since 2002

Gunnar Henderson or Francisco Lindor

SS Age: 23 Bats: L Throws: R

9/29

Orioles  @  Twins3:10 pm ET
Orioles at Twins game: clear sky and 80°F 80° F
clear sky
9 mph
HRForce1.2x
40% more HRs expected
 TempHumPrecipWindDirHRForceTime
82° F39%0%8 mph1.43 pm
82° F43%0%8 mph1.44 pm
83° F38%0%8 mph1.45 pm
facing Bailey Ober
ABBAOBPOPS
8 .125 .222 .347
Henderson vs Ober »
  • SLG.125 .700
  • Hard Hit22% 30%
  • Quality AB44% 75%
  • SB Success0% 15%
vs Twins
ABBAOBPOPS
40 .275 .375 .875
Day Game
ABBAOBPOPS
481 .262 .351 .833
at Target Field
ABBAOBPOPS
18 .167 .304 .471

Projected

Gets on base (22% OBP)

1B: 11% 2B: 0% 3B: 0% HR: 0% BB: 11% HBP: 0%
1b 2b 3b hr bb hbp

Makes an out (78%)

  • Strikeout: 22%
  • Out (in play): 56%

Schedule

Games this week (6)
DateDayGameHRForce
9-23-24 Mon no game
9-24-24 Tue BAL @ NYA 1.0
9-25-24 Wed BAL @ NYA 1.0
9-26-24 Thu BAL @ NYA 1.4
9-27-24 Fri BAL @ MIN 1.3
9-28-24 Sat BAL @ MIN 1.4
9-29-24 Sun BAL @ MIN 1.4
SS Age: 31Bats: B Throws: R

9/29

Mets  @  Brewers3:10 pm ET
Mets at Brewers game: broken clouds and 70°F 70° F
broken clouds
17 mph
HRForce1.5x
20% more HRs expected
 TempHumPrecipWindDirHRForceTime
75° F60%0%13 mph1.23 pm
74° F63%0%11 mph1.24 pm
74° F65%0%10 mph1.25 pm
facing Colin Rea
ABBAOBPOPS
9 .333 .364 1.031
Lindor vs Rea »
  • SLG.667 .700
  • Hard Hit27% 30%
  • Quality AB64% 75%
  • SB Success50% 15%
vs Brewers
ABBAOBPOPS
131 .260 .338 .819
Day Game
ABBAOBPOPS
1825 .283 .350 .848
at Miller Park
ABBAOBPOPS
62 .306 .368 1.062

Projected

Gets on base (36% OBP)

1B: 18% 2B: 0% 3B: 0% HR: 9% BB: 9% HBP: 0%
1b 2b 3b hr bb hbp

Makes an out (64%)

  • Strikeout: 9%
  • Out (in play): 55%

Schedule

Games this week (5)
DateDayGameHRForce
9-23-24 Mon no game
9-24-24 Tue NYN @ ATL 1.4
9-25-24 Wed NYN @ ATL 1.2
9-26-24 Thu no game
9-27-24 Fri NYN @ MIL 1.5
9-28-24 Sat NYN @ MIL 1.6
9-29-24 Sun NYN @ MIL 1.2

So, should you choose Henderson or Lindor (9/29/24)?

Batter vs pitcher

Today, Lindor has the better matchup with an OPS of 1.031 against Rea (11 plate appearances). That's compared to Henderson's OPS of .347 versus Ober (9 PA). That's a huge difference, definitely start Lindor.

Weather impact

Heavy wind (blowing out), hot temps, ballpark elevation, etc can all have a big impact on long fly balls. An extra few feet can be the difference between warning track and a 3-run dinger. In Henderson's game, our HRForce Index at first pitch is 1.4 (40% more HRs expected). Meanwhile, Lindor will be playing under an HRForce of 1.2 (20% more HRs expected (roof likely open)). So, the ball will be flying better in Henderson's game. Weather edge goes to him.

Weekly Roster Lock Leagues

For those of you in leagues that require you to set your lineup before the start of each week, day offs can be a bummer. Everything else being equal, give the edge to players that play at least one more game a week. For the M-F week that includes 9/29/24, Henderson has 6 games scheduled, while Lindor has 5. So, with one more game, that could make a difference, especially in H2H leagues where you need to pile up points. Slight advantage to Henderson.

Related

Gunnar Henderson
or
Bobby Witt
Trea Turner
or
Gunnar Henderson

What's your take?