since 2002

Freddie Freeman or Bryce Harper

1B Age: 35 Bats: L Throws: R

9/28

Dodgers  @  Rockies8:10 pm ET
Dodgers at Rockies game: clear sky and 52°F 52° F
clear sky
2 mph
HRForce1.0x
10% more HRs expected
 TempHumPrecipWindDirHRForceTime
63° F31%0%6 mph1.18 pm
58° F39%0%4 mph1.09 pm
51° F42%0%2 mph0.910 pm
facing Antonio Senzatela
ABBAOBPOPS
15 .133 .235 .435
Freeman vs Senzatela »
  • SLG.200 .700
  • Hard Hit24% 30%
  • Quality AB35% 75%
  • SB Success0% 15%
vs Rockies
ABBAOBPOPS
394 .287 .401 .924
Night Game
ABBAOBPOPS
5442 .299 .385 .891
at Coors Field
ABBAOBPOPS
209 .301 .398 .948

Projected

Gets on base (24% OBP)

1B: 6% 2B: 6% 3B: 0% HR: 0% BB: 12% HBP: 0%
1b 2b 3b hr bb hbp

Makes an out (76%)

  • Strikeout: 12%
  • Out (in play): 64%

Schedule

Games this week (6)
DateDayGameHRForce
9-23-24 Mon no game
9-24-24 Tue SDN @ LAN 1.3
9-25-24 Wed SDN @ LAN 1.3
9-26-24 Thu SDN @ LAN 1.3
9-27-24 Fri LAN @ COL 1.2
9-28-24 Sat LAN @ COL 1.1
9-29-24 Sun LAN @ COL 1.5
1B Age: 32Bats: L Throws: R

9/28

Phillies  @  Nationals4:05 pm ET
Phillies at Nationals game: few clouds and 75°F 75° F
few clouds
0 mph
HRForce1.3x
60% more HRs expected
 TempHumPrecipWindDirHRForceTime
85° F53%0%6 mph1.64 pm
84° F53%0%5 mph1.65 pm
83° F57%0%7 mph1.66 pm
facing MacKenzie Gore
ABBAOBPOPS
23 .261 .261 .609
Harper vs Gore »
  • SLG.348 .700
  • Hard Hit26% 30%
  • Quality AB43% 75%
  • SB Success17% 15%
vs Nationals
ABBAOBPOPS
281 .302 .434 .957
Day Game
ABBAOBPOPS
1952 .276 .392 .909
at Nationals Park
ABBAOBPOPS
1819 .288 .400 .921

Projected

Gets on base (26% OBP)

1B: 17% 2B: 9% 3B: 0% HR: 0% BB: 0% HBP: 0%
1b 2b 3b hr bb hbp

Makes an out (74%)

  • Strikeout: 26%
  • Out (in play): 48%

Schedule

Games this week (6)
DateDayGameHRForce
9-23-24 Mon CHN @ PHI 1.1
9-24-24 Tue CHN @ PHI 1.0
9-25-24 Wed CHN @ PHI 1.1
9-26-24 Thu no game
9-27-24 Fri PHI @ WAS 1.2
9-28-24 Sat PHI @ WAS 1.6
9-29-24 Sun PHI @ WAS 1.1

So, should you choose Freeman or Harper (9/28/24)?

Batter vs pitcher

Today, Harper has the better matchup with an OPS of .609 against Gore (23 plate appearances). That's compared to Freeman's OPS of .435 versus Senzatela (17 PA). That's a pretty big difference, highly consider going with Harper.

Weather impact

Heavy wind (blowing out), hot temps, ballpark elevation, etc can all have a big impact on long fly balls. An extra few feet can be the difference between warning track and a 3-run dinger. In Freeman's game, our HRForce Index at first pitch is 1.1 (10% more HRs expected). Meanwhile, Harper will be playing under an HRForce of 1.6 (60% more HRs expected). So, long flies will travel a bit further in Harper's game. Weather edge goes to him.

Weekly Roster Lock Leagues

For those of you in leagues that require you to set your lineup before the start of each week, day offs can be a bummer. Everything else being equal, give the edge to players that play at least one more game a week. For the M-F week that includes 9/28/24, Freeman has 6 games scheduled, while Harper has 6. With the same number of games, they roughly carry the same potential value for the week.

Related

Bryce Harper
or
Pete Alonso
Freddie Freeman
or
Matt Olson

What's your take?