since 2002

Starting Pitcher Matchup Ratings

Find out which pitchers have the best (or worst) matchups each day of the fantasy baseball season.

Sat, 5/10
SP Confidence Score (5/10/25)
Sc
Pitcher vs Game
HRF
Hm/Rd
D/N
L5
qAB
HH%
AB H 2B/3B HR OPS
68.3 A. Pallante (R) lineup @ 8 SLNWAS 1.2 .730 .719
tbd 50% 14% 56 17 3 2 .792
73.1 T. Williams (R) lineup @ 8 SLNWAS 1.2 .777 .815 tbd 39% 17% 63 19 5 3 .857
78.6 C. Rodon (L) lineup @ 5 NYAATH 1.6 .683 .680
37% 16% 57 18 3 3 .876
69.4 J. Sears (L) lineup @ 5 NYAATH 1.6 .776 .730
44% 13% 54 15 0 4 .881
85.5 A. Smith-Shawver (R) lineup @ 7 ATLPIT 1.4 .691 .659 33% 13% 22 5 0 0 .519
76.0 A. Heaney (L) lineup @ 7 ATLPIT 1.4 .760 .718
36% 12% 64 13 4 1 .601
85 T. Myers (R) lineup @ 15 MILTBA n/a .693 .736 56% 22% 14 3 1 0 .619
75 T. Bradley (R) lineup @ 15 MILTBA n/a .742 .693
29% 14% 19 4 1 2 .829
90.0 J. deGrom (R) lineup @ 12 TEXDET 1.0 .588 .601
35% 10% 30 7 0 2 .691
80.0 J. Flaherty (R) lineup @ 12 TEXDET 1.0 .687 .690
39% 10% 62 13 1 7 .834
87.8 R. Suarez (L) lineup @ 6 PHICLE 1.2 .691 .680
34% 9% 32 8 0 0 .544
87.8 T. Bibee (R) lineup @ 6 PHICLE 1.2 .689 .698
33% 16% 62 11 5 0 .461
90.3 G. Crochet (L) lineup @ 5 BOSKCA 1.4 .626 .653
39% 9% 64 13 5 1 .594
76.0 C. Ragans (L) lineup @ 5 BOSKCA 1.4 .643 .683
44% 19% 52 13 4 1 .746
81.8 E. Cabrera (R) lineup @ 14 MIACHA 1.3 .699 .687
42% 12% 24 5 1 1 .644
81.8 S. Smith (R) lineup @ 14 MIACHA 1.3 .668 .719
36% 0% 14 4 1 0 .643
78.0 B. Singer (R) lineup @ 12 CINHOU 1.2 .733 .749
44% 17% 66 18 4 3 .799
L. McCullers (R) lineup @ 12 CINHOU 1.2 .684 .664
75% 25% 4 3 1 1 2.625
90.0 C. Horton (R) lineup @ 12 CHNNYN 1.0 .615 .591
37% 22% 25 6 0 2 .749
75.0 T. Megill (R) lineup @ 12 CHNNYN 1.0 .745 .741 45% 17% 46 14 3 2 .907
82.9 L. Webb (R) lineup @ 9 SFNMIN 1.2 .669 .677
35% 18% 47 11 3 2 .741
82.9 J. Ryan (R) lineup @ 9 SFNMIN 1.2 .680 .687
31% 8% 53 10 3 2 .612
86.1 S. Kolek (R) lineup @ 2 SDNCOL 0.9 .676 .708
34% 19% 30 7 2 0 .581
60.8 B. Blalock (R) lineup @ 2 SDNCOL 0.9 .950 1.010
59% 24% 48 21 2 6 1.335
80 D. May (R) lineup @ 12 LANARI n/a .680 .674
40% 18% 85 20 4 2 .651
90 C. Burnes (R) lineup @ 12 LANARI n/a .614 .609 41% 21% 95 22 3 1 .597
72.0 K. Gibson (R) lineup @ 10 BALANA 1.8 .754 .759 48% 25% 57 19 4 2 .893
63.0 J. Kochanowicz (R) lineup @ 10 BALANA 1.8 .832 .851
36% 3% 29 6 1 1 .648
85 B. Francis (R) lineup @ 9 TORSEA n/a .706 .752 35% 20% 42 10 1 2 .688
80 L. Evans (R) lineup @ 9 TORSEA n/a .782 .775
50% 32% 20 5 1 1 .768
view all games ⇓
Note: OPS color trend requires a min. of 5 career PA.

What makes or breaks a SP's matchup?

Baseball's a wonderfully complex game of stats and confidence. If a starting pitcher does way better at home, it could be for a variety of reasons: heavy pitcher's park (eg, the dimensions and weather at Oracle Park), home bed advantage, mound tailored to his needs, fan/family support, etc. Fact is, it's nearly impossible to pinpoint the "why" (even if you asked the pitcher). However, for fantasy baseball purposes, identifying and playing those trends goes a LONG way towards a successful season.

In addition to the more subjective reasons mentioned above, tangible factors like pitcher vs batter stats, temperature, wind (direction), humidity and the umpire behind home plate all play a big role. Our SP matchup tool above consolidates all the key stats and trends... tosses it into our matchup model and generates a Confidence Score (0-100). Just like at school, 90 to 100 is an excellent matchup and so on.

Finally, if you're looking for a more batter-specific perspective, we have a separate daily matchup page that breaks down all the key stats for each batter in a starting lineup.

Icons and abbreviations explained...

Do home plate umpires really make a difference?

Yes! Umpires are human and they develop tendencies over time. Maybe the way they position themselves behind the catcher or just how they perceive borderline pitches, some tend to call slightly more balls or strikes. Over time, that results in better or worse counts for batters... and changes the probabilities of outcomes (eg., OPS levels are way higher on a 3-1 count vs 2-2).

Monitoring who's calling pitches for your SP can help round out decisions. For example, if you're on the fence on whether to start a SP and a super pitcher-friendly ump is behind the dish, lean towards the start. Umpires are usually announced a few hours before first pitch - as that happens, they're added to the "Ump" column in the table above and incorporated into our Confidence Score. Check out all the umpire factors to familiarize yourself with their tendencies.

Have a suggestion? Get in touch!