since 2002

Matt Olson or Luis Arraez

1B Age: 30 Bats: L Throws: R

9/29

Royals  @  Braves3:20 pm ET
Royals at Braves game: few clouds and 71°F 71° F
few clouds
5 mph
HRForce1.2x
20% more HRs expected
 TempHumPrecipWindDirHRForceTime
75° F67%0%7 mph1.23 pm
75° F71%0%7 mph1.24 pm
74° F75%0%6 mph1.45 pm
facing Alec Marsh
ABBAOBPOPS
1 .000 .500 .500
Olson vs Marsh »
  • SLG.000 .700
  • Hard Hit0% 30%
  • Quality AB0% 75%
  • SB Success0% 15%
vs Royals
ABBAOBPOPS
114 .307 .398 1.056
Day Game
ABBAOBPOPS
1405 .268 .365 .928
Truist Park (home)
ABBAOBPOPS
878 .259 .352 .859

Projected

Gets on base (50% OBP)

1B: 0% 2B: 0% 3B: 0% HR: 0% BB: 0% HBP: 50%
1b 2b 3b hr bb hbp

Makes an out (50%)

  • Strikeout: 0%
  • Out (in play): 50%

Schedule

Games this week (5)
DateDayGameHRForce
9-23-24 Mon no game
9-24-24 Tue NYN @ ATL 1.4
9-25-24 Wed NYN @ ATL 1.2
9-26-24 Thu no game
9-27-24 Fri KCA @ ATL 1.2
9-28-24 Sat KCA @ ATL 1.2
9-29-24 Sun KCA @ ATL 1.2
1B Age: 27Bats: L Throws: R

9/29

Padres  @  Diamondbacks3:10 pm ET
Padres at Diamondbacks game: few clouds and 110°F 110° F
few clouds
5 mph
HRForce--
dome (and likely closed)
 TempHumPrecipWindDirHRForceTime
108° F11%0%13 mphn/a3 pm
108° F12%0%11 mphn/a4 pm
109° F11%0%9 mphn/a5 pm
facing Brandon Pfaadt
ABBAOBPOPS
16 .625 .625 1.375
Arraez vs Pfaadt »
  • SLG.750 .700
  • Hard Hit50% 30%
  • Quality AB69% 75%
  • SB Success0% 15%
vs Diamondbacks
ABBAOBPOPS
78 .333 .358 .794
Day Game
ABBAOBPOPS
1091 .332 .376 .795
at Chase Field
ABBAOBPOPS
40 .400 .429 1.029

Projected

Gets on base (63% OBP)

1B: 50% 2B: 13% 3B: 0% HR: 0% BB: 0% HBP: 0%
1b 2b 3b hr bb hbp

Makes an out (37%)

  • Strikeout: 13%
  • Out (in play): 24%

Schedule

Games this week (6)
DateDayGameHRForce
9-23-24 Mon no game
9-24-24 Tue SDN @ LAN 1.3
9-25-24 Wed SDN @ LAN 1.3
9-26-24 Thu SDN @ LAN 1.3
9-27-24 Fri SDN @ ARI n/a
9-28-24 Sat SDN @ ARI n/a
9-29-24 Sun SDN @ ARI n/a

So, should you choose Olson or Arraez (9/29/24)?

Batter vs pitcher

Arraez has faced Pfaadt 16 times, with a total OPS of 1.375. Conversely, Olson only has 2 plate appearances against Marsh. Since Arraez has good matchup numbers today, lean towards him.

Weather impact

Heavy wind (blowing out), hot temps, ballpark elevation, etc can all have a big impact on long fly balls. An extra few feet can be the difference between warning track and a 3-run dinger. In Olson's game, our HRForce Index at first pitch is 1.2 (20% more HRs expected). Meanwhile, Arraez will be playing under an HRForce of n/a (dome (and likely closed)). So, the ball will be flying better in Olson's game. Weather edge goes to him.

Weekly Roster Lock Leagues

For those of you in leagues that require you to set your lineup before the start of each week, day offs can be a bummer. Everything else being equal, give the edge to players that play at least one more game a week. For the M-F week that includes 9/29/24, Olson has 5 games scheduled, while Arraez has 6. So, with one more game, that could make a difference, especially in H2H leagues where you need to pile up points. Slight advantage to Arraez.

Related

Freddie Freeman
or
Matt Olson

What's your take?