Starting Pitcher Matchup Ratings
Find out which pitchers have the best (or worst) matchups each day of the fantasy baseball season.
SP Confidence Score (5/17/25)
Sc
Pitcher
vs
Game
HRF
Hm/Rd
D/N
L5
qAB
HH%
AB
H
2B/3B
HR
OPS
69.4
G. Canning (R)
lineup
@
15
NYN NYA
1.6
.772
.780
59%
12%
29
10
0
2
.993
G. Canning (R)
A. Judge, OF (R)
@
15
NYN NYA
1.6
50%
0%
5
2
0
1
1.500
more
G. Canning (R)
C. Bellinger, OF (L)
@
15
NYN NYA
1.6
67%
0%
6
2
0
0
.666
more
G. Canning (R)
P. Goldschmidt, 1B (R)
@
15
NYN NYA
1.6
67%
11%
7
2
0
1
1.158
more
G. Canning (R)
A. Volpe, SS (R)
@
15
NYN NYA
1.6
56%
22%
8
4
0
0
1.056
more
G. Canning (R)
D. LeMahieu, 3B (R)
@
15
NYN NYA
1.6
50%
25%
3
0
0
0
.250
more
74.0
C. Schmidt (R)
lineup
@
15
NYN NYA
1.6
.731
.721
65%
29%
15
6
1
1
1.138
C. Schmidt (R)
F. Lindor, SS (B)
@
15
NYN NYA
1.6
75%
0%
2
1
0
1
2.750
more
C. Schmidt (R)
P. Alonso, 1B (R)
@
15
NYN NYA
1.6
25%
25%
4
1
0
0
.500
more
C. Schmidt (R)
B. Nimmo, OF (L)
@
15
NYN NYA
1.6
100%
0%
2
1
0
0
1.000
more
C. Schmidt (R)
J. McNeil, 2B (L)
@
15
NYN NYA
1.6
100%
75%
4
2
1
0
1.250
more
C. Schmidt (R)
B. Baty, 3B (L)
@
15
NYN NYA
1.6
50%
50%
2
1
0
0
1.000
more
C. Schmidt (R)
T. Taylor, OF (R)
@
15
NYN NYA
1.6
0%
0%
1
0
0
0
.000
more
75.0
S. Burke (R)
---
@
16
CHA CHN
1.5
.583
.581
no matchup history vs opponent
70.3
M. Boyd (L)
lineup
@
16
CHA CHN
1.5
.770
.714
30%
15%
32
8
5
0
.679
M. Boyd (L)
M. Vargas, 3B (R)
@
16
CHA CHN
1.5
0%
0%
2
0
0
0
.000
more
M. Boyd (L)
L. Robert, OF (R)
@
16
CHA CHN
1.5
27%
18%
11
2
2
0
.546
more
M. Boyd (L)
A. Vaughn, 1B (R)
@
16
CHA CHN
1.5
17%
17%
6
1
1
0
.500
more
M. Boyd (L)
L. Sosa, 3B (R)
@
16
CHA CHN
1.5
67%
67%
3
2
1
0
1.667
more
M. Boyd (L)
M. Taylor, OF (R)
@
16
CHA CHN
1.5
36%
0%
10
3
1
0
.764
more
90
R. Olson (R)
lineup
@
14
DET TOR
n/a
.645
.596
28%
11%
16
1
0
0
.230
R. Olson (R)
B. Bichette, SS (R)
@
14
DET TOR
n/a
0%
0%
4
0
0
0
.000
more
R. Olson (R)
V. Guerrero, 1B (R)
@
14
DET TOR
n/a
60%
20%
4
1
0
0
.650
more
R. Olson (R)
D. Varsho, OF (L)
@
14
DET TOR
n/a
50%
0%
1
0
0
0
.500
more
R. Olson (R)
G. Springer, OF (R)
@
14
DET TOR
n/a
0%
0%
4
0
0
0
.000
more
R. Olson (R)
E. Clement, 3B (R)
@
14
DET TOR
n/a
33%
33%
3
0
0
0
.000
more
E. Lauer (L)
lineup
@
14
DET TOR
n/a
.756
.714
44%
22%
17
7
1
1
1.091
E. Lauer (L)
G. Torres, 2B (R)
@
14
DET TOR
n/a
0%
0%
2
0
0
0
.000
more
E. Lauer (L)
S. Torkelson, 1B (R)
@
14
DET TOR
n/a
100%
100%
2
2
