since 2002

Gunnar Henderson or Francisco Lindor

SS Age: 23 Bats: L Throws: R

9/27

Orioles  @  Twins8:10 pm ET
weather now
Current weather in Minnesota: clear sky and 64°F 64° F
clear sky
0 mph
HRForce1.1x
30% more HRs expected
 TempHumPrecipWindDirHRForceTime
75° F58%0%2 mph1.38 pm
70° F68%0%2 mph1.19 pm
68° F72%0%2 mph1.110 pm
vs P. Lopez (RHP)
ABBAOBPOPS
8 .125 .222 .722
Henderson vs Lopez »
  • SLG.500 .700
  • Hard Hit0% 30%
  • Quality AB22% 75%
  • SB Success0% 15%
vs Twins
ABBAOBPOPS
40 .275 .375 .875
Night Game
ABBAOBPOPS
825 .272 .343 .859
at Target Field
ABBAOBPOPS
18 .167 .304 .471

Predicted

Gets on base (32% OBP)

1B: 10% 2B: 4% 3B: 1% HR: 6% BB: 10% HBP: 1%
1b 2b 3b hr bb hbp

Makes an out (68%)

  • Strikeout: 31%
  • Out (in play): 37%

Schedule

Games this week (6)
DateDayGameHRForce
9-23-24 Mon no game
9-24-24 Tue BAL @ NYA 1.0
9-25-24 Wed BAL @ NYA 1.1
9-26-24 Thu BAL @ NYA 1.4
9-27-24 Fri BAL @ MIN 1.3
9-28-24 Sat BAL @ MIN 1.4
9-29-24 Sun BAL @ MIN 1.4
SS Age: 31Bats: B Throws: R

9/27

Mets  @  Brewers8:10 pm ET
weather now
Current weather in Milwaukee: broken clouds and 69°F 69° F
broken clouds
18 mph
HRForce1.0x
50% more HRs expected
 TempHumPrecipWindDirHRForceTime
69° F59%0%17 mph1.58 pm
68° F65%0%16 mph1.09 pm
68° F72%0%15 mph1.010 pm
vs F. Montas (RHP)
ABBAOBPOPS
12 .333 .500 1.000
Lindor vs Montas »
  • SLG.500 .700
  • Hard Hit19% 30%
  • Quality AB56% 75%
  • SB Success0% 15%
vs Brewers
ABBAOBPOPS
131 .260 .338 .819
Night Game
ABBAOBPOPS
3617 .270 .337 .802
at American Family Field
ABBAOBPOPS
62 .306 .368 1.062

Predicted

Gets on base (44% OBP)

1B: 13% 2B: 10% 3B: 0% HR: 1% BB: 19% HBP: 0%
1b 2b 3b hr bb hbp

Makes an out (57%)

  • Strikeout: 22%
  • Out (in play): 35%

Schedule

Games this week (5)
DateDayGameHRForce
9-23-24 Mon no game
9-24-24 Tue NYN @ ATL 1.4
9-25-24 Wed NYN @ ATL 1.2
9-26-24 Thu no game
9-27-24 Fri NYN @ MIL 1.5
9-28-24 Sat NYN @ MIL 1.6
9-29-24 Sun NYN @ MIL 1.2

So, should you choose Henderson or Lindor (9/27/24)?

Batter vs pitcher

Today, Lindor has the better matchup with an OPS of 1.000 against Montas (16 plate appearances). That's compared to Henderson's OPS of .722 versus Lopez (9 PA). That's a pretty big difference, highly consider going with Lindor.

Weather impact

Heavy wind (blowing out), hot temps, ballpark elevation, etc can all have a big impact on long fly balls. An extra few feet can be the difference between warning track and a 3-run dinger. In Henderson's game, our HRForce Index at first pitch is 1.3 [30% more HRs expected]. Meanwhile, Lindor will be playing under an HRForce of 1.5 [50% more HRs expected (roof likely open)]. So, long flies will travel a bit further in Lindor's game. Weather edge goes to him.

Weekly Roster Lock Leagues

For those of you in leagues that require you to set your lineup before the start of each week, day offs can be a bummer. Everything else being equal, give the edge to players that play at least one more game a week. For the M-F week that includes 9/27/24, Henderson has 6 games scheduled, while Lindor has 5. So, with one more game, that could make a difference, especially in H2H leagues where you need to pile up points. Slight advantage to Henderson.

Related

Gunnar Henderson
or
Bobby Witt
Trea Turner
or
Gunnar Henderson

What's your take?