So, should you choose Henderson or Witt (9/29/24)?
Batter vs pitcher
Today, Witt has the better matchup with an OPS of 1.600 against Morton (5 plate appearances). That's compared to Henderson's OPS of .347 versus Ober (9 PA). That's a huge difference, definitely start Witt.
Weather impact
Heavy wind (blowing out), hot temps, ballpark elevation, etc can all have a big impact on long fly balls. An extra few feet can be the difference between warning track and a 3-run dinger. In Henderson's game, our HRForce Index at first pitch is 1.4 (40% more HRs expected). Meanwhile, Witt will be playing under an HRForce of 1.2 (20% more HRs expected). So, the ball will be flying better in Henderson's game. Weather edge goes to him.
Weekly Roster Lock Leagues
For those of you in leagues that require you to set your lineup before the start of each week, day offs can be a bummer. Everything else being equal, give the edge to players that play at least one more game a week. For the M-F week that includes 9/29/24, Henderson has 6 games scheduled, while Witt has 6. With the same number of games, they roughly carry the same potential value for the week.