0
0
2.000
more
E. Lauer (L)
J. Baez, SS (R)
@
14
DET TOR
n/a
45%
18%
10
4
1
1
1.255
more
E. Lauer (L)
Z. McKinstry, SS (L)
@
14
DET TOR
n/a
33%
0%
3
1
0
0
.666
more
68.4
J. Irvin (R)
lineup
@
13
WAS BAL
1.7
.744
.699
33%
22%
17
3
0
0
.352
J. Irvin (R)
J. Holliday, 2B (L)
@
13
WAS BAL
1.7
33%
0%
3
0
0
0
.000
more
J. Irvin (R)
G. Henderson, SS (L)
@
13
WAS BAL
1.7
0%
0%
3
0
0
0
.000
more
J. Irvin (R)
A. Rutschman, C (B)
@
13
WAS BAL
1.7
33%
33%
3
1
0
0
.666
more
J. Irvin (R)
C. Mullins, OF (L)
@
13
WAS BAL
1.7
33%
33%
2
0
0
0
.000
more
J. Irvin (R)
R. Urias, 3B (R)
@
13
WAS BAL
1.7
50%
50%
2
1
0
0
1.000
more
J. Irvin (R)
R. Laureano, OF (R)
@
13
WAS BAL
1.7
50%
25%
4
1
0
0
.500
more
68.4
K. Gibson (R)
lineup
@
13
WAS BAL
1.7
.748
.742
54%
20%
49
17
2
2
.921
K. Gibson (R)
C. Abrams, SS (L)
@
13
WAS BAL
1.7
45%
18%
11
4
1
0
.819
more
K. Gibson (R)
J. Wood, OF (L)
@
13
WAS BAL
1.7
83%
17%
4
3
1
0
1.833
more
K. Gibson (R)
N. Lowe, 1B (L)
@
13
WAS BAL
1.7
67%
22%
8
4
0
2
1.806
more
K. Gibson (R)
K. Ruiz, C (B)
@
13
WAS BAL
1.7
0%
0%
6
0
0
0
.000
more
K. Gibson (R)
L. Garcia, 2B (L)
@
13
WAS BAL
1.7
58%
33%
10
4
0
0
.900
more
K. Gibson (R)
J. Bell, 1B (B)
@
13
WAS BAL
1.7
33%
0%
4
1
0
0
.583
more
K. Gibson (R)
J. Tena, 3B (L)
@
13
WAS BAL
1.7
100%
50%
2
0
0
0
.000
more
K. Gibson (R)
J. Young, OF (R)
@
13
WAS BAL
1.7
75%
25%
4
1
0
0
.500
more
85.5
D. Rasmussen (R)
lineup
@
14
TBA MIA
1.4
.604
.516
50%
0%
1
0
0
0
.500
D. Rasmussen (R)
J. Sanchez, OF (L)
@
14
TBA MIA
1.4
50%
0%
1
0
0
0
.500
more
71.3
S. Alcantara (R)
lineup
@
14
TBA MIA
1.4
.662
.633
46%
23%
31
10
5
0
.884
S. Alcantara (R)
J. Lowe, OF (L)
@
14
TBA MIA
1.4
83%
33%
6
2
1
0
.833
more
S. Alcantara (R)
B. Lowe, 2B (L)
@
14
TBA MIA
1.4
47%
24%
15
6
4
0
1.138
more
S. Alcantara (R)
Y. Diaz, 1B (R)
@
14
TBA MIA
1.4
25%
17%
10
2
0
0
.533
more
C. Mlodzinski (R)
lineup
@
10
PIT PHI
1.6
.616
.630
⩵
47%
27%
14
5
1
0
.829
C. Mlodzinski (R)
B. Stott, 2B (L)
@
10
PIT PHI
1.6
100%
100%
1
1
0
0
2.000
more
C. Mlodzinski (R)
T. Turner, SS (R)
@
10
PIT PHI
1.6
50%
50%
2
1
1
0
1.500
more
C. Mlodzinski (R)
B. Harper, 1B (L)
@
10
PIT PHI
1.6
100%
50%
2
1
0
0
1.000
more
C. Mlodzinski (R)
N. Castellanos, OF (R)
@
10
PIT PHI
1.6
33%
0%
3
1
0
0
.666
more
C. Mlodzinski (R)
M. Kepler, OF (L)
@
10
PIT PHI
1.6
0%
0%
1
0
0
0
.000
more
C. Mlodzinski (R)
J. Realmuto, C (R)
@
10
PIT PHI
1.6
50%
0%
1
0
0
0
.500
more
C. Mlodzinski (R)
