since 2002

Starting Pitcher Matchup Ratings

Find out which pitchers have the best (or worst) matchups each day of the fantasy baseball season.

Thu, 4/17
SP Confidence Score (4/17/25)
Sc
Pitcher vs Game
HRF
Hm/Rd
D/N
L5
qAB
HH%
AB H 2B/3B HR OPS
80.8 E. Rodriguez (L) lineup @ 13 ARIMIA 1.4 .730 .705 tbd 50% 21% 50 16 3 0 .726
76.0 E. Cabrera (R) lineup @ 13 ARIMIA 1.4 .699 .721
tbd 48% 13% 36 10 2 3 .996
79.0 T. Williams (R) lineup @ 4 WASPIT 1.1 .777 .815 tbd 45% 16% 65 14 3 2 .665
74.1 A. Heaney (L) lineup @ 4 WASPIT 1.1 .760 .718
tbd 44% 25% 50 12 3 1 .676
E. Hancock (R) lineup @ 7 SEACIN 1.1 .774 .866
tbd 45% 20% 19 6 0 1 .790
79.0 B. Singer (R) lineup @ 7 SEACIN 1.1 .733 .717
tbd 46% 15% 103 29 4 6 .873
75.0 J. Sears (L) lineup @ 14 ATHCHA 1.0 .776 .730
tbd 39% 21% 58 12 4 1 .586
80.0 D. Martin (R) lineup @ 14 ATHCHA 1.0 .740 .756
tbd 33% 13% 36 9 2 3 .891
85.0 J. Hicks (R) lineup @ 11 SFNPHI 1.0 .692 .699 tbd 47% 9% 54 12 2 0 .642
95.0 C. Sanchez (L) lineup @ 11 SFNPHI 1.0 .653 .669
tbd 35% 14% 59 12 3 1 .582
82.9 T. Bibee (R) lineup @ 4 CLEBAL 1.2 .689 .698
tbd 33% 14% 46 11 4 2 .743
78.0 T. Sugano (R) lineup @ 4 CLEBAL 1.2 .799 .758
tbd 42% 21% 34 7 1 1 .613
80.0 M. Lorenzen (R) lineup @ 9 KCADET 1.0 .722 .703
tbd 45% 17% 50 14 2 1 .780
85.0 R. Olson (R) lineup @ 9 KCADET 1.0 .645 .680 tbd 45% 23% 83 20 3 4 .746
70.3 W. Warren (R) lineup @ 12 NYATBA 1.5 .775 .733
tbd 53% 24% 34 14 2 1 1.006
70.3 T. Bradley (R) lineup @ 12 NYATBA 1.5 .742 .780
tbd 49% 15% 61 17 6 2 .864
75.0 A. Pallante (R) lineup @ 10 SLNNYN 1.0 .730 .736
tbd 47% 18% 68 19 2 1 .717
80.0 G. Canning (R) lineup @ 10 SLNNYN 1.0 .760 .755 tbd 41% 24% 37 9 3 0 .641
59.3 J. Kochanowicz (R) lineup @ 15 ANATEX 1.7 .832 .851
tbd 55% 23% 84 30 5 5 1.034
59.3 K. Rocker (R) lineup @ 15 ANATEX 1.7 .799 .925
tbd 34% 16% 36 9 3 2 .763
view all SP ⇓
Note: OPS color trend requires a min. of 5 career PA.

What makes or breaks a SP's matchup?

Baseball's a wonderfully complex game of stats and confidence. If a starting pitcher does way better at home, it could be for a variety of reasons: heavy pitcher's park (eg, the dimensions and weather at Oracle Park), home bed advantage, mound tailored to his needs, fan/family support, etc. Fact is, it's nearly impossible to pinpoint the "why" (even if you asked the pitcher). However, for fantasy baseball purposes, identifying and playing those trends goes a LONG way towards a successful season.

In addition to the more subjective reasons mentioned above, tangible factors like pitcher vs batter stats, temperature, wind (direction), humidity and the umpire behind home plate all play a big role. Our SP matchup tool above consolidates all the key stats and trends... tosses it into our matchup model and generates a Confidence Score (0-100). Just like at school, 90 to 100 is an excellent matchup and so on.

Finally, if you're looking for a more batter-specific perspective, we have a separate daily matchup page that breaks down all the key stats for each batter in a starting lineup.

Icons and abbreviations explained...

Do home plate umpires really make a difference?

Yes! Umpires are human and they develop tendencies over time. Maybe the way they position themselves behind the catcher or just how they perceive borderline pitches, some tend to call slightly more balls or strikes. Over time, that results in better or worse counts for batters... and changes the probabilities of outcomes (eg., OPS levels are way higher on a 3-1 count vs 2-2).

Monitoring who's calling pitches for your SP can help round out decisions. For example, if you're on the fence on whether to start a SP and a super pitcher-friendly ump is behind the dish, lean towards the start. Umpires are usually announced a few hours before first pitch - as that happens, they're added to the "Ump" column in the table above and incorporated into our Confidence Score. Check out all the umpire factors to familiarize yourself with their tendencies.

Have a suggestion? Get in touch!