since 2002

Freddie Freeman or Matt Olson

1B Age: 35 Bats: L Throws: R

9/27

Dodgers  @  Rockies8:10 pm ET
weather now
Dodgers at Rockies game: few clouds and 49°F 49° F
few clouds
3 mph
HRForce0.7x
20% more HRs expected
 TempHumPrecipWindDirHRForceTime
64° F26%0%5 mph1.28 pm
57° F42%0%3 mph1.09 pm
53° F44%0%3 mph1.010 pm
vs C. Quantrill (RHP)
ABBAOBPOPS
15 .533 .611 1.411
Freeman vs Quantrill »
  • SLG.800 .700
  • Hard Hit33% 30%
  • Quality AB67% 75%
  • SB Success0% 15%
vs Rockies
ABBAOBPOPS
394 .287 .401 .924
Night Game
ABBAOBPOPS
5442 .299 .385 .891
at Coors Field
ABBAOBPOPS
209 .301 .398 .948

Predicted

Gets on base (61% OBP)

1B: 28% 2B: 11% 3B: 6% HR: 0% BB: 17% HBP: 0%
1b 2b 3b hr bb hbp

Makes an out (38%)

  • Strikeout: 11%
  • Out (in play): 27%

Schedule

Games this week (6)
DateDayGameHRForce
9-23-24 Mon no game
9-24-24 Tue SDN @ LAN 1.3
9-25-24 Wed SDN @ LAN 1.3
9-26-24 Thu SDN @ LAN 1.3
9-27-24 Fri LAN @ COL 1.2
9-28-24 Sat LAN @ COL 1.1
9-29-24 Sun LAN @ COL 1.5
1B Age: 30Bats: L Throws: R

9/27

Royals  @  Braves7:20 pm ET
weather now
Royals at Braves game: broken clouds and 71°F 71° F
broken clouds
10 mph
HRForce1.2x
20% more HRs expected
 TempHumPrecipWindDirHRForceTime
71° F74%12%11 mph1.27 pm
71° F74%12%11 mph1.28 pm
71° F73%0%13 mph1.29 pm
vs B. Singer (RHP)
ABBAOBPOPS
7 .286 .444 1.158
Olson vs Singer »
  • SLG.714 .700
  • Hard Hit0% 30%
  • Quality AB56% 75%
  • SB Success0% 15%
vs Royals
ABBAOBPOPS
114 .307 .398 1.056
Night Game
ABBAOBPOPS
2467 .247 .339 .821
Truist Park (home)
ABBAOBPOPS
878 .259 .352 .859

Predicted

Gets on base (44% OBP)

1B: 11% 2B: 0% 3B: 0% HR: 11% BB: 22% HBP: 0%
1b 2b 3b hr bb hbp

Makes an out (56%)

  • Strikeout: 44%
  • Out (in play): 12%

Schedule

Games this week (5)
DateDayGameHRForce
9-23-24 Mon no game
9-24-24 Tue NYN @ ATL 1.4
9-25-24 Wed NYN @ ATL 1.2
9-26-24 Thu no game
9-27-24 Fri KCA @ ATL 1.2
9-28-24 Sat KCA @ ATL 1.2
9-29-24 Sun KCA @ ATL 1.2

So, should you choose Freeman or Olson (9/27/24)?

Batter vs pitcher

Today, Freeman has the better matchup with an OPS of 1.411 against Quantrill (18 plate appearances). That's compared to Olson's OPS of 1.158 versus Singer (9 PA). That's a pretty big difference, highly consider going with Freeman.

Weather impact

Heavy wind (blowing out), hot temps, ballpark elevation, etc can all have a big impact on long fly balls. An extra few feet can be the difference between warning track and a 3-run dinger. In Freeman's game, our HRForce Index at first pitch is 1.2 (20% more HRs expected). Meanwhile, Olson will be playing under an HRForce of 1.2 (20% more HRs expected). With equal HRForce values, ball flight conditions are roughly the same in both games. So, weather's a draw.

Weekly Roster Lock Leagues

For those of you in leagues that require you to set your lineup before the start of each week, day offs can be a bummer. Everything else being equal, give the edge to players that play at least one more game a week. For the M-F week that includes 9/27/24, Freeman has 6 games scheduled, while Olson has 5. So, with one more game, that could make a difference, especially in H2H leagues where you need to pile up points. Slight advantage to Freeman.

Related

Freddie Freeman
or
Bryce Harper
Matt Olson
or
Luis Arraez

What's your take?