A. Bohm, 3B (R)
@
10
PIT PHI
1.6
33%
33%
3
1
0
0
.666
more
C. Mlodzinski (R)
B. Marsh, OF (L)
@
10
PIT PHI
1.6
0%
0%
1
0
0
0
.000
more
83.3
Z. Wheeler (R)
lineup
@
10
PIT PHI
1.6
.648
.647
⩵
36%
10%
54
9
2
2
.539
Z. Wheeler (R)
O. Cruz, SS (L)
@
10
PIT PHI
1.6
17%
0%
5
0
0
0
.167
more
Z. Wheeler (R)
A. McCutchen, DH (R)
@
10
PIT PHI
1.6
45%
5%
20
4
1
1
.673
more
Z. Wheeler (R)
B. Reynolds, OF (B)
@
10
PIT PHI
1.6
20%
10%
10
2
0
0
.400
more
Z. Wheeler (R)
J. Bart, C (R)
@
10
PIT PHI
1.6
60%
0%
4
1
1
0
.900
more
Z. Wheeler (R)
K. Hayes, 3B (R)
@
10
PIT PHI
1.6
33%
33%
6
1
0
0
.334
more
Z. Wheeler (R)
A. Frazier, 2B (L)
@
10
PIT PHI
1.6
33%
22%
9
1
0
1
.555
more
75.0
S. Cecconi (R)
lineup
@
11
CLE CIN
1.5
.839
.785
39%
13%
27
6
1
1
.660
S. Cecconi (R)
T. Friedl, OF (L)
@
11
CLE CIN
1.5
17%
0%
5
1
0
0
.367
more
S. Cecconi (R)
E. De La Cruz, SS (B)
@
11
CLE CIN
1.5
38%
13%
7
1
0
0
.393
more
S. Cecconi (R)
A. Hays, OF (R)
@
11
CLE CIN
1.5
50%
0%
2
1
0
0
1.000
more
S. Cecconi (R)
S. Steer, OF (R)
@
11
CLE CIN
1.5
40%
0%
4
0
0
0
.200
more
S. Cecconi (R)
W. Benson, OF (L)
@
11
CLE CIN
1.5
71%
43%
6
3
1
1
1.738
more
S. Cecconi (R)
M. McLain, SS (R)
@
11
CLE CIN
1.5
0%
0%
3
0
0
0
.000
more
C. Petty (R)
---
@
11
CLE CIN
1.5
no matchup history vs opponent
80
R. Blanco (R)
lineup
@
25
HOU TEX
n/a
.682
.707
⩵
46%
12%
50
14
3
2
.828
R. Blanco (R)
J. Smith, 3B (L)
@
25
HOU TEX
n/a
50%
10%
9
2
0
1
.856
more
R. Blanco (R)
W. Langford, OF (R)
@
25
HOU TEX
n/a
33%
11%
9
2
0
0
.444
more
R. Blanco (R)
J. Jung, 3B (R)
@
25
HOU TEX
n/a
100%
50%
3
3
1
1
3.333
more
R. Blanco (R)
A. Garcia, OF (R)
@
25
HOU TEX
n/a
40%
0%
13
3
1
0
.641
more
R. Blanco (R)
M. Semien, 2B (R)
@
25
HOU TEX
n/a
47%
20%
12
3
1
0
.733
more
R. Blanco (R)
J. Pederson, DH (L)
@
25
HOU TEX
n/a
0%
0%
1
0
0
0
.000
more
R. Blanco (R)
J. Burger, 3B (R)
@
25
HOU TEX
n/a
33%
0%
3
1
0
0
.666
more
90
T. Mahle (R)
lineup
@
25
HOU TEX
n/a
.740
.729
⩵
31%
5%
35
5
0
0
.374
T. Mahle (R)
J. Pena, SS (R)
@
25
HOU TEX
n/a
60%
20%
4
1
0
0
.650
more
T. Mahle (R)
J. Altuve, 2B (R)
@
25
HOU TEX
n/a
33%
0%
6
1
0
0
.334
more
T. Mahle (R)
C. Walker, 1B (R)
@
25
HOU TEX
n/a
30%
0%
7
0
0
0
.300
more
T. Mahle (R)
V. Caratini, C (B)
@
25
HOU TEX
n/a
33%
11%
9
2
0
0
.444
more
T. Mahle (R)
Y. Diaz, C (R)
@
25
HOU TEX
n/a
0%
0%
4
0
0
0
.000
more
T. Mahle (R)
J. Meyers, OF (R)
@
25
HOU TEX
n/a
50%
0%
2
1
0
0
1.000
more
T. Mahle (R)
