since 2002

Starting Pitcher Matchup Ratings

Find out which pitchers have the best (or worst) matchups each day of the fantasy baseball season.

Sat, 5/10
SP Confidence Score (5/10/25)
Sc
Pitcher vs Game
HRF
Hm/Rd
D/N
L5
qAB
HH%
AB H 2B/3B HR OPS
68.3 A. Pallante (R) lineup @ 8 SLNWAS 1.2 .709 .708
tbd 63% 13% 14 7 1 0 1.134
73.1 T. Williams (R) lineup @ 8 SLNWAS 1.2 .772 .813 tbd 38% 13% 39 12 3 3 .940
78.6 C. Rodon (L) lineup @ 5 NYAATH 1.6 .698 .675
37% 14% 31 10 1 1 .834
64.8 J. Sears (L) lineup @ 5 NYAATH 1.6 .759 .770
48% 7% 23 9 0 3 1.283
A. Smith-Shawver (R) --- @ 7 ATLPIT 1.4 .661 .596 no matchup history vs opponent
76.0 A. Heaney (L) lineup @ 7 ATLPIT 1.4 .752 .702
37% 12% 46 10 1 0 .527
T. Myers (R) --- @ 15 MILTBA 1.7 .682 .799 no matchup history vs opponent
68.4 T. Bradley (R) --- @ 15 MILTBA 1.7 .755 .700
no matchup history vs opponent
90.0 J. deGrom (R) lineup @ 12 TEXDET 1.0 .586 .598
36% 9% 11 2 0 0 .364
85.0 J. Flaherty (R) lineup @ 12 TEXDET 1.0 .681 .688
32% 9% 53 9 1 3 .572
87.8 R. Suarez (L) lineup @ 6 PHICLE 1.2 .694 .687
54% 8% 12 6 0 0 1.038
87.8 T. Bibee (R) lineup @ 6 PHICLE 1.2 .671 .661
29% 18% 36 6 3 0 .461
85.5 G. Crochet (L) lineup @ 5 BOSKCA 1.4 .636 .650
42% 4% 22 4 2 1 .659
76.0 C. Ragans (L) lineup @ 5 BOSKCA 1.4 .636 .679
45% 16% 31 6 2 1 .697
81.8 E. Cabrera (R) lineup @ 14 MIACHA 1.3 .704 .691
38% 13% 7 2 0 0 .661
77.0 S. Smith (R) --- @ 14 MIACHA 1.3
no matchup history vs opponent
82.9 B. Singer (R) lineup @ 12 CINHOU 1.2 .737 .745
36% 13% 52 10 1 2 .563
L. McCullers (R) --- @ 12 CINHOU 1.2 no matchup history vs opponent
90.0 C. Horton (R) --- @ 12 CHNNYN 1.0
no matchup history vs opponent
75.0 T. Megill (R) lineup @ 12 CHNNYN 1.0 .760 .755 42% 13% 26 7 2 1 .867
82.9 L. Webb (R) lineup @ 9 SFNMIN 1.2 .663 .671
46% 29% 21 6 1 1 .899
82.9 J. Ryan (R) lineup @ 9 SFNMIN 1.2 .684 .707
38% 15% 29 7 3 0 .669
86.1 S. Kolek (R) lineup @ 2 SDNCOL 0.9 .762 .764
75% 50% 4 3 1 0 1.750
65.8 B. Blalock (R) lineup @ 2 SDNCOL 0.9 .849 .829
38% 25% 15 3 0 0 .450
85 D. May (R) lineup @ 12 LANARI n/a .599 .588
45% 25% 37 8 3 0 .572
90 C. Burnes (R) lineup @ 12 LANARI n/a .611 .610 40% 21% 63 15 3 1 .662
72.0 K. Gibson (R) lineup @ 10 BALANA 1.8 .748 .752 52% 30% 44 15 3 1 .847
63.0 J. Kochanowicz (R) --- @ 10 BALANA 1.8 .742 .774
no matchup history vs opponent
90 B. Francis (R) lineup @ 9 TORSEA n/a .607 .634 25% 0% 4 1 0 0 .500
80 L. Evans (R) --- @ 9 TORSEA n/a
no matchup history vs opponent
view all games ⇓
Note: OPS color trend requires a min. of 5 career PA.

What makes or breaks a SP's matchup?

Baseball's a wonderfully complex game of stats and confidence. If a starting pitcher does way better at home, it could be for a variety of reasons: heavy pitcher's park (eg, the dimensions and weather at Oracle Park), home bed advantage, mound tailored to his needs, fan/family support, etc. Fact is, it's nearly impossible to pinpoint the "why" (even if you asked the pitcher). However, for fantasy baseball purposes, identifying and playing those trends goes a LONG way towards a successful season.

In addition to the more subjective reasons mentioned above, tangible factors like pitcher vs batter stats, temperature, wind (direction), humidity and the umpire behind home plate all play a big role. Our SP matchup tool above consolidates all the key stats and trends... tosses it into our matchup model and generates a Confidence Score (0-100). Just like at school, 90 to 100 is an excellent matchup and so on.

Finally, if you're looking for a more batter-specific perspective, we have a separate daily matchup page that breaks down all the key stats for each batter in a starting lineup.

Icons and abbreviations explained...

Do home plate umpires really make a difference?

Yes! Umpires are human and they develop tendencies over time. Maybe the way they position themselves behind the catcher or just how they perceive borderline pitches, some tend to call slightly more balls or strikes. Over time, that results in better or worse counts for batters... and changes the probabilities of outcomes (eg., OPS levels are way higher on a 3-1 count vs 2-2).

Monitoring who's calling pitches for your SP can help round out decisions. For example, if you're on the fence on whether to start a SP and a super pitcher-friendly ump is behind the dish, lean towards the start. Umpires are usually announced a few hours before first pitch - as that happens, they're added to the "Ump" column in the table above and incorporated into our Confidence Score. Check out all the umpire factors to familiarize yourself with their tendencies.

Have a suggestion? Get in touch!