NFL DFS Projections: FanDuel
Check out our Fanduel DFS projections (and value picks) each week of the NFL season.
| Player | Game | TDF |
Val |
Salary |
Trend |
Opp | v pass |
v run |
Time | TD/gm |
Yd/gm |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Darnold, QB |
@
10
SEANE
|
1.1 | -- | 13.8 | -- |
|
NE | 9 | 6 | Sun 6:30 pm | 1.5 | 244 |
| Kenneth Walker III, RB |
@
10
SEANE
|
1.1 | -- | 9.5 | -- |
|
NE | 9 | 6 | Sun 6:30 pm | 0.3 | 77 |
| AJ Barner, TE |
@
10
SEANE
|
1.1 | -- | 6.9 | -- |
|
NE | 9 | 6 | Sun 6:30 pm | 0.5 | 32 |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba, WR |
@
10
SEANE
|
1.1 | -- | 16.0 | -- |
|
NE | 9 | 6 | Sun 6:30 pm | 0.6 | 107 |
| Cooper Kupp, WR |
@
10
SEANE
|
1.1 | -- | 4.4 | -- |
|
NE | 9 | 6 | Sun 6:30 pm | 0.1 | 37 |
| Rashid Shaheed, WR |
@
10
SEANE
|
1.1 | -- | 4.9 | -- |
|
NE | 9 | 6 | Sun 6:30 pm | 0.1 | 42 |
| Drake Maye, QB |
@
10
SEANE
|
1.1 | -- | 18.7 | -- |
|
SEA | 10 | 3 | Sun 6:30 pm | 2 | 284 |
| Rhamondre Stevenson, RB |
@
10
SEANE
|
1.1 | -- | 9.1 | -- |
|
SEA | 10 | 3 | Sun 6:30 pm | 0.6 | 68 |
| Hunter Henry, TE |
@
10
SEANE
|
1.1 | -- | 8.0 | -- |
|
SEA | 10 | 3 | Sun 6:30 pm | 0.4 | 45 |
| Stefon Diggs, WR |
@
10
SEANE
|
1.1 | -- | 8.7 | -- |
|
SEA | 10 | 3 | Sun 6:30 pm | 0.2 | 60 |
| Kayshon Boutte, WR |
@
10
SEANE
|
1.1 | -- | 5.7 | -- |
|
SEA | 10 | 3 | Sun 6:30 pm | 0.4 | 39 |
| Mack Hollins, WR |
@
10
SEANE
|
1.1 | -- | 4.5 | -- |
|
SEA | 10 | 3 | Sun 6:30 pm | 0.1 | 37 |
How our FanDuel Value Picks are calculated
Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) are all about finding the hidden value. Squeezing as many projected points as possible into your daily lineups dramatically improves your chances of winning. Yeah, it feels good to play as many studs as possible but, the reality is, the majority of the teams in your league are probably starting them as well. Choosing high value (aka expected value) players is a great way to break free from the pack.
What exactly is a value pick? Basically, it's a player that's projected to tally more points than what's baked into his FanDuel salary. A simple yet effective calculation to quantify that is: [projected points / salary]. So, the higher the projected points and/or the lower the FanDuel salary, the larger the value. Lower salary guys are typically less owned, so if just half of them hit big, you'll gain a TON of leverage on the league. The table above lists the top value guys first and is updated fairly often as game factors, FanDuel scoring, injuries and playing conditions change throughout the week.
Fanduel Scoring
Speaking of scoring, as you know, every DFS site scores all the action just a little bit differently. Here's a breakdown of FanDuel's scoring (major events only):
Passing
- Passing Yards: 0.04 Points
- Passing TD: 4 Points
- 300+ Passing Yard Bonus: 3 Points
Rushing
- Rushing Yards: 0.1 Points
- Rushing TD: 6 Points
- 100+ Rushing Yard Bonus: 3 Points
Receiving
- Reception: 0.5 Points
- Receiving Yards: 0.1 Points
- Receiving TD: 6 Points
- 100+ Receiving Yard Bonus: 3 Points
So, FanDuel points are pretty fairly distributed amongst QBs, RBs and WRs/TEs. A rushing and receiving yard yields the same amount of points (as well as TD). Quarterbacks get less per yard but of course, they account for way more yardage so their point rates need to be dampened a bit. The bonuses for all three are the big draw. An extra 3 points is a big boost and often the difference between a finish near the money cutoff.
Icons and abbreviations explained...
FanDuel salary trend over last x games. A green line means the player's salary has gone down (usually because of decreased recent performance). A red line denotes an increase in salary.
weather hasn't been collected yet- weather forecast for first pitch (hover over for details)
stadium has a fixed roof or is closed due to poor weather- 0 wind direction and strength in mph (pointing up or down means it's a crosswind)
- TDF TDForce (abbr TDF) is our weather index that predicts how many more (or less) touchdowns are expected due to weather (temperature, rain, wind, direction, extra RB carries, etc)
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