B. Rodgers, 2B (R)
@
25
HOU TEX
n/a
0%
0%
3
0
0
0
.000
more
73.1
M. Mikolas (R)
lineup
@
6
SLN KCA
1.2
.721
.725
⩵
48%
21%
57
19
3
3
.922
M. Mikolas (R)
J. India, 2B (R)
@
6
SLN KCA
1.2
56%
20%
22
8
1
3
1.258
more
M. Mikolas (R)
B. Witt, SS (R)
@
6
SLN KCA
1.2
33%
33%
6
0
0
0
.000
more
M. Mikolas (R)
V. Pasquantino, 1B (L)
@
6
SLN KCA
1.2
40%
0%
5
1
0
0
.400
more
M. Mikolas (R)
S. Perez, C (R)
@
6
SLN KCA
1.2
33%
11%
9
3
0
0
.666
more
M. Mikolas (R)
M. Garcia, 3B (R)
@
6
SLN KCA
1.2
40%
20%
5
2
1
0
1.000
more
M. Mikolas (R)
M. Massey, 2B (L)
@
6
SLN KCA
1.2
50%
33%
5
3
0
0
1.100
more
M. Mikolas (R)
D. Waters, (B)
@
6
SLN KCA
1.2
33%
33%
3
0
0
0
.000
more
M. Mikolas (R)
K. Isbel, OF (L)
@
6
SLN KCA
1.2
100%
50%
2
2
1
0
3.000
more
82.9
N. Cameron (L)
---
@
6
SLN KCA
1.2
⩵
no matchup history vs opponent
85
P. Lopez (R)
lineup
@
15
MIN MIL
n/a
.699
.710
⩵
45%
20%
47
12
5
2
.822
P. Lopez (R)
B. Turang, 2B (L)
@
15
MIN MIL
n/a
0%
0%
3
0
0
0
.000
more
P. Lopez (R)
J. Chourio, OF (R)
@
15
MIN MIL
n/a
50%
0%
2
1
0
0
1.000
more
P. Lopez (R)
C. Yelich, OF (L)
@
15
MIN MIL
n/a
50%
22%
15
5
2
0
.911
more
P. Lopez (R)
W. Contreras, C (R)
@
15
MIN MIL
n/a
20%
0%
5
0
0
0
.000
more
P. Lopez (R)
S. Frelick, OF (L)
@
15
MIN MIL
n/a
67%
33%
1
0
0
0
.500
more
P. Lopez (R)
R. Hoskins, 1B (R)
@
15
MIN MIL
n/a
65%
35%
14
6
3
2
1.542
more
P. Lopez (R)
J. Bauers, 1B (L)
@
15
MIN MIL
n/a
20%
0%
5
0
0
0
.000
more
P. Lopez (R)
J. Ortiz, 3B (R)
@
15
MIN MIL
n/a
0%
0%
2
0
0
0
.000
more
85
T. Myers (R)
lineup
@
15
MIN MIL
n/a
.682
.613
⩵
63%
38%
6
1
0
0
.542
T. Myers (R)
T. France, 1B (R)
@
15
MIN MIL
n/a
67%
33%
4
1
0
0
.750
more
T. Myers (R)
H. Bader, OF (R)
@
15
MIN MIL
n/a
50%
50%
2
0
0
0
.000
more
G. Holmes (R)
---
@
9
ATL BOS
1.5
.664
.739
no matchup history vs opponent
70.3
L. Giolito (R)
lineup
@
9
ATL BOS
1.5
.733
.744
59%
26%
31
12
1
4
1.251
L. Giolito (R)
A. Verdugo, OF (L)
@
9
ATL BOS
1.5
40%
0%
5
2
0
0
.800
more
L. Giolito (R)
A. Riley, 3B (R)
@
9
ATL BOS
1.5
33%
0%
3
1
0
1
1.666
more
L. Giolito (R)
M. Olson, 1B (L)
@
9
ATL BOS
1.5
78%
22%
7
5
0
3
2.778
more
L. Giolito (R)
M. Ozuna, DH (R)
@
9
ATL BOS
1.5
40%
0%
5
0
0
0
.000
more
L. Giolito (R)
O. Albies, 2B (B)
@
9
ATL BOS
1.5
83%
83%
5
1
1
0
.767
more
L. Giolito (R)
M. Harris, OF (L)
@
9
ATL BOS
1.5
100%
100%
2
2
0
0
2.000
more
L. Giolito (R)
E. White, OF (R)
@
9
ATL BOS
1.5
50%
0%
2
1
0
0
1.000
more
L. Giolito (R)
