since 2002

Starting Pitcher Matchup Ratings

Find out which pitchers have the best (or worst) matchups each day of the fantasy baseball season.

Sat, 5/17
SP Confidence Score (5/17/25)
Sc
Pitcher vs Game
HRF
Hm/Rd
D/N
L5
qAB
HH%
AB H 2B/3B HR OPS
69.4 G. Canning (R) lineup @ 15 NYNNYA 1.6 .760 .771 54% 11% 51 17 0 4 .962
78.6 C. Schmidt (R) lineup @ 15 NYNNYA 1.6 .712 .683 52% 24% 34 9 1 1 .763
75.0 S. Burke (R) lineup @ 16 CHACHN 1.5 .758 .681
41% 15% 36 10 3 1 .838
70.3 M. Boyd (L) lineup @ 16 CHACHN 1.5 .753 .698
  • 2.08
30% 13% 57 14 6 3 .788
95 R. Olson (R) lineup @ 14 DETTOR n/a .645 .580 33% 16% 52 6 1 1 .399
E. Lauer (L) lineup @ 14 DETTOR n/a .745 .718
38% 18% 44 12 3 2 .766
68.4 J. Irvin (R) lineup @ 13 WASBAL 1.7 .775 .735
40% 23% 49 12 3 0 .581
68.4 K. Gibson (R) lineup @ 13 WASBAL 1.7 .754 .746 58% 23% 56 23 5 2 1.087
90.3 D. Rasmussen (R) lineup @ 14 TBAMIA 1.4 .606 .545
23% 10% 30 5 2 0 .400
71.3 S. Alcantara (R) lineup @ 14 TBAMIA 1.4 .671 .644
43% 16% 51 15 6 0 .791
C. Mlodzinski (R) lineup @ 10 PITPHI 1.6 .667 .753
48% 27% 31 12 4 1 1.037
87.9 Z. Wheeler (R) lineup @ 10 PITPHI 1.6 .644 .640
33% 9% 74 12 2 2 .485
75.0 S. Cecconi (R) lineup @ 11 CLECIN 1.5 .787 .768
37% 16% 58 14 4 2 .688
C. Petty (R) --- @ 11 CLECIN 1.5 no matchup history vs opponent
80 R. Blanco (R) lineup @ 25 HOUTEX n/a .680 .702 45% 18% 58 16 4 3 .854
90 T. Mahle (R) lineup @ 25 HOUTEX n/a .723 .715
37% 13% 57 10 1 0 .447
73.1 M. Mikolas (R) lineup @ 6 SLNKCA 1.2 .732 .732
42% 19% 99 28 5 4 .786
92.6 N. Cameron (L) lineup @ 6 SLNKCA 1.2 .640 .671
34% 16% 36 4 0 1 .352
90 P. Lopez (R) lineup @ 15 MINMIL n/a .693 .697
40% 18% 67 14 5 2 .662
75 T. Myers (R) lineup @ 15 MINMIL n/a .693 .666 59% 31% 27 12 2 1 1.113
79.7 G. Holmes (R) lineup @ 9 ATLBOS 1.5 .697 .744 40% 4% 42 9 3 2 .727
70.3 L. Giolito (R) lineup @ 9 ATLBOS 1.5 .727 .741
55% 21% 59 21 1 7 1.155
63.0 G. Marquez (R) lineup @ 21 COLARI 1.8 .767 .771
43% 14% 104 26 7 3 .778
72.0 Z. Gallen (R) lineup @ 21 COLARI 1.8 .666 .661
46% 17% 103 32 7 7 .964
E. Hancock (R) lineup @ 11 SEASDN 1.4 .774 .866
56% 17% 33 8 2 1 .700
76.0 N. Pivetta (R) lineup @ 11 SEASDN 1.4 .734 .671
40% 14% 85 25 5 10 1.076
80.8 L. Severino (R) lineup @ 20 ATHSFN 1.4 .695 .701
38% 11% 86 17 2 2 .580
80.8 L. Roupp (R) lineup @ 20 ATHSFN 1.4 .711 .769
39% 13% 21 5 2 0 .637
73.1 T. Anderson (L) lineup @ 9 ANALAN 1.2 .750 .741
50% 23% 109 33 13 9 1.098
87.8 C. Kershaw (L) lineup @ 9 ANALAN 1.2 .590 .594
43% 24% 38 8 5 0 .694
view all games ⇓
Note: OPS color trend requires a min. of 5 career PA.

What makes or breaks a SP's matchup?

Baseball's a wonderfully complex game of stats and confidence. If a starting pitcher does way better at home, it could be for a variety of reasons: heavy pitcher's park (eg, the dimensions and weather at Oracle Park), home bed advantage, mound tailored to his needs, fan/family support, etc. Fact is, it's nearly impossible to pinpoint the "why" (even if you asked the pitcher). However, for fantasy baseball purposes, identifying and playing those trends goes a LONG way towards a successful season.

In addition to the more subjective reasons mentioned above, tangible factors like pitcher vs batter stats, temperature, wind (direction), humidity and the umpire behind home plate all play a big role. Our SP matchup tool above consolidates all the key stats and trends... tosses it into our matchup model and generates a Confidence Score (0-100). Just like at school, 90 to 100 is an excellent matchup and so on.

Finally, if you're looking for a more batter-specific perspective, we have a separate daily matchup page that breaks down all the key stats for each batter in a starting lineup.

Icons and abbreviations explained...

Do home plate umpires really make a difference?

Yes! Umpires are human and they develop tendencies over time. Maybe the way they position themselves behind the catcher or just how they perceive borderline pitches, some tend to call slightly more balls or strikes. Over time, that results in better or worse counts for batters... and changes the probabilities of outcomes (eg., OPS levels are way higher on a 3-1 count vs 2-2).

Monitoring who's calling pitches for your SP can help round out decisions. For example, if you're on the fence on whether to start a SP and a super pitcher-friendly ump is behind the dish, lean towards the start. Umpires are usually announced a few hours before first pitch - as that happens, they're added to the "Ump" column in the table above and incorporated into our Confidence Score. Check out all the umpire factors to familiarize yourself with their tendencies.

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