WR Matchups
Check out the best wide receiver matchups each week of the NFL season. DFS values below are projected. All other WR stats and team rankings are from this season.
| VS Pass | DFS | 2025: | Receiving / Gm | Rushing / Gm | ||||||||||||
| WR | Game | TDF |
Opp | Rk | Gm |
Rec |
Yds |
TDs |
Att |
Yds |
TDs |
Fmb |
||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba |
@
10
SEANE
|
1.1 | NE | 9 | 16.0 | 19.2 | 17 | 7 | 105 | 0.6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | ||
| Cooper Kupp |
@
10
SEANE
|
1.1 | NE | 9 | 4.4 | 5.6 | 16 | 3 | 37 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | ||
| Rashid Shaheed |
@
10
SEANE
|
1.1 | NE | 9 | 4.9 | 6.0 | 18 | 3 | 38 | 0.1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | ||
| Stefon Diggs |
@
10
SEANE
|
1.1 | SEA | 10 | 8.7 | 11.0 | 17 | 5 | 60 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
| Kayshon Boutte |
@
10
SEANE
|
1.1 | SEA | 10 | 5.7 | 6.4 | 14 | 2 | 39 | 0.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
| Mack Hollins |
@
10
SEANE
|
1.1 | SEA | 10 | 4.5 | 5.7 | 15 | 3 | 37 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | ||
| view all games ⇓ | ||||||||||||||||
Analyzing Wide Receiver Matchups
We've already discussed a bunch of the factors that impact quarterback matchups -- obviously, a lot of those also apply to wide receivers. A few of the key ones include: lineman protection (particularly on the blind side), opposing pass defense, inclement weather and more. Let's discuss how they specifically apply to wide receivers...
More Pocket Time = More Completions
Ever been frustrated by an elite wide receiver that radically underperforms because of a poor team? Either a struggling QB or a super weak offensive line will do just that. WRs need someone to consistently and reliably toss 'em the ball... even on broken plays that often lead to huge gains. A lot of the bigger receivers thrive on those one-on-one balls or when a QB simply tosses it up for grabs. A lot of those targets never materialize unless a QB has the blocking to buy some time (either in the pocket or while scrambling).
Pass Defense Ranking is a Key Comp
Getting the ball tossed to your receiver is step A. Step B is his ability to make the catch against a secondary. Of course, some defenses are much better against the passing game than others. Those top defenses are ranked in the table above. Last season, the Eagles gave up the least number of passing yards (2,961). The Jaguars were the worst, coughing up 4,375 yards. For the most part, that's a combination of all facets of a defense's ability to throttle the passing game: rushing pressure on the QB and coverage skills of the secondary and linebackers.
Weather can Wreak Havoc
Any amount of rain tends to drop the total number of points in a game by 10%. When it's really coming down, that figure can go all the way up to 20%. When the ball is slippery or it's super cold, offenses tend to err on the side of caution and run the ball more often than game-planned. That, of course, is no good for a receiver's fantasy points. So, be sure to check out the current weather before you lock in a WR.
To better quantify the impact weather can have on scoring, we created TDForce, our weather index (a TDForce of 1 means average, good playing conditions). An index lower than 1 means weather is relatively poor and less scoring/TDs will likely be seen (eg, 0.8 equates to 20% less scoring). When the season hits the fall and winter weeks, that's a fairly common reading.
Icons and abbreviations explained...
weather hasn't been collected yet- weather forecast for first pitch (hover over for details)
stadium has a fixed roof or is closed due to poor weather- 0 wind direction and strength in mph (pointing left or right means it's towards one end zone or the other)
- TDF TDForce (abbr TDF) is our weather index that predicts how many more (or less) touchdowns could be seen due to weather (temperature, rain, snow, wind, direction, etc)
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