since 2002

Bryce Harper or Pete Alonso

1B Age: 32 Bats: L Throws: R

9/29

Phillies  @  Nationals3:05 pm ET
Phillies at Nationals game: mist and 68°F 68° F
mist
10 mph
HRForce1.0x
10% more HRs expected
 TempHumPrecipWindDirHRForceTime
69° F91%0%6 mph1.13 pm
69° F92%0%7 mph1.14 pm
69° F92%0%7 mph1.15 pm
facing Jake Irvin
ABBAOBPOPS
6 .333 .556 .889
Harper vs Irvin »
  • SLG.333 .700
  • Hard Hit0% 30%
  • Quality AB56% 75%
  • SB Success0% 15%
vs Nationals
ABBAOBPOPS
281 .302 .434 .957
Day Game
ABBAOBPOPS
1952 .276 .392 .909
at Nationals Park
ABBAOBPOPS
1819 .288 .400 .921

Projected

Gets on base (56% OBP)

1B: 22% 2B: 0% 3B: 0% HR: 0% BB: 22% HBP: 11%
1b 2b 3b hr bb hbp

Makes an out (45%)

  • Strikeout: 11%
  • Out (in play): 34%

Schedule

Games this week (6)
DateDayGameHRForce
9-23-24 Mon CHN @ PHI 1.1
9-24-24 Tue CHN @ PHI 1.0
9-25-24 Wed CHN @ PHI 1.1
9-26-24 Thu no game
9-27-24 Fri PHI @ WAS 1.2
9-28-24 Sat PHI @ WAS 1.6
9-29-24 Sun PHI @ WAS 1.1
1B Age: 30Bats: R Throws: R

9/29

Mets  @  Brewers3:10 pm ET
Mets at Brewers game: broken clouds and 70°F 70° F
broken clouds
17 mph
HRForce1.5x
20% more HRs expected
 TempHumPrecipWindDirHRForceTime
75° F60%0%13 mph1.23 pm
74° F63%0%11 mph1.24 pm
74° F65%0%10 mph1.25 pm
facing Colin Rea
ABBAOBPOPS
7 .286 .444 .730
Alonso vs Rea »
  • SLG.286 .700
  • Hard Hit44% 30%
  • Quality AB56% 75%
  • SB Success0% 15%
vs Brewers
ABBAOBPOPS
117 .205 .273 .700
Day Game
ABBAOBPOPS
1096 .240 .333 .822
at Miller Park
ABBAOBPOPS
58 .155 .234 .665

Projected

Gets on base (44% OBP)

1B: 22% 2B: 0% 3B: 0% HR: 0% BB: 11% HBP: 11%
1b 2b 3b hr bb hbp

Makes an out (56%)

  • Strikeout: 11%
  • Out (in play): 45%

Schedule

Games this week (5)
DateDayGameHRForce
9-23-24 Mon no game
9-24-24 Tue NYN @ ATL 1.4
9-25-24 Wed NYN @ ATL 1.2
9-26-24 Thu no game
9-27-24 Fri NYN @ MIL 1.5
9-28-24 Sat NYN @ MIL 1.6
9-29-24 Sun NYN @ MIL 1.2

So, should you choose Harper or Alonso (9/29/24)?

Batter vs pitcher

Today, Harper has the better matchup with an OPS of .889 against Irvin (9 plate appearances). That's compared to Alonso's OPS of .730 versus Rea (9 PA). That's a pretty big difference, highly consider going with Harper.

Weather impact

Heavy wind (blowing out), hot temps, ballpark elevation, etc can all have a big impact on long fly balls. An extra few feet can be the difference between warning track and a 3-run dinger. In Harper's game, our HRForce Index at first pitch is 1.1 (10% more HRs expected). Meanwhile, Alonso will be playing under an HRForce of 1.2 (20% more HRs expected (roof likely open)). So, long flies will travel a bit further in Alonso's game. Weather edge goes to him.

Weekly Roster Lock Leagues

For those of you in leagues that require you to set your lineup before the start of each week, day offs can be a bummer. Everything else being equal, give the edge to players that play at least one more game a week. For the M-F week that includes 9/29/24, Harper has 6 games scheduled, while Alonso has 5. So, with one more game, that could make a difference, especially in H2H leagues where you need to pile up points. Slight advantage to Harper.

Related

Freddie Freeman
or
Bryce Harper

What's your take?