since 2002

Starting Pitcher Matchup Ratings

Find out which pitchers have the best (or worst) matchups each day of the fantasy baseball season.

Sun, 4/27
SP Confidence Score (4/27/25)
Sc
Pitcher vs Game
HRF
Hm/Rd
D/N
L5
qAB
HH%
AB H 2B/3B HR OPS
92.6 T. Skubal (L) lineup @ 5 BALDET 1.2 .628 .608
tbd 36% 19% 66 15 1 2 .594
91.1 H. Brown (R) lineup @ 12 HOUKCA 0.9 .674 .732
tbd 47% 25% 56 17 2 2 .785
88.9 J. Hicks (R) lineup @ 5 TEXSFN 1.1 .692 .699 tbd 41% 19% 29 6 3 0 .591
87.8 T. Glasnow (R) lineup @ 10 PITLAN 1.2 .650 .657
tbd 34% 10% 54 11 0 3 .665
85.0 J. Taillon (R) lineup @ 9 PHICHN 1.0 .713 .723
tbd 40% 18% 117 32 6 3 .722
85.0 J. Ryan (R) lineup @ 15 ANAMIN 1.0 .680 .668
tbd 32% 17% 39 10 5 0 .678
85.0 T. Megill (R) lineup @ 16 NYNWAS 1.0 .745 .752 tbd 36% 13% 65 12 4 2 .570
83.9 N. Lodolo (L) lineup @ 5 CINCOL 1.1 .725 .683
tbd 31% 8% 32 7 2 2 .775
83.9 J. Leiter (R) lineup @ 5 TEXSFN 1.1 .717 .648
tbd 61% 22% 14 4 0 1 .944
81.0 D. Martin (R) lineup @ 4 CHAATH 0.9 .740 .756
tbd 36% 11% 33 8 2 1 .700
81.0 B. Bello (R) lineup @ 8 BOSCLE 0.9 .732 .792
tbd 58% 27% 38 13 4 1 .958
81.0 K. Bubic (L) lineup @ 12 HOUKCA 0.9 .752 .737 tbd 45% 20% 55 13 3 3 .788
81.0 J. Quintana (L) lineup @ 7 MILSLN 0.9 .710 .731
tbd 39% 17% 82 15 4 2 .582
80.0 J. Soriano (R) lineup @ 15 ANAMIN 1.0 .669 .675
tbd 41% 20% 34 11 3 0 .827
80.0 Z. Littell (R) lineup @ 11 TBASDN 1.0 .743 .741
tbd 40% 12% 52 15 4 0 .701
78.0 D. Kremer (R) lineup @ 5 BALDET 1.2 .726 .753
tbd 46% 24% 74 20 5 1 .719
77.0 C. Bassitt (R) lineup @ 13 TORNYA 1.3 .696 .700
tbd 39% 19% 134 37 7 6 .794
77.0 C. Schmidt (R) lineup @ 13 TORNYA 1.3 .712 .683 tbd 52% 19% 83 24 6 6 .957
75.0 S. Schwellenbach (R) lineup @ 13 ATLARI 1.5 .641 .639 tbd 42% 25% 22 7 4 1 1.015
75.0 A. Nola (R) lineup @ 9 PHICHN 1.0 .678 .682
tbd 36% 18% 138 29 9 4 .626
75.9 L. Allen (L) lineup @ 8 BOSCLE 0.9 .871 .858
tbd 40% 20% 9 1 0 0 .311
75.0 R. Vasquez (R) lineup @ 11 TBASDN 1.0 .750 .758
tbd 54% 14% 30 12 2 2 1.153
75 L. Evans (R) lineup @ 6 MIASEA n/a .782 .798
tbd 23% 8% 10 1 0 0 .350
73.1 B. Falter (L) lineup @ 10 PITLAN 1.2 .765 .753
tbd 48% 18% 58 21 6 5 1.139
70 M. Meyer (R) lineup @ 6 MIASEA n/a .849 .824 tbd 47% 18% 15 5 1 1 1.012
70.0 M. Parker (L) lineup @ 16 NYNWAS 1.0 .759 .676
tbd 48% 18% 52 16 3 3 .909
65.6 B. Pfaadt (R) lineup @ 13 ATLARI 1.5 .780 .696
tbd 48% 23% 57 18 11 1 .929
65.8 E. Fedde (R) lineup @ 7 MILSLN 0.9 .784 .783
tbd 55% 16% 121 44 8 5 1.005
64.2 B. Blalock (R) lineup @ 5 CINCOL 1.1 .950 .857
tbd 46% 24% 33 11 1 0 .742
O. Bido (R) lineup @ 4 CHAATH 0.9 .760 .727
tbd 36% 11% 34 9 0 2 .747
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Note: OPS color trend requires a min. of 5 career PA.

What makes or breaks a SP's matchup?

Baseball's a wonderfully complex game of stats and confidence. If a starting pitcher does way better at home, it could be for a variety of reasons: heavy pitcher's park (eg, the dimensions and weather at Oracle Park), home bed advantage, mound tailored to his needs, fan/family support, etc. Fact is, it's nearly impossible to pinpoint the "why" (even if you asked the pitcher). However, for fantasy baseball purposes, identifying and playing those trends goes a LONG way towards a successful season.

In addition to the more subjective reasons mentioned above, tangible factors like pitcher vs batter stats, temperature, wind (direction), humidity and the umpire behind home plate all play a big role. Our SP matchup tool above consolidates all the key stats and trends... tosses it into our matchup model and generates a Confidence Score (0-100). Just like at school, 90 to 100 is an excellent matchup and so on.

Finally, if you're looking for a more batter-specific perspective, we have a separate daily matchup page that breaks down all the key stats for each batter in a starting lineup.

Icons and abbreviations explained...

Do home plate umpires really make a difference?

Yes! Umpires are human and they develop tendencies over time. Maybe the way they position themselves behind the catcher or just how they perceive borderline pitches, some tend to call slightly more balls or strikes. Over time, that results in better or worse counts for batters... and changes the probabilities of outcomes (eg., OPS levels are way higher on a 3-1 count vs 2-2).

Monitoring who's calling pitches for your SP can help round out decisions. For example, if you're on the fence on whether to start a SP and a super pitcher-friendly ump is behind the dish, lean towards the start. Umpires are usually announced a few hours before first pitch - as that happens, they're added to the "Ump" column in the table above and incorporated into our Confidence Score. Check out all the umpire factors to familiarize yourself with their tendencies.

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