since 2002

Trea Turner or Gunnar Henderson

SS Age: 31 Bats: R Throws: R

9/29

Phillies  @  Nationals3:05 pm ET
Phillies at Nationals game: mist and 68°F 68° F
mist
10 mph
HRForce1.0x
10% more HRs expected
 TempHumPrecipWindDirHRForceTime
69° F91%0%6 mph1.13 pm
69° F92%0%7 mph1.14 pm
69° F92%0%7 mph1.15 pm
facing Jake Irvin
ABBAOBPOPS
12 .333 .333 1.000
Turner vs Irvin »
  • SLG.667 .700
  • Hard Hit17% 30%
  • Quality AB33% 75%
  • SB Success0% 15%
vs Nationals
ABBAOBPOPS
117 .325 .363 .953
Day Game
ABBAOBPOPS
1560 .287 .346 .810
at Nationals Park
ABBAOBPOPS
1334 .301 .362 .858

Projected

Gets on base (33% OBP)

1B: 17% 2B: 8% 3B: 0% HR: 8% BB: 0% HBP: 0%
1b 2b 3b hr bb hbp

Makes an out (67%)

  • Strikeout: 33%
  • Out (in play): 34%

Schedule

Games this week (6)
DateDayGameHRForce
9-23-24 Mon CHN @ PHI 1.1
9-24-24 Tue CHN @ PHI 1.0
9-25-24 Wed CHN @ PHI 1.1
9-26-24 Thu no game
9-27-24 Fri PHI @ WAS 1.2
9-28-24 Sat PHI @ WAS 1.6
9-29-24 Sun PHI @ WAS 1.1
SS Age: 23Bats: L Throws: R

9/29

Orioles  @  Twins3:10 pm ET
Orioles at Twins game: clear sky and 80°F 80° F
clear sky
9 mph
HRForce1.2x
40% more HRs expected
 TempHumPrecipWindDirHRForceTime
82° F39%0%8 mph1.43 pm
82° F43%0%8 mph1.44 pm
83° F38%0%8 mph1.45 pm
facing Bailey Ober
ABBAOBPOPS
8 .125 .222 .347
Henderson vs Ober »
  • SLG.125 .700
  • Hard Hit22% 30%
  • Quality AB44% 75%
  • SB Success0% 15%
vs Twins
ABBAOBPOPS
40 .275 .375 .875
Day Game
ABBAOBPOPS
481 .262 .351 .833
at Target Field
ABBAOBPOPS
18 .167 .304 .471

Projected

Gets on base (22% OBP)

1B: 11% 2B: 0% 3B: 0% HR: 0% BB: 11% HBP: 0%
1b 2b 3b hr bb hbp

Makes an out (78%)

  • Strikeout: 22%
  • Out (in play): 56%

Schedule

Games this week (6)
DateDayGameHRForce
9-23-24 Mon no game
9-24-24 Tue BAL @ NYA 1.0
9-25-24 Wed BAL @ NYA 1.0
9-26-24 Thu BAL @ NYA 1.4
9-27-24 Fri BAL @ MIN 1.3
9-28-24 Sat BAL @ MIN 1.4
9-29-24 Sun BAL @ MIN 1.4

So, should you choose Turner or Henderson (9/29/24)?

Batter vs pitcher

Today, Turner has the better matchup with an OPS of 1.000 against Irvin (12 plate appearances). That's compared to Henderson's OPS of .347 versus Ober (9 PA). That's a huge difference, definitely start Turner.

Weather impact

Heavy wind (blowing out), hot temps, ballpark elevation, etc can all have a big impact on long fly balls. An extra few feet can be the difference between warning track and a 3-run dinger. In Turner's game, our HRForce Index at first pitch is 1.1 (10% more HRs expected). Meanwhile, Henderson will be playing under an HRForce of 1.4 (40% more HRs expected). So, long flies will travel a bit further in Henderson's game. Weather edge goes to him.

Weekly Roster Lock Leagues

For those of you in leagues that require you to set your lineup before the start of each week, day offs can be a bummer. Everything else being equal, give the edge to players that play at least one more game a week. For the M-F week that includes 9/29/24, Turner has 6 games scheduled, while Henderson has 6. With the same number of games, they roughly carry the same potential value for the week.

Related

Gunnar Henderson
or
Bobby Witt
Gunnar Henderson
or
Francisco Lindor

What's your take?