N. Allen, SS (R)
@
9
ATL BOS
1.5
0%
0%
2
0
0
0
.000
more
67.5
G. Marquez (R)
lineup
@
21
COL ARI
1.8
.746
.741
⩵
42%
13%
86
19
5
3
.718
G. Marquez (R)
C. Carroll, OF (L)
@
21
COL ARI
1.8
50%
0%
2
1
0
1
2.500
more
G. Marquez (R)
K. Marte, 2B (B)
@
21
COL ARI
1.8
49%
15%
42
12
4
2
.910
more
G. Marquez (R)
L. Gurriel, OF (R)
@
21
COL ARI
1.8
0%
0%
3
0
0
0
.000
more
G. Marquez (R)
P. Smith, OF (L)
@
21
COL ARI
1.8
25%
0%
10
0
0
0
.167
more
G. Marquez (R)
E. Suarez, 3B (R)
@
21
COL ARI
1.8
33%
8%
10
2
0
0
.533
more
G. Marquez (R)
A. Thomas, OF (L)
@
21
COL ARI
1.8
33%
17%
11
3
1
0
.637
more
G. Marquez (R)
G. Perdomo, SS (B)
@
21
COL ARI
1.8
58%
25%
8
1
0
0
.542
more
72.0
Z. Gallen (R)
lineup
@
21
COL ARI
1.8
.651
.647
⩵
46%
21%
51
15
4
1
.799
Z. Gallen (R)
E. Tovar, SS (R)
@
21
COL ARI
1.8
86%
43%
7
3
1
0
1.000
more
Z. Gallen (R)
R. McMahon, 3B (L)
@
21
COL ARI
1.8
40%
17%
36
10
3
0
.742
more
Z. Gallen (R)
K. Farmer, 2B (R)
@
21
COL ARI
1.8
50%
50%
2
1
0
0
1.000
more
Z. Gallen (R)
M. Moniak, OF (L)
@
21
COL ARI
1.8
67%
33%
3
1
0
1
1.666
more
Z. Gallen (R)
T. Freeman, OF (R)
@
21
COL ARI
1.8
0%
0%
3
0
0
0
.000
more
E. Hancock (R)
lineup
@
11
SEA SDN
1.4
.766
1.030
47%
13%
13
2
1
0
.498
E. Hancock (R)
F. Tatis, OF (R)
@
11
SEA SDN
1.4
33%
0%
3
0
0
0
.000
more
E. Hancock (R)
M. Machado, 3B (R)
@
11
SEA SDN
1.4
50%
0%
1
0
0
0
.500
more
E. Hancock (R)
X. Bogaerts, 2B (R)
@
11
SEA SDN
1.4
0%
0%
2
0
0
0
.000
more
E. Hancock (R)
G. Sheets, OF (L)
@
11
SEA SDN
1.4
67%
33%
2
0
0
0
.333
more
E. Hancock (R)
J. Cronenworth, 1B (L)
@
11
SEA SDN
1.4
50%
50%
2
0
0
0
.000
more
E. Hancock (R)
E. Diaz, C (R)
@
11
SEA SDN
1.4
67%
0%
3
2
1
0
1.667
more
76.0
N. Pivetta (R)
lineup
@
11
SEA SDN
1.4
.759
.698
43%
14%
74
23
5
9
1.130
N. Pivetta (R)
J. Crawford, SS (L)
@
11
SEA SDN
1.4
45%
18%
9
2
0
1
.920
more
N. Pivetta (R)
J. Polanco, 2B (B)
@
11
SEA SDN
1.4
54%
8%
10
4
1
2
1.662
more
N. Pivetta (R)
J. Rodriguez, OF (R)
@
11
SEA SDN
1.4
11%
11%
9
1
0
0
.222
more
N. Pivetta (R)
C. Raleigh, C (B)
@
11
SEA SDN
1.4
45%
9%
10
4
0
3
1.755
more
N. Pivetta (R)
R. Arozarena, OF (R)
@
11
SEA SDN
1.4
50%
19%
23
9
3
2
1.245
more
N. Pivetta (R)
R. Tellez, 1B (L)
@
11
SEA SDN
1.4
44%
22%
8
3
1
1
1.250
more
N. Pivetta (R)
D. Moore, SS (R)
@
11
SEA SDN
1.4
20%
0%
5
0
0
0
.000
more
80.8
L. Severino (R)
lineup
@
20
ATH SFN
1.4
.692
.701
⩵
37%
12%
52
8
1
1
.485
L. Severino (R)
M. Yastrzemski, OF (L)
