since 2002

Austin Riley or Rafael Devers

3B Age: 28 Bats: R Throws: R

Today

Twins  @  Braves1:35 pm ET
weather now
Current weather in Atlanta: broken clouds and 81°F 81° F
broken clouds
8 mph
HRForce1.4x
20% more HRs expected
 TempHumPrecipWindDirHRForceTime
79° F62%0%7 mph1.21 pm
79° F60%0%7 mph1.22 pm
80° F55%0%8 mph1.23 pm
vs J. Ryan (RHP)
ABBAOBPOPS
2 1.000 1.000 3.500
Riley vs Ryan »
  • SLG2.500 .700
  • Hard Hit0% 30%
  • Quality AB100% 75%
  • SB Success0% 15%
vs Twins
ABBAOBPOPS
11 .273 .333 .878
Day Game
ABBAOBPOPS
844 .252 .311 .771
Truist Park (home)
ABBAOBPOPS
1302 .283 .348 .878

Predicted

Gets on base (40% OBP)

1B: 18% 2B: 4% 3B: 0% HR: 9% BB: 7% HBP: 1%
1b 2b 3b hr bb hbp

Makes an out (61%)

  • Strikeout: 25%
  • Out (in play): 36%

Schedule

Games this week (6)
DateDayGameHRForce
4-14-25 Mon ATL @ TOR n/a
4-15-25 Tue ATL @ TOR n/a
4-16-25 Wed ATL @ TOR n/a
4-17-25 Thu no game
4-18-25 Fri MIN @ ATL 1.4
4-19-25 Sat MIN @ ATL 1.4
4-20-25 Sun MIN @ ATL 1.2
3B Age: 28Bats: L Throws: R

Today

White Sox  @  Red Sox1:35 pm ET
weather now
Current weather in Boston: scattered clouds and 62°F 62° F
scattered clouds
18 mph
HRForce1.0x
20% less HRs expected
 TempHumPrecipWindDirHRForceTime
60° F29%0%17 mph0.81 pm
61° F28%0%16 mph1.02 pm
60° F27%0%15 mph0.83 pm
vs S. Burke (RHP)
ABBAOBPOPS
never faced
--
  • SLG:-- .700
  • Hard Hit %:--% 30%
  • Quality ABs:--% 75%
  • SB Success:--% 15%
vs White Sox
ABBAOBPOPS
142 .324 .413 .906
Day Game
ABBAOBPOPS
1202 .317 .378 .942
Fenway Park (home)
ABBAOBPOPS
1832 .291 .356 .876

Predicted

Gets on base (36% OBP)

1B: 15% 2B: 6% 3B: 0% HR: 5% BB: 9% HBP: 1%
1b 2b 3b hr bb hbp

Makes an out (64%)

  • Strikeout: 20%
  • Out (in play): 44%

Schedule

Games this week (6)
DateDayGameHRForce
4-14-25 Mon BOS @ TBA 1.5
4-15-25 Tue BOS @ TBA 1.5
4-16-25 Wed BOS @ TBA 1.5
4-17-25 Thu no game
4-18-25 Fri CHA @ BOS 1.4
4-19-25 Sat CHA @ BOS 1.7
4-20-25 Sun CHA @ BOS 0.8

So, should you choose Riley or Devers (4/20/25)?

Batter vs pitcher

Today, neither batter has more than 3 plate appearances against their opposing pitcher so there's not enough real data to make a matchup call. Use the other splits on this page to make a decision.

Weather impact

Heavy wind (blowing out), hot temps, ballpark elevation, etc can all have a big impact on long fly balls. An extra few feet can be the difference between warning track and a 3-run dinger. In Riley's game, our HRForce Index at first pitch is 1.2 [20% more HRs expected]. Meanwhile, Devers will be playing under an HRForce of 0.8 [20% less HRs expected]. So, the ball will be flying better in Riley's game. Weather edge goes to him.

Weekly Roster Lock Leagues

For those of you in leagues that require you to set your lineup before the start of each week, day offs can be a bummer. Everything else being equal, give the edge to players that play at least one more game a week. For the M-F week that includes 4/20/25, Riley has 6 games scheduled, while Devers has 6. With the same number of games, they roughly carry the same potential value for the week.

Related

Rafael Devers
or
Manny Machado

What's your take?