidence Score (4/17/25)
Sc
Pitcher vs Game
HRF
Hm/Rd
D/N
qAB
HH%
AB H 2B/3B HR OBP OPS
78.2 E. Rodriguez (L) lineup @ 13 ARIMIA 1.4 .717 .704 tbd 50% 20% 10 3 1 0 .300 .700
69.0 E. Cabrera (R) lineup @ 13 ARIMIA 1.4 .704 .727 tbd 52% 20% 20 6 1 2 .440 1.090
78.4 T. Williams (R) lineup @ 4 WASPIT 1.1 .772 .813 tbd 47% 19% 47 11 3 1 .321 .683
78.4 A. Heaney (L) lineup @ 4 WASPIT 1.1 .752 .702 tbd 52% 30% 25 7 2 1 .333 .853
E. Hancock (R) --- @ 7 SEACIN 1.1 .766 1.030 tbd no matchup history vs opponent
78.4 B. Singer (R) lineup @ 7 SEACIN 1.1 .737 .728 tbd 43% 14% 84 23 4 5 .371 .871
80.0 J. Sears (L) lineup @ 14 ATHCHA 1.0 .759 .770 tbd 39% 24% 37 9 4 1 .263 .695
80.0 D. Martin (R) lineup @ 14 ATHCHA 1.0 .735 .743 tbd 22% 11% 8 1 0 1 .222 .722
95.0 J. Hicks (R) lineup @ 11 SFNPHI 1.0 .664 .666 tbd 49% 8% 30 5 0 0 .324 .491
85.0 C. Sanchez (L) lineup @ 11 SFNPHI 1.0 .686 .715 tbd 48% 24% 17 3 0 0 .333 .509
86.4 T. Bibee (R) lineup @ 4 CLEBAL 1.2 .671 .661 tbd 28% 22% 18 5 3 0 .278 .722
T. Sugano (R) --- @ 4 CLEBAL 1.2 tbd no matchup history vs opponent
85.0 M. Lorenzen (R) lineup @ 9 KCADET 1.0 .710 .694 tbd 42% 16% 31 7 0 1 .368 .691
85.0 R. Olson (R) lineup @ 9 KCADET 1.0 .645 .670 tbd 49% 24% 67 17 2 4 .320 .798
W. Warren (R) --- @ 12 NYATBA 1.5 1.012 .930 tbd no matchup history vs opponent
72.0 T. Bradley (R) lineup @ 12 NYATBA 1.5 .755 .803 tbd 45% 15% 17 2 1 0 .250 .426
85.0 A. Pallante (R) lineup @ 10 SLNNYN 1.0 .709 .709 tbd 49% 20% 35 8 2 0 .341 .627
75.0 G. Canning (R) lineup @ 10 SLNNYN 1.0 .772 .768 tbd 48% 39% 21 7 3 0 .391 .867
64.5 J. Kochanowicz (R) lineup @ 15 ANATEX 1.7 .742 .774 tbd 47% 22% 30 10 0 1 .375 .808
K. Rocker (R) --- @ 15 ANATEX 1.7 .685 .742 tbd no matchup history vs opponent
view all SP ⇓
Note: OPS color trend requires a min. of 5 career PA.

What makes or breaks a SP's matchup?

Baseball's a wonderfully complex game of stats and confidence. If a starting pitcher does way better at home, it could be for a variety of reasons: heavy pitcher's park (eg, the dimensions and weather at Oracle Park), home bed advantage, mound tailored to his needs, fan/family support, etc. Fact is, it's nearly impossible to pinpoint the "why" (even if you asked the pitcher). However, for fantasy baseball purposes, identifying and playing those trends goes a LONG way towards a successful season.

In addition to the more subjective reasons mentioned above, tangible factors like pitcher vs batter stats, temperature, wind (direction), humidity and the umpire behind home plate all play a big role. Our SP matchup tool above consolidates all the key stats and trends... tosses it into our matchup model and generates a Confidence Score (0-100). Just like at school, 90 to 100 is an excellent matchup and so on.

Finally, if you're looking for a more batter-specific perspective, we have a separate daily matchup page that breaks down all the key stats for each batter in a starting lineup.

Icons and abbreviations explained...

Do home plate umpires really make a difference?

Yes! Umpires are human and they develop tendencies over time. Maybe the way they position themselves behind the catcher or just how they perceive borderline pitches, some tend to call slightly more balls or strikes. Over time, that results in better or worse counts for batters... and changes the probabilities of outcomes (eg., OPS levels are way higher on a 3-1 count vs 2-2).

Monitoring who's calling pitches for your SP can help round out decisions. For example, if you're on the fence on whether to start a SP and a super pitcher-friendly ump is behind the dish, lean towards the start. Umpires are usually announced a few hours before first pitch - as that happens, they're added to the "Ump" column in the table above and incorporated into our Confidence Score. Check out all the umpire factors to familiarize yourself with their tendencies.

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