since 2002

Starting Pitcher Matchup Ratings

Find out which pitchers have the best (or worst) matchups each day of the fantasy baseball season.

Sat, 5/17
SP Confidence Score (5/17/25)
Sc
Pitcher vs Game
HRF
Hm/Rd
D/N
L5
qAB
HH%
AB H 2B/3B HR OPS
69.4 G. Canning (R) lineup @ 15 NYNNYA 1.6 .772 .780 59% 12% 29 10 0 2 .993
74.0 C. Schmidt (R) lineup @ 15 NYNNYA 1.6 .731 .721 65% 29% 15 6 1 1 1.138
75.0 S. Burke (R) --- @ 16 CHACHN 1.5 .583 .581
no matchup history vs opponent
70.3 M. Boyd (L) lineup @ 16 CHACHN 1.5 .770 .714
  • 2.08
30% 15% 32 8 5 0 .679
90 R. Olson (R) lineup @ 14 DETTOR n/a .645 .596 28% 11% 16 1 0 0 .230
E. Lauer (L) lineup @ 14 DETTOR n/a .756 .714
44% 22% 17 7 1 1 1.091
68.4 J. Irvin (R) lineup @ 13 WASBAL 1.7 .744 .699
33% 22% 17 3 0 0 .352
68.4 K. Gibson (R) lineup @ 13 WASBAL 1.7 .748 .742 54% 20% 49 17 2 2 .921
85.5 D. Rasmussen (R) lineup @ 14 TBAMIA 1.4 .604 .516
50% 0% 1 0 0 0 .500
71.3 S. Alcantara (R) lineup @ 14 TBAMIA 1.4 .662 .633
46% 23% 31 10 5 0 .884
C. Mlodzinski (R) lineup @ 10 PITPHI 1.6 .616 .630
47% 27% 14 5 1 0 .829
83.3 Z. Wheeler (R) lineup @ 10 PITPHI 1.6 .648 .647
36% 10% 54 9 2 2 .539
75.0 S. Cecconi (R) lineup @ 11 CLECIN 1.5 .839 .785
39% 13% 27 6 1 1 .660
C. Petty (R) --- @ 11 CLECIN 1.5 no matchup history vs opponent
80 R. Blanco (R) lineup @ 25 HOUTEX n/a .682 .707 46% 12% 50 14 3 2 .828
90 T. Mahle (R) lineup @ 25 HOUTEX n/a .740 .729
31% 5% 35 5 0 0 .374
73.1 M. Mikolas (R) lineup @ 6 SLNKCA 1.2 .721 .725
48% 21% 57 19 3 3 .922
82.9 N. Cameron (L) --- @ 6 SLNKCA 1.2
no matchup history vs opponent
85 P. Lopez (R) lineup @ 15 MINMIL n/a .699 .710
45% 20% 47 12 5 2 .822
85 T. Myers (R) lineup @ 15 MINMIL n/a .682 .613 63% 38% 6 1 0 0 .542
G. Holmes (R) --- @ 9 ATLBOS 1.5 .664 .739 no matchup history vs opponent
70.3 L. Giolito (R) lineup @ 9 ATLBOS 1.5 .733 .744
59% 26% 31 12 1 4 1.251
67.5 G. Marquez (R) lineup @ 21 COLARI 1.8 .746 .741
42% 13% 86 19 5 3 .718
72.0 Z. Gallen (R) lineup @ 21 COLARI 1.8 .651 .647
46% 21% 51 15 4 1 .799
E. Hancock (R) lineup @ 11 SEASDN 1.4 .766 1.030
47% 13% 13 2 1 0 .498
76.0 N. Pivetta (R) lineup @ 11 SEASDN 1.4 .759 .698
43% 14% 74 23 5 9 1.130
80.8 L. Severino (R) lineup @ 20 ATHSFN 1.4 .692 .701
37% 12% 52 8 1 1 .485
76.0 L. Roupp (R) --- @ 20 ATHSFN 1.4 .649 .774
no matchup history vs opponent
73.1 T. Anderson (L) lineup @ 9 ANALAN 1.2 .744 .741
51% 24% 87 26 13 7 1.137
87.8 C. Kershaw (L) lineup @ 9 ANALAN 1.2 .587 .590
32% 13% 33 4 3 0 .479
view all games ⇓
Note: OPS color trend requires a min. of 5 career PA.

What makes or breaks a SP's matchup?

Baseball's a wonderfully complex game of stats and confidence. If a starting pitcher does way better at home, it could be for a variety of reasons: heavy pitcher's park (eg, the dimensions and weather at Oracle Park), home bed advantage, mound tailored to his needs, fan/family support, etc. Fact is, it's nearly impossible to pinpoint the "why" (even if you asked the pitcher). However, for fantasy baseball purposes, identifying and playing those trends goes a LONG way towards a successful season.

In addition to the more subjective reasons mentioned above, tangible factors like pitcher vs batter stats, temperature, wind (direction), humidity and the umpire behind home plate all play a big role. Our SP matchup tool above consolidates all the key stats and trends... tosses it into our matchup model and generates a Confidence Score (0-100). Just like at school, 90 to 100 is an excellent matchup and so on.

Finally, if you're looking for a more batter-specific perspective, we have a separate daily matchup page that breaks down all the key stats for each batter in a starting lineup.

Icons and abbreviations explained...

Do home plate umpires really make a difference?

Yes! Umpires are human and they develop tendencies over time. Maybe the way they position themselves behind the catcher or just how they perceive borderline pitches, some tend to call slightly more balls or strikes. Over time, that results in better or worse counts for batters... and changes the probabilities of outcomes (eg., OPS levels are way higher on a 3-1 count vs 2-2).

Monitoring who's calling pitches for your SP can help round out decisions. For example, if you're on the fence on whether to start a SP and a super pitcher-friendly ump is behind the dish, lean towards the start. Umpires are usually announced a few hours before first pitch - as that happens, they're added to the "Ump" column in the table above and incorporated into our Confidence Score. Check out all the umpire factors to familiarize yourself with their tendencies.

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