@
20
ATH SFN
1.4
60%
20%
5
1
0
0
.400
more
L. Severino (R)
W. Flores, 1B (R)
@
20
ATH SFN
1.4
29%
14%
7
0
0
0
.000
more
L. Severino (R)
J. Lee, OF (L)
@
20
ATH SFN
1.4
0%
0%
3
0
0
0
.000
more
L. Severino (R)
H. Ramos, OF (R)
@
20
ATH SFN
1.4
33%
0%
2
0
0
0
.333
more
L. Severino (R)
M. Chapman, 3B (R)
@
20
ATH SFN
1.4
47%
11%
16
2
0
0
.388
more
L. Severino (R)
W. Adames, SS (R)
@
20
ATH SFN
1.4
38%
15%
11
4
1
1
1.189
more
L. Severino (R)
L. Wade, 1B (L)
@
20
ATH SFN
1.4
0%
0%
2
0
0
0
.333
more
L. Severino (R)
P. Bailey, C (B)
@
20
ATH SFN
1.4
33%
17%
6
1
0
0
.334
more
76.0
L. Roupp (R)
---
@
20
ATH SFN
1.4
.649
.774
⩵
no matchup history vs opponent
73.1
T. Anderson (L)
lineup
@
9
ANA LAN
1.2
.744
.741
51%
24%
87
26
13
7
1.137
T. Anderson (L)
S. Ohtani, DH (L)
@
9
ANA LAN
1.2
63%
50%
7
4
3
1
2.482
more
T. Anderson (L)
M. Betts, SS (R)
@
9
ANA LAN
1.2
71%
57%
7
2
1
1
1.143
more
T. Anderson (L)
F. Freeman, 1B (L)
@
9
ANA LAN
1.2
36%
18%
10
2
1
1
.973
more
T. Anderson (L)
M. Muncy, 3B (L)
@
9
ANA LAN
1.2
50%
10%
9
3
0
2
1.400
more
T. Anderson (L)
E. Hernandez, 3B (R)
@
9
ANA LAN
1.2
51%
21%
35
8
5
2
.943
more
T. Anderson (L)
M. Conforto, OF (L)
@
9
ANA LAN
1.2
67%
33%
5
3
1
0
1.467
more
T. Anderson (L)
M. Rojas, SS (R)
@
9
ANA LAN
1.2
40%
13%
14
4
2
0
.762
more
87.8
C. Kershaw (L)
lineup
@
9
ANA LAN
1.2
.587
.590
32%
13%
33
4
3
0
.479
C. Kershaw (L)
T. Ward, OF (R)
@
9
ANA LAN
1.2
10%
0%
10
0
0
0
.000
more
C. Kershaw (L)
J. Soler, DH (R)
@
9
ANA LAN
1.2
42%
8%
9
2
1
0
.861
more
C. Kershaw (L)
L. Rengifo, 3B (B)
@
9
ANA LAN
1.2
38%
25%
7
1
1
0
.536
more
C. Kershaw (L)
J. Adell, OF (R)
@
9
ANA LAN
1.2
20%
20%
5
0
0
0
.000
more
C. Kershaw (L)
K. Newman, SS (R)
@
9
ANA LAN
1.2
67%
33%
2
1
1
0
1.667
more
view all games ⇓
Note: OPS color trend requires a min. of 5 career PA.
What makes or breaks a SP's matchup?
Baseball's a wonderfully complex game of stats and confidence. If a starting pitcher does way better at home, it could be for a variety of reasons: heavy pitcher's park (eg, the dimensions and weather at Oracle Park), home bed advantage, mound tailored to his needs, fan/family support, etc. Fact is, it's nearly impossible to pinpoint the "why" (even if you asked the pitcher). However, for fantasy baseball purposes, identifying and playing those trends goes a LONG way towards a successful season.
