So, should you choose Henderson or Witt Jr. (6/12/25)?
Batter vs pitcher
Today, neither batter has more than 3 plate appearances against their opposing pitcher so there's not enough real data to make a matchup call. Use the other splits on this page to make a decision.
Weather impact
Heavy wind (blowing out), hot temps, ballpark elevation, etc can all have a big impact on long fly balls. An extra few feet can be the difference between warning track and a 3-run dinger. In Henderson's game, our HRForce Index at first pitch is 1.2 [20% more HRs expected]. Meanwhile, Witt Jr. will be playing under an HRForce of 1.2 [20% more HRs expected]. With equal HRForce values, ball flight conditions are roughly the same in both games. So, weather's a draw.
Weekly Roster Lock Leagues
For those of you in leagues that require you to set your lineup before the start of each week, day offs can be a bummer. Everything else being equal, give the edge to players that play at least one more game a week. For the M-F week that includes 6/12/25, Henderson has 6 games scheduled, while Witt Jr. has 6. With the same number of games, they roughly carry the same potential value for the week.