since 2002

Starting Pitcher Matchup Ratings

Find out which pitchers have the best (or worst) matchups each day of the fantasy baseball season.

Fri, 5/9
SP Confidence Score (5/9/25)
Sc
Pitcher vs Game
HRF
Hm/Rd
D/N
L5
qAB
HH%
AB H 2B/3B HR OPS
72.2 P. Corbin (L) lineup @ 8 TEXDET 1.3 .772 .776
38% 15% 49 14 0 5 .919
86.6 T. Skubal (L) lineup @ 8 TEXDET 1.3 .652 .667
  • 1.17
38% 10% 45 12 4 2 .844
73.1 B. Elder (R) lineup @ 12 ATLPIT 1.2 .724 .728
35% 24% 15 4 2 0 .753
78.0 B. Falter (L) lineup @ 12 ATLPIT 1.2 .772 .780
40% 17% 61 18 5 2 .792
E. Fedde (R) lineup @ 12 SLNWAS 1.0 .783 .770
43% 20% 29 4 0 0 .305
75.0 M. Parker (L) lineup @ 12 SLNWAS 1.0 .717 .785
44% 31% 15 2 0 0 .321
73.0 J. Quintana (L) lineup @ 15 MILTBA 1.7 .710 .692
41% 23% 22 8 2 0 .819
73.0 Z. Littell (R) lineup @ 15 MILTBA 1.7 .750 .752
50% 0% 8 2 1 0 .775
75.9 A. Nola (R) lineup @ 9 PHICLE 0.9 .671 .676
53% 27% 13 5 1 2 1.390
86.1 G. Williams (R) lineup @ 9 PHICLE 0.9 .699 .724
50% 25% 18 4 1 0 .633
87.1 J. Taillon (R) lineup @ 12 CHNNYN 0.8 .714 .717
25% 17% 63 12 2 3 .568
92.3 C. Holmes (R) lineup @ 12 CHNNYN 0.8 .637 .656
36% 28% 24 4 0 1 .452
H. Dobbins (R) --- @ 9 BOSKCA 1.2 no matchup history vs opponent
78.0 M. Lorenzen (R) lineup @ 9 BOSKCA 1.2 .710 .694
50% 14% 11 1 0 0 .305
79.0 M. Meyer (R) lineup @ 5 MIACHA 1.1 .909 .954 100% 0% 1 0 0 0 .500
79.0 B. Wilson (R) lineup @ 5 MIACHA 1.1 .790 .785 17% 0% 5 0 0 0 .167
78.0 N. Martinez (R) lineup @ 9 CINHOU 1.2 .752 .732
51% 29% 65 16 4 2 .686
87.8 H. Brown (R) lineup @ 9 CINHOU 1.2 .716 .673
36% 18% 22 4 0 1 .500
79.7 J. Hicks (R) lineup @ 10 SFNMIN 1.5 .664 .662 0% 0% 2 0 0 0 .000
C. Paddack (R) lineup @ 10 SFNMIN 1.5 .724 .703
51% 29% 46 16 5 4 1.105
77.8 R. Vasquez (R) lineup @ 4 SDNCOL 0.7 .792 .775
83% 39% 15 3 0 0 .533
67.4 A. Senzatela (R) lineup @ 4 SDNCOL 0.7 .802 .797
42% 17% 67 24 10 1 .975
69.4 T. Sugano (R) --- @ 7 BALANA 1.6
tbd no matchup history vs opponent
78.6 K. Hendricks (R) lineup @ 7 BALANA 1.6 .694 .691
tbd 33% 17% 29 5 0 0 .372
85.0 K. Gausman (R) lineup @ 9 TORSEA 1.0 .716 .741
  • 1.59
tbd 33% 11% 79 17 1 7 .744
95.0 L. Castillo (R) lineup @ 9 TORSEA 1.0 .678 .669
  • 0.00
tbd 30% 13% 45 6 4 0 .392
R. Sasaki (R) --- @ 6 LANARI n/a tbd no matchup history vs opponent
75 E. Rodriguez (L) lineup @ 6 LANARI n/a .717 .724 tbd 54% 17% 64 24 3 4 1.032
69.4 W. Warren (R) --- @ 7 NYAATH 1.6 1.012 .930
tbd no matchup history vs opponent
O. Bido (R) lineup @ 7 NYAATH 1.6 .653 .641
tbd 40% 40% 5 2 0 0 .800
Note: OPS color trend requires a min. of 5 career PA.

What makes or breaks a SP's matchup?

Baseball's a wonderfully complex game of stats and confidence. If a starting pitcher does way better at home, it could be for a variety of reasons: heavy pitcher's park (eg, the dimensions and weather at Oracle Park), home bed advantage, mound tailored to his needs, fan/family support, etc. Fact is, it's nearly impossible to pinpoint the "why" (even if you asked the pitcher). However, for fantasy baseball purposes, identifying and playing those trends goes a LONG way towards a successful season.

In addition to the more subjective reasons mentioned above, tangible factors like pitcher vs batter stats, temperature, wind (direction), humidity and the umpire behind home plate all play a big role. Our SP matchup tool above consolidates all the key stats and trends... tosses it into our matchup model and generates a Confidence Score (0-100). Just like at school, 90 to 100 is an excellent matchup and so on.

Finally, if you're looking for a more batter-specific perspective, we have a separate daily matchup page that breaks down all the key stats for each batter in a starting lineup.

Icons and abbreviations explained...

Do home plate umpires really make a difference?

Yes! Umpires are human and they develop tendencies over time. Maybe the way they position themselves behind the catcher or just how they perceive borderline pitches, some tend to call slightly more balls or strikes. Over time, that results in better or worse counts for batters... and changes the probabilities of outcomes (eg., OPS levels are way higher on a 3-1 count vs 2-2).

Monitoring who's calling pitches for your SP can help round out decisions. For example, if you're on the fence on whether to start a SP and a super pitcher-friendly ump is behind the dish, lean towards the start. Umpires are usually announced a few hours before first pitch - as that happens, they're added to the "Ump" column in the table above and incorporated into our Confidence Score. Check out all the umpire factors to familiarize yourself with their tendencies.

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