since 2002

Bryce Harper or Pete Alonso

1B Age: 32 Bats: L Throws: R

9/28

Phillies  @  Nationals4:05 pm ET
Phillies at Nationals game: few clouds and 75°F 75° F
few clouds
0 mph
HRForce1.3x
60% more HRs expected
 TempHumPrecipWindDirHRForceTime
85° F53%0%6 mph1.64 pm
84° F53%0%5 mph1.65 pm
83° F57%0%7 mph1.66 pm
facing MacKenzie Gore
ABBAOBPOPS
23 .261 .261 .609
Harper vs Gore »
  • SLG.348 .700
  • Hard Hit26% 30%
  • Quality AB43% 75%
  • SB Success17% 15%
vs Nationals
ABBAOBPOPS
281 .302 .434 .957
Day Game
ABBAOBPOPS
1952 .276 .392 .909
at Nationals Park
ABBAOBPOPS
1819 .288 .400 .921

Projected

Gets on base (26% OBP)

1B: 17% 2B: 9% 3B: 0% HR: 0% BB: 0% HBP: 0%
1b 2b 3b hr bb hbp

Makes an out (74%)

  • Strikeout: 26%
  • Out (in play): 48%

Schedule

Games this week (6)
DateDayGameHRForce
9-23-24 Mon CHN @ PHI 1.1
9-24-24 Tue CHN @ PHI 1.0
9-25-24 Wed CHN @ PHI 1.1
9-26-24 Thu no game
9-27-24 Fri PHI @ WAS 1.2
9-28-24 Sat PHI @ WAS 1.6
9-29-24 Sun PHI @ WAS 1.1
1B Age: 30Bats: R Throws: R

9/28

Mets  @  Brewers7:10 pm ET
Mets at Brewers game: clear sky and 66°F 66° F
clear sky
2 mph
HRForce1.1x
60% more HRs expected
 TempHumPrecipWindDirHRForceTime
71° F61%0%15 mph1.67 pm
69° F67%0%15 mph1.48 pm
67° F71%0%14 mph1.49 pm
facing Jared Koenig
ABBAOBPOPS
1 1.000 1.000 3.000
Alonso vs Koenig »
  • SLG2.000 .700
  • Hard Hit0% 30%
  • Quality AB100% 75%
  • SB Success0% 15%
vs Brewers
ABBAOBPOPS
117 .205 .273 .700
Night Game
ABBAOBPOPS
2043 .254 .343 .871
at Miller Park
ABBAOBPOPS
58 .155 .234 .665

Projected

Gets on base (100% OBP)

1B: 0% 2B: 100% 3B: 0% HR: 0% BB: 0% HBP: 0%
1b 2b 3b hr bb hbp

Makes an out (0%)

  • Strikeout: 0%
  • Out (in play): 0%

Schedule

Games this week (5)
DateDayGameHRForce
9-23-24 Mon no game
9-24-24 Tue NYN @ ATL 1.4
9-25-24 Wed NYN @ ATL 1.2
9-26-24 Thu no game
9-27-24 Fri NYN @ MIL 1.5
9-28-24 Sat NYN @ MIL 1.6
9-29-24 Sun NYN @ MIL 1.2

So, should you choose Harper or Alonso (9/28/24)?

Batter vs pitcher

Harper has faced Gore 23 times, with a total OPS of .609. Conversely, Alonso only has 1 plate appearances against Koenig so tough to reliably predict this one. Lean on the other splits on this page.

Weather impact

Heavy wind (blowing out), hot temps, ballpark elevation, etc can all have a big impact on long fly balls. An extra few feet can be the difference between warning track and a 3-run dinger. In Harper's game, our HRForce Index at first pitch is 1.6 (60% more HRs expected). Meanwhile, Alonso will be playing under an HRForce of 1.6 (60% more HRs expected (roof likely open)). With equal HRForce values, ball flight conditions are roughly the same in both games. So, weather's a draw.

Weekly Roster Lock Leagues

For those of you in leagues that require you to set your lineup before the start of each week, day offs can be a bummer. Everything else being equal, give the edge to players that play at least one more game a week. For the M-F week that includes 9/28/24, Harper has 6 games scheduled, while Alonso has 5. So, with one more game, that could make a difference, especially in H2H leagues where you need to pile up points. Slight advantage to Harper.

Related

Freddie Freeman
or
Bryce Harper

What's your take?