In addition to the more subjective reasons mentioned above, tangible factors like pitcher vs batter stats, temperature, wind (direction), humidity and the umpire behind home plate all play a big role. Our SP matchup tool above consolidates all the key stats and trends... tosses it into our matchup model and generates a Confidence Score (0-100). Just like at school, 90 to 100 is an excellent matchup and so on.
Finally, if you're looking for a more batter-specific perspective, we have a separate daily matchup page that breaks down all the key stats for each batter in a starting lineup.
Icons and abbreviations explained...
Sc Our Confidence Score for each starting pitcher (max of 100) - specific to the date/game being viewed.
lineup click to see the BvP stats for each batter in the opposing starting lineup
weather hasn't been collected yet
weather forecast for first pitch (hover over for details)
stadium has a fixed roof or is closed due to poor weather
0 wind direction and strength in mph (pointing up = center field)
HRF HRForce (abbr HRF) is our weather index that predicts how many more (or less) HRs could be hit due to weather (temperature, rain, wind, direction, elevation, etc)
qAB percentage of plate appearances that resulted in a hit, walk or deep count
HH% percentage of plate appearances that resulted in a line drive (hit or out)
more in the last column, the link to our full batter v pitcher page that includes our Ownage Chart, matchup ranks, at-bat logs, predictions and more
Do home plate umpires really make a difference?
Yes! Umpires are human and they develop tendencies over time. Maybe the way they position themselves behind the catcher or just how they perceive borderline pitches, some tend to call slightly more balls or strikes. Over time, that results in better or worse counts for batters... and changes the probabilities of outcomes (eg., OPS levels are way higher on a 3-1 count vs 2-2).
Monitoring who's calling pitches for your SP can help round out decisions. For example, if you're on the fence on whether to start a SP and a super pitcher-friendly ump is behind the dish, lean towards the start. Umpires are usually announced a few hours before first pitch - as that happens, they're added to the "Ump" column in the table above and incorporated into our Confidence Score. Check out all the umpire factors to familiarize yourself with their tendencies.
Have a suggestion? Get in touch !