since 2002

Starting Pitcher Matchup Ratings

Find out which pitchers have the best (or worst) matchups each day of the fantasy baseball season.

Sat, 5/10
SP Confidence Score (5/10/25)
Sc
Pitcher vs Game
HRF
Hm/Rd
D/N
qAB
HH%
AB H 2B/3B HR OBP OPS
81.6 A. Pallante (R) lineup @ 8 SLNWAS 1.2 .709 .708 tbd 63% 13% 14 7 1 0 .563 1.134
72.0 T. Williams (R) lineup @ 8 SLNWAS 1.2 .772 .813 tbd 38% 13% 39 12 3 3 .325 .940
70.4 C. Rodon (L) lineup @ 5 NYAATH 1.6 .698 .675 = 37% 14% 31 10 1 1 .382 .834
61.6 J. Sears (L) lineup @ 5 NYAATH 1.6 .759 .770 = 48% 7% 23 9 0 3 .500 1.283
A. Smith-Shawver (R) --- @ 7 ATLPIT 1.4 .661 .596 = no matchup history vs opponent
78.2 A. Heaney (L) lineup @ 7 ATLPIT 1.4 .752 .702 = 37% 12% 46 10 1 0 .288 .527
T. Myers (R) --- @ 15 MILTBA 1.7 .682 .799 = no matchup history vs opponent
T. Bradley (R) --- @ 15 MILTBA 1.7 .755 .700 = no matchup history vs opponent
90.0 J. deGrom (R) lineup @ 12 TEXDET 1.0 .586 .598 = 36% 9% 11 2 0 0 .182 .364
90.0 J. Flaherty (R) lineup @ 12 TEXDET 1.0 .681 .688 = 32% 9% 53 9 1 3 .214 .572
81.6 R. Suarez (L) lineup @ 6 PHICLE 1.2 .694 .687 54% 8% 12 6 0 0 .538 1.038
86.4 T. Bibee (R) lineup @ 6 PHICLE 1.2 .671 .661 29% 18% 36 6 3 0 .211 .461
82.8 G. Crochet (L) lineup @ 5 BOSKCA 1.4 .636 .650 42% 4% 22 4 2 1 .250 .659
82.8 C. Ragans (L) lineup @ 5 BOSKCA 1.4 .636 .679 45% 16% 31 6 2 1 .342 .697
79.9 E. Cabrera (R) lineup @ 14 MIACHA 1.3 .704 .691 38% 13% 7 2 0 0 .375 .661
S. Smith (R) --- @ 14 MIACHA 1.3 no matchup history vs opponent
81.6 B. Singer (R) lineup @ 12 CINHOU 1.2 .737 .745 36% 13% 52 10 1 2 .236 .563
L. McCullers (R) --- @ 12 CINHOU 1.2 no matchup history vs opponent
C. Horton (R) --- @ 12 CHNNYN 1.0 = no matchup history vs opponent
75.0 T. Megill (R) lineup @ 12 CHNNYN 1.0 .760 .755 = 42% 13% 26 7 2 1 .367 .867
76.8 L. Webb (R) lineup @ 9 SFNMIN 1.2 .663 .671 = 46% 29% 21 6 1 1 .375 .899
81.6 J. Ryan (R) lineup @ 9 SFNMIN 1.2 .684 .707 = 38% 15% 29 7 3 0 .324 .669
76.5 S. Kolek (R) lineup @ 2 SDNCOL 0.9 .762 .764 = 75% 50% 4 3 1 0 .750 1.750
76.5 B. Blalock (R) lineup @ 2 SDNCOL 0.9 .849 .829 = 38% 25% 15 3 0 0 .250 .450
95 D. May (R) lineup @ 12 LANARI n/a .599 .588 45% 25% 37 8 3 0 .275 .572
90 C. Burnes (R) lineup @ 12 LANARI n/a .611 .610 40% 21% 63 15 3 1 .329 .662
67.2 K. Gibson (R) lineup @ 10 BALANA 1.8 .748 .752 52% 30% 44 15 3 1 .370 .847
J. Kochanowicz (R) --- @ 10 BALANA 1.8 .742 .774 no matchup history vs opponent
90 B. Francis (R) lineup @ 9 TORSEA n/a .607 .634 25% 0% 4 1 0 0 .250 .500
L. Evans (R) --- @ 9 TORSEA n/a no matchup history vs opponent
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Note: OPS color trend requires a min. of 5 career PA.

What makes or breaks a SP's matchup?

Baseball's a wonderfully complex game of stats and confidence. If a starting pitcher does way better at home, it could be for a variety of reasons: heavy pitcher's park (eg, the dimensions and weather at Oracle Park), home bed advantage, mound tailored to his needs, fan/family support, etc. Fact is, it's nearly impossible to pinpoint the "why" (even if you asked the pitcher). However, for fantasy baseball purposes, identifying and playing those trends goes a LONG way towards a successful season.

In addition to the more subjective reasons mentioned above, tangible factors like pitcher vs batter stats, temperature, wind (direction), humidity and the umpire behind home plate all play a big role. Our SP matchup tool above consolidates all the key stats and trends... tosses it into our matchup model and generates a Confidence Score (0-100). Just like at school, 90 to 100 is an excellent matchup and so on.

Finally, if you're looking for a more batter-specific perspective, we have a separate daily matchup page that breaks down all the key stats for each batter in a starting lineup.

Icons and abbreviations explained...

Do home plate umpires really make a difference?

Yes! Umpires are human and they develop tendencies over time. Maybe the way they position themselves behind the catcher or just how they perceive borderline pitches, some tend to call slightly more balls or strikes. Over time, that results in better or worse counts for batters... and changes the probabilities of outcomes (eg., OPS levels are way higher on a 3-1 count vs 2-2).

Monitoring who's calling pitches for your SP can help round out decisions. For example, if you're on the fence on whether to start a SP and a super pitcher-friendly ump is behind the dish, lean towards the start. Umpires are usually announced a few hours before first pitch - as that happens, they're added to the "Ump" column in the table above and incorporated into our Confidence Score. Check out all the umpire factors to familiarize yourself with their tendencies.

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