since 2002

Starting Pitcher Matchup Ratings

Find out which pitchers have the best (or worst) matchups each day of the fantasy baseball season.

Sun, 5/11
SP Confidence Score (5/11/25)
Sc
Pitcher vs Game
HRF
Hm/Rd
D/N
L5
qAB
HH%
AB H 2B/3B HR OPS
75.0 M. Mikolas (R) lineup @ 2 SLNWAS 1.5 .721 .715
33% 11% 63 15 3 3 .736
70.3 M. Gore (L) lineup @ 2 SLNWAS 1.5 .753 .686
59% 30% 32 16 2 2 1.291
91.4 C. Sale (L) lineup @ 4 ATLPIT 1.3 .628 .636
38% 10% 20 3 1 0 .390
C. Mlodzinski (R) lineup @ 4 ATLPIT 1.3 .616 .589
42% 5% 16 6 1 1 1.046
88.9 N. Eovaldi (R) lineup @ 7 TEXDET 1.1 .723 .650
51% 24% 63 14 3 0 .539
88.9 R. Olson (R) lineup @ 7 TEXDET 1.1 .645 .596 39% 26% 23 8 1 0 .739
C. Patrick (R) --- @ 15 MILTBA 1.2
no matchup history vs opponent
87.8 D. Rasmussen (R) lineup @ 15 MILTBA 1.2 .604 .516
43% 29% 6 2 0 0 .762
68.3 M. Boyd (L) lineup @ 10 CHNNYN 1.2 .770 .714
  • 2.08
58% 21% 46 17 4 4 1.148
78.0 G. Canning (R) lineup @ 10 CHNNYN 1.2 .772 .780 45% 14% 38 8 1 3 .760
73.0 L. Roupp (R) lineup @ 15 SFNMIN 1.7 .649 .491
0% 0% 1 0 0 0 .000
86.7 P. Lopez (R) lineup @ 15 SFNMIN 1.7 .699 .679
23% 11% 35 3 1 0 .200
78.0 L. Giolito (R) lineup @ 9 BOSKCA 1.2 .733 .714
46% 23% 94 31 7 8 1.027
78.0 S. Lugo (R) lineup @ 9 BOSKCA 1.2 .671 .690
44% 16% 45 13 6 1 .849
74.1 S. Alcantara (R) lineup @ 8 MIACHA 1.1 .662 .633
41% 6% 14 3 0 2 .996
79.0 S. Burke (R) --- @ 8 MIACHA 1.1 .583 .581
no matchup history vs opponent
C. Petty (R) --- @ 14 CINHOU 1.2 no matchup history vs opponent
82.9 R. Blanco (R) lineup @ 14 CINHOU 1.2 .682 .642 33% 11% 16 4 0 1 .771
80.8 N. Pivetta (R) lineup @ 10 SDNCOL 1.4 .759 .698
50% 17% 11 5 1 1 1.318
66.5 G. Marquez (R) lineup @ 10 SDNCOL 1.4 .746 .755
45% 27% 84 29 7 5 1.011
74.0 R. Yarbrough (L) lineup @ 18 NYAATH 1.6 .713 .680 34% 14% 32 9 4 1 .814
74.0 L. Severino (R) lineup @ 18 NYAATH 1.6 .692 .674
50% 17% 5 2 0 1 1.500
78.6 Z. Eflin (R) lineup @ 10 BALANA 1.6 .737 .749 25% 11% 41 9 2 0 .524
69.4 T. Anderson (L) lineup @ 10 BALANA 1.6 .744 .751
39% 16% 38 10 2 3 .894
J. Urena (R) lineup @ 12 TORSEA n/a .772 .707
52% 16% 23 7 1 0 .668
95 B. Miller (R) lineup @ 12 TORSEA n/a .648 .699
  • 4.15
25% 13% 7 0 0 0 .125
95 T. Gonsolin (R) lineup @ 11 LANARI n/a .614 .695 27% 10% 27 3 1 0 .385
85 Z. Gallen (R) lineup @ 11 LANARI n/a .651 .659
43% 16% 133 31 7 6 .745
90.0 Z. Wheeler (R) lineup @ 10 PHICLE 1.0 .648 .647
67% 25% 15 4 0 0 .745
85.0 L. Ortiz (R) lineup @ 10 PHICLE 1.0 .710 .749 44% 20% 37 7 2 1 .592
Note: OPS color trend requires a min. of 5 career PA.

What makes or breaks a SP's matchup?

Baseball's a wonderfully complex game of stats and confidence. If a starting pitcher does way better at home, it could be for a variety of reasons: heavy pitcher's park (eg, the dimensions and weather at Oracle Park), home bed advantage, mound tailored to his needs, fan/family support, etc. Fact is, it's nearly impossible to pinpoint the "why" (even if you asked the pitcher). However, for fantasy baseball purposes, identifying and playing those trends goes a LONG way towards a successful season.

In addition to the more subjective reasons mentioned above, tangible factors like pitcher vs batter stats, temperature, wind (direction), humidity and the umpire behind home plate all play a big role. Our SP matchup tool above consolidates all the key stats and trends... tosses it into our matchup model and generates a Confidence Score (0-100). Just like at school, 90 to 100 is an excellent matchup and so on.

Finally, if you're looking for a more batter-specific perspective, we have a separate daily matchup page that breaks down all the key stats for each batter in a starting lineup.

Icons and abbreviations explained...

Do home plate umpires really make a difference?

Yes! Umpires are human and they develop tendencies over time. Maybe the way they position themselves behind the catcher or just how they perceive borderline pitches, some tend to call slightly more balls or strikes. Over time, that results in better or worse counts for batters... and changes the probabilities of outcomes (eg., OPS levels are way higher on a 3-1 count vs 2-2).

Monitoring who's calling pitches for your SP can help round out decisions. For example, if you're on the fence on whether to start a SP and a super pitcher-friendly ump is behind the dish, lean towards the start. Umpires are usually announced a few hours before first pitch - as that happens, they're added to the "Ump" column in the table above and incorporated into our Confidence Score. Check out all the umpire factors to familiarize yourself with their tendencies.

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